The Global Week Ahead

Houthi-Saudi Clashes Escalate and Red Sea Shipping Comes Under Greater Threat, Canadian Prime Minister Carney to Pitch “Associate EU Membership,” and a Big Week at the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England 

September 13 -20, 2026

It is going to be a very busy week ahead.  Between an anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate hike, the escalating Saudi-Houthi conflict threatening all Red Sea shipping, understanding the implications of the last-minute cancellation of an Iran-Gulf State leaders meeting to discuss a new Strait of Hormuz passageway, markets will likely struggle to keep pace with the rapid geopolitical shifts.

 Last week’s Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia's overland east-west oil pipeline (threatening more than 4% of global oil production) along with the Houthi’s lightning-strike victories over Saudi-and UAE-backed Yemeni forces are proving to be a significant game-changer to the already tense regional situation.  Houthi forces were able to quickly capture the strategically located Yemeni city of Mokha along with Mayun Island.  The island – also known as Perim –  sits directly in the middle of the Bab al-Mandab Strait, giving Houthis effective control of the southern entrance to the Red Sea.  Additionally, the Houthi advances now position the Iranian proxy forces to launch new attacks on several Saudi cities close to the Yemen border.  The question now is what do Saudi and UAE military forces do in response, and will the US support the two Gulf State allies by launching new attacks on Iran as well as attacking Houthi forces on Mayun Island and in Southern Yemen to protect the Red Sea?

One immediate result of the Houthi advances is the abrupt cancellation Sunday night of a high-level meeting hosted by Oman between Iran and seven Gulf State leaders. The leaders were going to discuss a possible temporary new passageway through the Strait of Hormuz.  Markets had been hoping the meeting would allow for further freeing up of shipping through the Strait.

Also this week, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney will travel to Strasbourg, France, to give an extraordinary address to the European Parliament.  Carney's speech – which comes one day after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's annual State of the EU speech – is expected to propose that the EU grant Canada "Associate Membership" to strengthen bilateral trade ties in the wake of the ongoing trade fights with President Trump.  His visit and speech will also help lay the groundwork for the EU-Canadian Summit being held in Canada in October.  

It will be a very busy week for Carney.  He travels to France after hosting the Canada Investment Summit 2026 in Toronto, which will bring together more than 250 top global finance CEOs and aims to attract C$1 trillion in long-horizon capital over five years.  

Also this week in Europe, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will hold its General Conference in Vienna.  The agenda will heavily focus on Iran's and North Korea's nuclear programs, and we are also likely to learn more about Iran's apparent renewed efforts to rebuild its nuclear program at Pickaxe Mountain.  

Two important elections are scheduled this week. Voting for Russia’s State Duma (parliament) begins Friday. The strongly pro-Putin legislature is unlikely to change because the Kremlin controls the official results. However, polls show greater voter frustration with the Ukraine War and its mounting impact on the Russian economy. This has led to the ruling United Russia Party going into the elections with some of the lowest approval ratings ever.

The other election is likely to be much more impactful to markets: Next Sunday, Germany will see the next two sets of state elections - Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania  - following the shock elections in Saxony-Anhalt that gave the far-right AfD Party its first major victory.  Polls indicate the AfD is leading in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, while the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) are leading in Berlin. 

 Finally, we would note that the BRICS Leaders' Summit concluded on Sunday in New Delhi.  The leaders of China, Russia, India, Iran, and the rest of the 11-member BRICS nations presented a united front in the final communique calling for "maximum restraint" in the Middle East while condemning "deliberate attacks on civilian infrastructure and peaceful nuclear facilities" – a thinly-veiled swipe at President Trump and US policy in the region.   

On the global economic and financial radar this week, the biggest event for markets is the Federal Reserve Board's Open Market Committee meeting.  Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the rest of the Committee are under market pressure to raise interest rates amid growing inflation worries and surging Treasury yields.  But Warsh is clearly stuck between a rock and a hard place as President Trump continues to demand the Fed go the other way and cut rates.  The President has also warned the Fed that if it does not lower interest rates, he will "stop trading with countries with which we have a deficit."

We expect the pressure on Warsh and the Fed to grow on Tuesday when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testifies before the House Financial Services Committee on the state of the international financial system and the overall economy.  He's expected to echo President Trump in pushing for no rate increase.

Also this week, the Bank of Japan meets and is likely to raise rates by 25 basis points amid growing external economic pressures, including oil prices, as well as pressure to address ongoing foreign exchange stability issues.

Additionally, the Bank of England meets this week, but consensus suggests it will hold rates.

Among the week's major economic releases, the US will release August retail sales figures on Wednesday and industrial production numbers on Friday.  

In Asia this week, Japan's trade data and core machine orders are due Wednesday, and the August CPI print is due Friday.   China releases industrial production data, retail sales, and fixed-asset investments on Tuesday. 

In Europe, Germany's September ZEW survey is out on Tuesday, the UK's labor market data is released on Tuesday, the August CPI print is out on Wednesday, and retail sales and the GfK consumer confidence index are out on Friday.

Below is our detailed report on all the other major geopolitical and economic events for the coming week:

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Voting for the Okinawa gubernatorial election will take place. The race is between the incumbent governor, Denny Tamaki, who is backed by the opposition parties, and a challenger supported by parties including the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. The crucial election will influence the direction of the relocation of a US military base within the prefecture.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The UK’s Trade Unions Congress (TUC) begins in Brighton and runs through September 16th.   TUC brings together 47 member unions to discuss policy and advocacy positions, important to the ruling Labour Party agenda.

·       Sweden holds parliamentary elections.  All 349 members of the Riksdag are up for election.

·       The EU Arctic Summit begins in Rovaniemi, Finland.  Hosted by Finish Prime Minister Petteri Orpa, the event runs through September 14th and brings together an invited group of EU leaders to discuss a common strategic approach to the Arctic region “as its geopolitical significance continues to grow rapidly.”   The Northern Sea Route (NSR), which runs along Russia’s Arctic coast, has seen a significant spike (more than a 40% increase year over year) in commercial shipping through the area with the melting and breaking up of parts of the Arctic cap. 

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The 69th Commonwealth Parliamentary Conference will take place in Cape Town, South Africa.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, September 14, 2026

Global

·       The 70th International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Conference will be held in Vienna, Austria and run through September 19th.

·       The G20 Energy Ministerial takes place in Houston Texas through September 16th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney hosts the Canada Investment Summit 2026 in Toronto. The event will bring together more than 250 top global finance CEOs and aims to attract C$1 trillion in long-horizon capital over five years.  Among them will be BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and Blackstone CEO John Gray.  On the sidelines of the Summit will be two major private events: The Milken Institute Global Dialogue and the Canadian Global Growth Forum.

·       The US Senate returns from its August recess.

·       Brazil holds its second presidential debate.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Canada Inflation Rate (August)/ Capacity Utilization (July)/ CPI Common (August)/ CPI Median (August)/ CPI Trimmed-Mean (August)/ Manufacturing Sales (July)

·       Brazil Business Confidence (September)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

·       Ecuador Inflation Rate (August)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The ASEAN Economic Ministers meeting takes place in Manila through September 15th.

·       The autonomous region of Bangsamoro in the Philippines holds its first permanent government.  More than 2 million voters are expected to vote in the southern Philippine’s region, and it is hoped the election of the autonomous region government will help bring peace to the heavily Muslim area after decades of conflict.

·       The Thai king and queen will make a state visit to Vietnam through September 16th to help celebrate more than 50 years of diplomatic relations between the two countries.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Composite NZ PCI (August)/ Services NZ PSI (August)/ Visitor Arrivals (July)

·       Japan Capacity Utilization (July)/ Industrial Production (July)

·       India WPI Food Index (August)/ WPI Fuel (August)/ WPI Inflation (August)/ WPI Manufacturing (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       Hong Kong Industrial Production Q2

·       Pakistan Interest Rate Decision

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Ministers responsible for cohesion policy through September 15th in Dublin, Ireland.

·       The European Arctic Summit takes place in Rovaniemi, Finland. The meeting, which runs through September 14th, will be hosted by Finish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo. The agenda will cover ways to strengthen the EU’s common strategic approach to the Arctic region which has seen a large spike in commercial shipping – mostly by China – in the last few years. Attendees will include Chancellor of Germany Friedrich Merz, Prime Minister of Denmark Mette Frederiksen, Prime Minister of Estonia Kristen Michal, Prime Minister of Latvia Andris Kulbergs, President of Lithuania Gitanas Nausėda, President of Romania Nicușor Dan and Minister for Europe and Foreign Affairs of France Jean-Noël Barrot. President of the European Council António Costa and High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs, Security Policy Kaja Kallas.

·       NATO Secretary General, Mark Rutte, will receive the Prime Minister of Slovenia, Janez Janša, at NATO Headquarters, in Brussels.

·       The NATO Digital Backbone eXperimentation (DiBaX) – NATO’s annual research and testing event designed to advance security military communications, multi-domain interoperability, and next-generation battlefield technology -- will be held in in Riga, Latvia.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde gives a keynote speech  and participates in a panel discussion at the "Hofburg im Dialog – Economy, Europe, Resilience" in Vienna, Austria.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel gives a keynote speech at the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWE) Symposium on European Competitiveness in Berlin, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone gives a speech at an event at House of the Euro in Brussels, Belgium.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Pedro Machado participates in a fireside chat at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference 2026 in New York,

·       Hungary Construction Output (July)

·       Switzerland Producer & Import Prices (August)

·       Poland Balance of Trade (July)/ Current Account (July)

·       EARNINGS: MP Evans Group (HY), Global Data (HY), Greencoat Renewables (HY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)/ Current Account Q2

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Global

·       The World Trade Organization publishes its latest World Trade Report on trends and policy challenges on the opening day of the WTO Annual Public Forum.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       US tariff modifications on Canadian goods go into effect.

·       US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will give the “Annual Testimony of the Secretary of the Treasury on the State of the International Financial System” before the House Financial Services Committee.

·       The US Congress returns from the Labor Day holiday.  The House of Representatives is expected to vote this week on a Russian sanctions bill which has already passed the Senate in July. 

·       Delaware holds primary elections.

·       Today is Independence Day in Costa Rica, a national holiday.

·       Today is Independence Cay in El Salvador, a national holiday.

·       Today is Independence Day in Guatemala, a national holiday.

·       Today is Independence Day in Honduras, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Brazil Retail Sales (July)

·       USA ADP Employment Change Weekly/ NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (September)/ Redbook (September/12)/ NOPA Crush Report/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (September/11)

·       Canada New Motor Vehicle Sales (July)/ Wholesale Sales (July)

·       Paraguay Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Uruguay GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Peru GDP Growth Rate (July)/ Unemployment Rate (August)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Xiangshan Defense Forum and the 4th China-Africa Peace and Security Forum will take place in China.  This is the country's top security and military meeting involving defense officials and scholars from around the world. The three-day event is expected to feature discussions on international order and strategic stability, as well as dialogues on regional hotspots like Ukraine and the Middle East. Washington is reportedly sending an official from the Pentagon after dispatching a military attaché last year.

·       The first meeting of the Conciliation Commission under the U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea between Thailand and Cambodia starts in Singapore. The Thai delegation will be led by Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow.

·       In China, A new enforcement regime takes effect on the borders, giving immigration officers broader powers that some worry could make it harder to leave or enter the country. According to Nikkei News, it remains to be seen how the measures will be implemented, tougher questioning and demands for supporting documentation to prove one's reasons for traveling are expected. The stricter screenings come as China also strengthens its global tax dragnet.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Import/Export Prices (August)

·       New Zealand Electronic Retail Card Spending (August)

·       China House Price Index (August)/ Industrial Production (August)/ Retail Sales (August)/ Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) (August)/ Unemployment Rate (August)/ New Yuan Loans (August)/ M2 Money Supply (August)/ Outstanding Loan Growth (August)/ Total Social Financing (August)

·       India Passenger Vehicles Sales (August)/ Unemployment Rate (August)

·       Philippines Cash Remittances (July)

·       Japan Tertiary Industry Index (July)

·       Turkey Budget Balance (August)

·       Sri Lanka GDP Growth Rate Q2

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius will meet with US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth at the Pentagon in Washington, D.C.   The meeting will take place as part of Pistorius’ trip to the US for a rollout of F-35 warplanes purchased by Germany

·       Members of the European Parliament will hear from EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaja Kallas on the recent escalation of Russia’s hybrid attacks against member states and how to protect the EU’s territorial integrity, and critical security and defense infrastructure.  The Parliament will then vote on a resolution on Wednesday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Claudia Buch gives the opening keynote speech at the Watching European Financial Market Regulation and Supervision Conference organized by the Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE and the Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance at Goethe University in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone participates in panel discussion at conference on Watching European Financial Market Regulation and Supervision organized by the Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE and the Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance at Goethe University in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel participate in a dinner exchange with members of the SPD Economic Forum in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       Bank of England Member of the External Financial Policy Committee Carolyn Wilkins gives a speech at Queens University in Belfast, Northern Ireland.

·       Germany Wholesale Prices (August)/ ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (September)/ ZEW Current Conditions (September)

·       Romania Industrial Production (July)/ Current Account (July)

·       UK Unemployment Rate (July)/ Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (July)/ Employment Change (July)/ Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (July)/ Claimant Count Change (August)/ HMRC Payrolls Change (August)/ Conventional Gilt

·       Hungary Industrial Production (July)

·       France Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       Slovakia Inflation Rate (August)

·       Spain Inflation Rate (August)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)

·       Poland Inflation Rate (August)

·       Italy Balance of Trade (July)

·       Euro Area Balance of Trade (July)/ ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (September)

·       Greece Construction Output Q2

·       Serbia Building Permits (July)

·       EARNINGS: City of London Investment Group (FY), Everplay Group (HY), Kier (FY), Princes Group (HY), Trustpilot (HY), Wickes (HY), MJ Gleeson (FY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Jordan Industrial Production (July)

·       Saudi Arabia Inflation Rate (August)/ Wholesale Prices (August)

·       Israel Inflation Rate (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The US Federal Reserve Board’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concludes two days of meetings on interest rates. A press conference with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh begins at 2:30 p.m.

·       The Bank of Canada releases their Summary of Deliberations from the September interest rate meeting.

·       Canada Housing Starts (August)/ Building Permits (July)

·       Brazil IGP-10 Inflation (September)/ IBC-BR Economic Activity (July)/ Interest Rate Decision

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (September/11)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (September/11)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (September/11)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (September/11)/ MBA Purchase Index (September/11)/ Retail Sales (August)/ Import/Export Prices (August)/ Retail Sales Control Group (August)/ Retail Sales Ex Autos (August)/ NY Fed Services Activity Index (September)/ Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos (August)/ Business Inventories (July)/ NAHB Housing Market Index (September)/ Retail Inventories Ex Autos (July)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (September/11)/ Net Long-term TIC Flows (July)/ Overall Net Capital Flows (July)

·       Ecuador Balance of Trade (July)

·       Colombia Industrial Production (July)/ Retail Sales (July)/ Consumer Confidence (August)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee is due to unveil the city's first five-year plan, aiming to strengthen its position as a financial center in support of Beijing's own five-year blueprint. The move to adopt Communist Party-style planning has raised eyebrows in a city known for laissez-faire capitalism. But authorities have stressed that the plan will help Hong Kong serve the cause of national development without compromising its free-market economy.

·       Today is Independence Day in Papua New Guinea, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Current Account Q2/ Global Dairy Trade Price Index (September/15)

·       Japan Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)/ Machinery Orders (July)/ BoJ JGB Purchase

·       Australia Westpac Leading Index (August)

·       China FDI (YTD) (August)

·       India Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)/ M3 Money Supply (August/31)

·       Kazakhstan GDP (August)

·       Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Services PMI (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       European Commission President Ursula von der Leyden gives the annual State of the European Union speech in Strasbourg, France.

·       The International Institute for Security Studies (IISS) Prague Defense Summit begins and runs through September 18th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde attends the festive opening of Alte Oper season in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Vice President Boris Vujčić chairs a policy panel entitled "Geoeconomics and Trade: Risks, Resilience and Policy Responses" at ECB Annual Research Conference 2026 "Geoeconomics and the International Trading System" in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Frank Elderson gives the opening keynote speech at the Nature Finance and Resilience Day of Climate Finance Week Ireland in Dublin, Ireland.

·       UK Inflation Rate (August)/ PPI Input/Output (August)/ Retail Price Index (August)

·       Hungary Gross Wage (July)

·       Italy Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       Euro Area Industrial Production (July)/ Labor Cost Index Q2/ Wage Growth Q2

·       Ireland Balance of Trade (July)/ Residential Property Prices (July)

·       Poland Inflation Rate (August)

·       Belarus Industrial Production (August)

·       Russia PPI (August)

·       EARNINGS: WHSmith, Barratt Redrow (FY), Bolloré (HY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Unemployment Rate (August)/ GDP Growth Annualized 2nd Est Q2

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nigeria Food Inflation (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       South Africa Inflation Expectations Q3/ Retail Sales (July)

Thursday, September 17, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is expected to vote on renewing the mandate of the panel of experts supporting the 1737 sanctions committee on Iran.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney gives a special address to the EU Parliament in Strasbourg, France.  Carney is expected to raise the idea of Canada being given “associate member” status with the EU in the wake of ongoing political and trade tensions with the US.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Canada Foreign Securities Purchases (July)/ Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians (July)/ PPI (August)/ Raw Materials Prices (August)

·       USA Building Permits (August)/ Housing Starts (August)/ Initial Jobless Claims (September/12)/ Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (September)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (September/05)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (September/12)/ Philly Fed Business Conditions (September)/ Philly Fed CAPEX Index (September)/ Philly Fed Employment (September)/ Philly Fed New Orders (September)/ Philly Fed Prices Paid (September)/ Pending Home Sales (August)/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (September/11)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (September/17)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (September/17)/ Fed Balance Sheet (September/16)

·       Argentina Consumer Confidence (September)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Unemployment Rate Q2/ Leading Indicator (August)

·       Costa Rica Unemployment Rate Q2

·       EARNINGS: Lennar

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       In India, the Semicon India conference begins and runs through September 19th.  It brings together government officials and global executives, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi who will inaugurate the new event.  Other speakers include the CEOs of Advanced Micro Devices, Infineon Technologies and LAM Research.

·       The 23rd China-ASEAN Expo + China-ASEAN Business and Investment Summit  begins in Nanning, China and runs through September 21st.  China’s Vice Commerce Minister Yan Dong recently framed the event around building out the China-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement.

·       The Tokyo Game Show, one of the world's largest gaming conventions, will begin in the city of Chiba next to the Japanese capital. Now in its 30th year, it will run for five days and host a total of 1,138 businesses from around the world, ranging from major gaming studios to indie developers, hardware manufacturers and even construction companies.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Bank of Japan begins its two-day Monetary Policy meeting.

·       New Zealand GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Westpac Consumer Confidence Q3

·       Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners (September/12)

·       Singapore Balance of Trade (August)/ Non-Oil Exports (August)/ Unemployment Rate Q2

·       Turkey Auto Production (August)/ Auto Sales (August)

·       Kazakhstan Industrial Production (August)

·       Hong Kong Unemployment Rate (August)

·       Taiwan Interest Rate Decision

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Russia holds elections for the Duma (parliament) through September 20th.  450 seats are up for election.  Going into the election, the United Russia ruling party is leading in all polls.

·       South Ossetia holds presidential elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane chairs the Jean Monnet lecture "Economic Size and Economic Power" delivered by Paul Krugman at ECB Annual Research Conference 2026 "Geoeconomics and the International Trading System" in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       The Bank of England meets on Interest rates.  It will also release its Monetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting in September.

·       Switzerland Balance of Trade (August)/ SECO Economic Forecasts

·       Slovakia Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)

·       Poland Consumer Confidence (September)

·       Euro Area Inflation Rate (August)/ CPI (August)

·       Turkey MPC Meeting Summary/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (September/11)

·       Ukraine Interest Rate Decision

·       Serbia Current Account (July)

·       EARNINGS: Galliford Try (HY), Helvestia Baloise (HY), LPP (HY), Next (HY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves (July)/ M3 Money Supply (August)

·       South Africa Consumer Confidence Q3/ Building Permits (July)

Friday, September 18, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Independence Day in Chile, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman will speak on “The Final Chapter on Bank Stress Test Reforms” hosted by the City of London in  London.

·       Canada CFIB Business Barometer (September)

·       Mexico Aggregate Demand Q2/ Private Spending Q2

·       USA Industrial Production (August)/ Capacity Utilization (August)/ Manufacturing Production (August)/ CB Leading Index (August)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (September/18)/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (September/18)

·       Colombia ISE Economic Activity (July)

·       Argentina Balance of Trade (August)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The ASEAN economic ministers will gather in Manila, Philippines.  The primary agenda includes food security, the digital economy and stronger trade links.  But the real focus will be on how to deal with the region’s slowing growth caused by the Iran War and other global issues.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Bank of Japan decides on Interest Rates.

·       Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock gives evidence to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics in Canberra.

·       South Korea PPI (August)

·       New Zealand Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)/ Food Inflation (August)

·       Japan Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy (August)

·       Malaysia Inflation Rate (August)/ Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)

·       India Bank Loan Growth  (August/30)/ Deposit Growth (August/30)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (September/11)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The Eurogroup will meet in Dublin, Ireland. After the meeting, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will hold a press conference. Then there will be an informal meeting of EU Finance Ministers through September 19th.  UK Chancellor John Healey has been invited to attend the informal meeting.

·       The NATO Military Committee Conference – gathering all 32 NATO defense chiefs – will be held in Denmark and runs through September 19th.   They are expected to discuss how to further provide aid to Ukraine and counter increased Russian hybrid warfare against NATO members in recent months.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Belarus GDP (August)

·       EU ECOFIN Meeting

·       Germany PPI (August)

·       UK Retail Sales (August)/ Retail Sales ex Fuel (August)

·       Poland Industrial Production (August)

·       Euro Area Current Account (July)/ Current Account s.a (July)/ Construction Output (July)

·       Italy Construction Output (July)/ Construction Output (June)/ Current Account (July)

·       Slovakia Current Account (July)

·       EARNINGS: Wolford (HY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Saturday, September 19, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The 20th Asian Games begin  in Aichi-Nagoya, Japan.  This is Asia’s largest sporting event and runs through October 4th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The UK’s Liberal Democrats hold their Autumn conference in Brighton.

·       Oktoberfest officially begins in Munich, Germany.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, September 20, 2026

 Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Germany holds state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.  The latest polls show the far-right AfD Party has grown since their recent electoral victory in Saxony-Anhalt.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Transport Ministers through September 21st in Dublin, Ireland.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Bloomberg holds its Qatar Economic Forum in New York around the UN General Assembly. H.E. Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani, Prime Minister & Minister of Foreign Affairs of Qatar, will speak.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks (and Months) Ahead

·       September 14 – 16: There will be a G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial held in Houston, Texas.

·       September 18 – 20: Russia legislative (Duma) elections are to be held.

·       September 22 – 29: The UN General Assembly is held in New York.

·       September 24: Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to visit Washington, DC for bilateral meetings with President Trump.

·       September 30 – October 1: There will be a G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

·       October (exact date TBD): Israel holds legislative elections.

·       October 1: The G20 Sherpa Meeting III will be held in Washington, D.C.

·       October 4: Brazil holds general elections.

·       October 12 – 18: The IMF and World Bank Meetings are held in Bangkok, Thailand.  There will be a finance ministers’ and central bank governors’ meeting on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank meetings on October 15th.

·       October 11 – 13: The World Health Summit is held in Berlin, Germany.

·       October 30 – 31: The G20 Foreign Ministers meeting is held in Atlanta, Georgia.

·       November 3: The US Midterm election is to be held.  All 435 members of the US House of Representatives, 1/3 of the US Senate, 36 governors, and 6,000 state legislative seats will be decided.

·       November 9 – 20: The United Nation’s COP31 Conference will be held in Antalya, Turkey.

·       November 18 – 19: The APEC Summit will be held in Shenzhen, China.

·       December 10: The G20 Sherpa Meeting IV will be held in Miami, Florida.

·       December 14 – 15: The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Trump National Doral in Miami, Florida.

2027

·       January 18 – 22: The World Economic Forum is held in Davos, Switzerland.

·       April 12 – 18: The IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings take place in Washington, D.C.

The Global Week Ahead

Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks Begin Again, The BRICS Leaders’ Summit Gets Underway, the 81st UN General Assembly Starts with World Leaders Set to Arrive, and Markets Are Focused on ECB Rates and the U.S. PCE Report

September 6 - 13, 2026

After months of little diplomatic movement, it appears that efforts to find a peaceful end to the Russian War on Ukraine have begun again.  U.S. Special Envoys Jared Kushner and Steven Witkoff spent three hours with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Saturday before flying to Kyiv to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.  This is the first time Kushner and Witkoff have traveled to Kyiv for meetings.   While all sides said the meetings have gone “well,” there are few details emerging yet as to what is being discussed as possible outlines of a deal. 

However, Putin did inform Kushner and Witkoff that the battlefield situation is “difficult” but claimed Russian military forces are making “real progress” on the battlefield (which, by many accounts, is contrary to the facts on the ground).  The meeting comes after the recent surprise visit of CIA Director John Ratcliffe to Moscow.  We would also note it comes following a report in The Economist of Putin telling aides “they will hang me” if he fails to win control of the Donbas and wins the war.  While he did not specify, “they” is most likely a reference to his far-right/ultranationalist base.  According to recent polls, public sentiment in Russia is increasingly tense and souring on the war in the wake of growing Ukrainian drone attacks and a distinct lack of confidence in the country’s long-term future.

In the Americas this week, Canada begins its dollar-for-dollar counter-tariffs on Tuesday. They will hit a number of U.S. products with a range of 15% to 50%.  And the U.S. Congress is out for the Labor Day holiday.

Also this week, the BRICS Leaders’ Summit gets underway in New Delhi, India.  The agenda is packed, with talks likely to focus on harnessing greater cooperation among the Global South, trade, energy cooperation, and climate issues.  What will be particularly interesting is an expected sideline meeting between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.  Modi is keen to become more engaged in helping to find a solution to the ongoing Iran War to avoid damaging the Indian economy.  So far, India has been able to defy expectations that the war would damage the economy, reporting last week 7.8% growth between April and June, comfortably beating most forecasts; however, concerns over the spiking costs of diesel oil, natural gas, and fertilizers are worrying leaders in New Delhi.

In Europe, leaders this week will be trying to digest the implications of the German far-right AfD victory in the Saxony-Anhalt state elections.  Exit polls suggest the AfD won as much as 44.4% of the vote, with the right-of-center CDU winning 18.4% and the far-left Die Linke Party coming in with 9.3%.  Of particular note: voter participation was at a record high of 76.5%.  There are two more state elections in September in Germany, and the AfD is, so far, polling well in both those races.

 Looking at the global financial and economic radar screen this week, the big focus of markets will be the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on rates on Thursday and U.S. PPI and CPI prints.

Despite it being a short week in the U.S. (Monday being the Labor Day holiday), it is going to be a big week for economic reports.  The August PPI is out on Thursday and the August CPI – which is closely watched by the Fed – is out on Friday.  Following Friday’s blowout jobs report, worries over persistent inflation, and rising energy costs (especially with diesel prices now over $6 a gallon and rising), the Federal Reserve is under growing pressure to raise interest rates at its September 15-16 meetings.  Amplifying his pressure campaign against the Fed, President Trump is now demanding the Fed cut rates, and if it does not, he is threatening to stop trading with any nation that has a deficit with the U.S.

Also this week in the U.S., the University of Michigan survey for September is out on Friday. And, notably, the U.S. Treasury begins its expanded long-end liquidity-support buybacks Wednesday.

As noted above, the ECB announces its decision on rates on Thursday, and the consensus is they impose a 25-basis-point hike, bringing the rate to 2.50%.  Also in Europe this week, Germany releases industrial production numbers on Monday, and its trade balance on Tuesday.  The UK releases its July GDP on Friday. 

In Asia this week,  China releases trade balance figures on Tuesday and its CPI and PPI on Wednesday.  Japan releases the August Economy Watchers Survey on Tuesday along with July labor cash earnings.  And on Friday, we will see Japan’s PPI print.

Below is our detailed report on all the other major geopolitical and economic events for the coming week:

Sunday, September 6, 2026

 Global

·       OPEC+ meets virtually to review market conditions.

·       The 3rd BRICS Sherpa/Sous-Sherpas’ meeting takes place in New Delhi, India through September 9th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Mexican Foreign Secretary Roberto Velasco Álvarez is in China for a two-day set of meetings with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi's inv. He will then travel on to Chongqing to open a new Mexican consulate. One of the major issues being discussed is China’s role near-shoring in Mexico as part of the ongoing USMCA negotiations with the US and Canada.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Germany’s Saxony-Anhalt state hold elections for the state parliament and local district councils.  This election is attracting international attention as the far-right AfD Party is leading in the polls and have a good shot at winning.  If that happens, most observers believe it will likely give the AfD significant momentum for future national elections.

·       In London, Jamaican officials visit to lodge an unprecedented legal complaint calling for reparations for slavery.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Agriculture Ministers through September 8th in Dublin, Ireland.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Independence Day in Swaziland, a holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, September 7, 2026

Global

·       In The Hague, the International Court of Justice will hold public hearings September 7-10 on the preliminary objections raised by Germany in the case concerning Alleged Breaches of Certain International Obligations in respect of the Occupied Palestinian Territory.  The charges were brought by Nicaragua.

·       The Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency will hold meetings through September 11th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       It is Labor Day in Canada and the U.S. All financial markets and banks are closed.

·       Ukrainian President Zelensky travels to Toronto for meetings with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.

·       Mexican Foreign Minister Alvaraz will travel to China for meeting with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Chile Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)

·       Mexico Auto Exports (August)/ Auto Production (August)

·       Colombia Inflation Rate (August)

·       Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Vietnamese Secretary General To Lam travels to Moscow for meetings with President Vladimir Putin through September 9th.  They are expected to discuss energy, defense, security, and bilateral cooperation issues.  The Secretary General then travels on to Paris for meetings with President Emmanuel Macron and then on to New York to attend the UN General Assembly.

·       The U.S.-Korea-Japan joint military exercise “Freedom Edge” begins off the coast of South Korea and runs through September 13th.  The exercises are being held despite North Korea vowing to retaliate against U.S. hostilities and condemning the exercises. 

·       The Seoul Defense Dialogue begins in Seoul, South Korea and runs through September 9th.   The event is hosted by the Ministry of National Defense.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Australia ANZ-Indeed Job Ads (August)

·       Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Thailand Inflation Rate (August)

·       Japan Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)/ Coincident Index (July)/ Leading Economic Index (July)

·       Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Singapore Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       Turkey Treasury Cash Balance (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

The EU/UK/Ukraine New High-Level Group on Defense is expected to hold its first meeting in Brussels.  Created last week by the EU Chief Diplomat, Kaja Kallas, it is comprised of former political and military leaders to advise on how to better defend each entity in the face of growing Russian hostilities.

French President Emmanuel Macron and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung will co-host Lumiere Summit in Paris.  The event  is expected to bring together about 150 participants from more than 30 countries, including representatives from the film, audiovisual and video game industries.  Lee will then spend three more days in consultation with Macron on trade and mutual security issues.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Germany Industrial Production (July)

·       Romania GDP Growth Rate 2nd Est Q2

·       UK Lloyds House Price Index / BBA Mortgage Rate (August)

·       Hungary Industrial Production (July)

·       France Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Switzerland Unemployment Rate (August)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Euro Area Employment Change Final Q2/ GDP Growth Rate 3rd Est Q2

·       Greece Balance of Trade (July)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Poland Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Russia Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       EARNINGS: Ashmore, Burkhalter, Gamma Communications, Sigma Roc, Standard Life

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Business Confidence (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

 Global

·       The 81st UN General Assembly begins in New York.

·       In Geneva, the Outer Space Security Conference 2026, organized by the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR), will take place at the Palais des Nations through September 9th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Canada’s retaliatory tariffs against the U.S. come into effect.  The tariffs range in size from 15% to 50%, matching President Trump’s recently enacted tariffs dollar for dollar.  A full list of U.S. products subject to the counter tariffs can be found HERE.

·       Jury selection is due to begin in a New York court as Chinese telecommunications equipment giant Huawei faces a trial for alleged evasion of U.S. sanctions against Iran, intellectual property theft and other accusations. The company has pleaded not guilty in the case, which shook China's relations with both the U.S. and Canada.

·       New Hampshire holds primary elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       USA NFIB Business Optimism Index (August)/ ADP Employment Change Weekly/ Redbook  (September/05)/ Used Car Prices (August)/ Consumer Inflation Expectations (August)/ Consumer Credit Change (July)

·       Chile Inflation Rate (August)/ Interest Rate Decision

·       Argentina Industrial Production (July)

·       EARNINGS: ABM Industries, Braze

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Manufacturing Sales Q2

·       South Korea GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Japan Average Cash Earnings (July)/ Overtime Pay (July)/ Current Account (July)/ GDP Growth Annualized Final Q2/ Bank Lending (August)/ GDP Capital Expenditure Q2/ GDP External Demand Q2/ GDP Price Index Q2/ GDP Private Consumption Q2/ Eco Watchers Survey Current (August)/ Eco Watchers Survey Outlook (August)

·       Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Change (September)/ Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (September)/ NAB Business Confidence (August)/ Building Permits (July)/ Private House Approvals (July)/ RBA Hunter Speech/ RBA Hauser Speech         

·       Philippines Unemployment Rate (July)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       China Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)/ Balance of Trade Yuan (August)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Taiwan Inflation Rate (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Frank Elderson participates in a fireside chat at the Jacques Delors Centre in Berlin, Germany.

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will speak before Parliament’s Treasury Select Committee on the August Monetary Policy Report.

·       UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor (August)/ Chancellor John Healey Speech

·       Ireland Construction PMI (August)

·       Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Germany Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)

·       Hungary Inflation Rate (August)

·       France Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)/ Current Account (July)

·       Slovakia Balance of Trade (July)

·       EARNINGS: Computacenter, Dunelm, Funding Circle, James Fisher and Sons, Rubis, Theon, Uniphar

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Saudi Arabia GDP Growth Rate Q2

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       South Africa GDP Growth Rate Q2 

Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Global

·       The 2nd BRICS meeting of Finance and Central Bank Governors meets in Mumbai, India.

·       The World Nuclear Symposium begins in London and runs through September 11th.

·       The International Space Summit, hosted by the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs, begins in Paris. The event is expected to bring together a large group of politicians, policy experts, scientists and astronauts.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The Republican Midterm Convention opens in Dallas, Texas.  Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak.

·       Rhode Island holds a primary election.

·       Apple hosts an event unveiling the latest iPhone.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Peter Routledge, Canada’s Superintendent of Financial Institutions, is speaking at the Scotia Bank Summit on September 9th and at the Economic Club of Canada on September 11th.

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (September/04)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (September/04)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (September/04)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (September/04)/ MBA Purchase Index (September/04)/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (September/04)

·       Mexico Inflation Rate (August)/ PPI (August)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Brazil Car Production (August)/ New Car Registrations (August)

·       El Salvador PPI (August)

·       Peru Balance of Trade (July)

·       EARNINGS: U.S. – American Eagle Outfitters, Chewy, Cooper Companies, Signet Jewelers

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The 11th Belt and Road Summit begins in Hong Kong and runs through September 10th.

·       The Manila Strategy Forum 2026 begins in Manila, the Philippines and runs through September 10th.  It is co-hosted by the U.S. Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the Amador Research Services.

·       Hong Kong hosts BIOHK2026, a major four-day biotech conference. Speakers and exhibitors from around the world are due to showcase cutting-edge research and discuss policy trends and industrialization opportunities. The event comes as China's fast-growing biotech industry is increasingly in the spotlight.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Unemployment Rate (August)

·       China Inflation Rate (August)/ PPI (August)

·       Indonesia Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Japan BoJ JGB Purchase/ Machine Tool Orders (August)

·       Sri Lanka Tourist Arrivals (August)

·       Malaysia Industrial Production (July)

·       Taiwan Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Norway holds a funeral for King Harald V in the Oslo Cathedral.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The European Central Bank Governing Council begins meetings on interest rates at the Deutsche Bundesbank in Berlin, Germany.  ECB President Christine Lagarde will give a speech at an official dinner that evening.

·       Hungary Budget Balance (August)/ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

·       Spain Consumer Confidence (July)

·       Romania Balance of Trade (July)

·       France Industrial Production (July)

·       Slovakia Industrial Production (July)

·       Greece Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       Ukraine Inflation Rate (August)

·       Poland Interest Rate Decision (September)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Consumer Confidence (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Angola Inflation Rate (August)

·       Tanzania Inflation Rate (August)

Thursday, September 10, 2026

Global

·       The BRICS Business Council Annual meeting takes place in New Delhi, India.

·       The Speakers of  G7 Parliaments meeting begins in Paris and runs through September 12th.

·       OPEC Monthly Oil Production Report is released.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       President Trump will speak at the Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas.

·       Bloomberg hosts its Power Players Conference in New York.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       USA PPI (August)/ Initial Jobless Claims (September/05)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (August/29)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (September/05)/ PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade (August)/ Existing Home Sales (August)/ Wholesale Inventories (July)/ EIA Natural Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (September/04)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (September/10)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (September/10)/ Fed Balance Sheet (September/09)

·       Colombia Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Argentina Inflation Rate (August)

·       Peru Interest Rate Decision

·       EARNINGS: U.S. – Adobe, Macy’s, Oracle

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       China hosts meeting of APEC Energy Ministerial meeting in Beijing.

·       The inaugural Luzern Economic Corridor (LEC) Investment Forum begins in Manila, the Philippines.  The event brings more than 600 investors, industry leaders, and senior government officials and is co-hosted by the Philippines, Japan, and the U.S.

·       The Ho Chi Minh City Friendship Dialogue  2026 (FD -2026) begins in Ho Chi Minh  City and runs through September 12th.  The event brings together more than 500 investors looking at investments in technology, manufacturing, and human resource development.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of Japan Member of the Policy Board Kazuyuki Masu speaks to local business leaders in Fukui, Japan.

·       Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners (September/05)

·       Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations (September)

·       Philippines Foreign Direct Investment (June)

·       Indonesia Retail Sales (July)/ Motorbike Sales (August)

·       Thailand Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

·       Turkey Industrial Production (July)/ TCMB Interest Rate Decision/ Overnight Borrowing Rate (September)/ Overnight Lending Rate (September)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (September/04)

Europe            

Political/Social Events –

The Riga Conference 2026 begins Riga, Latvia and runs through September 11th. The conference brings together regional and international foreign policy and defense experts, academics, journalists, and business leaders to discuss and assess the key challenges facing the transatlantic community.  Russia’s increasing hybrid warfare against Europe is expected to be a main topic of the event.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The European Central Bank’s Governing Council concludes the 2nd day of meetings on interest rates.  There will be a press conference with President Lagarde following the announcement of the decision on rates.

·       The Bundesbank hosts the 21st Central Bank Conference on the Microstructure of Financial Markets through September 11th  in Eltville am Rhein, Germany.

·       UK RICS House Price Balance (August)/ New Conventional Gilt 2030

·       Germany Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate Final (August)

·       Slovakia Construction Output (July)

·       Spain Industrial Production (July)

·       Italy Industrial Production (July)

·       Slovenia Industrial Production (July)

·       Greece Industrial Production (July)

·       Ireland Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       Euro Area Deposit Facility Rate/ ECB Marginal Lending Rate

·       Belarus Inflation Rate (August)

·       EARNINGS: Associated British Foods, Currys, Fevertree Drinks, Genus, John Lwis Partnership, Playtech

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia Industrial Production (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Current Account Q2/ Gold Production (July)/ Mining Production (July)/ Manufacturing Production (July)

·       Ghana GDP Growth Rate Q2

Friday, September 11, 2026

Global

·       The International Energy Administration’s Monthly Oil Market Report is released.

·       France hosts G7 Parliamentary Speakers Summit 2026 in Paris. The event brings the Speakers of each G7 Parliament together to discuss “multilateral dialogue, democratic resilience, and global legislative cooperation.”

·       Rosh Hashana, the Jewish New Year, begins this evening.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is the 25th anniversary of the al-Qaida attacks on New York City and the Pentagon in Washington, D.C.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Brazil Inflation Rate (August)

·       Mexico Industrial Production (July)

·       USA Inflation Rate (August)/ CPI (August)/ CPI s.a (August)/ Michigan Consumer Sentiment (September)/ Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (September)/ Michigan Consumer Expectations (September)/ Michigan Current Conditions (September)/ Michigan Inflation Expectations (September)/ WASDE Report/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (September/11)/ Monthly Budget Statement (August)

·       Paraguay Balance of Trade (August)

·       Uruguay Industrial Production (July)

·       EARNINGS: Kroger (U.S.)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Business NZ PMI (August)

·       Japan Reuters Tankan Index (September)/ BSI Large Manufacturing Q3/ PPI (August)

·       Thailand Consumer Confidence (August)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Kazakhstan PPI (August)

·       Malaysia Retail Sales (July)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Turkey Current Account (July)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       India Foreign Exchange Reserves (September/04)

·       Indonesia Car Sales (August)

·       China Vehicle Sales (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde participates in an on-stage interview at the Banque Populaire Caisse d’Epargne Group Executive Summer University.  Later, she will attend an event at Fête de la Pomme in Épreville-en-Lieuvin, France.

·       European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane delivers the Richard Cantillon lecture at the 49th Dublin Economics Workshop Annual Economic Policy Conference 2026 in Wexford, Ireland.

·       Romania Inflation Rate (August)

·       UK GDP (July)/ GDP 3-Month Avg (July)/ Goods Trade Balance (July)/ Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (July)/ Industrial Production (July)/ Manufacturing Production (July)/ Balance of Trade (July)/ Construction Output (July)/ NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (August)

·       Switzerland Consumer Confidence (August)

·       France IEA Oil Market Report

·       Serbia Inflation Rate (August)

·       Russia Interest Rate Decision/ CBR Press Conference/ Balance of Trade (July)/ Inflation Rate (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Germany Current Account (July)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Jordan Inflation Rate (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt Inflation Rate (August)

·       Mozambique Inflation Rate (August)

·       Oman Inflation Rate (August)

Saturday, September 12, 2026

Global

·       The 18th BRICS Summit takes place in New Delhi, India through September 13th.   The theme of the meeting is “Building for Resilience, Innovation, Cooperation and Sustainability.”

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       President Trump is scheduled to travel to Ireland for meetings with Irish President, Catherine Connolly.  He will also hold bilateral meetings with the Taoiseach Michael Martin before traveling to the Trump golf course in Doonbeg, County Clare.  Ireland is holding the Presidency of Council of the European Union through the end of 2026.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       China New Yuan Loans (August)/ M2 Money Supply (August)/ Outstanding Loan Growth (August)/ Total Social Financing (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Voting for the Okinawa gubernatorial election will take place. The race is between the incumbent governor, Denny Tamaki, who is backed by the opposition parties, and a challenger supported by parties including the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. The crucial election will influence the direction of the relocation of a U.S. military base within the prefecture.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The UK’s Trade Unions Congress (TUC) begins in Brighton and runs through September 16th.   TUC brings together 47 member unions to discuss policy and advocacy positions, important to the ruling Labour Party agenda.

·       Sweden holds parliamentary elections.  All 349 members of the Riksdag are up for election.

·       The EU Arctic Summit begins in Rovaniemi, Finland.  Hosted by Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo, the event runs through September 14th and brings together an invited group of EU leaders to discuss a common strategic approach to the Arctic region “as its geopolitical significance continues to grow rapidly.”  The Northern Sea Route (NSR), which runs along Russia’s Arctic coast, has seen a significant spike  (more than a 40% increase year over year) in commercial shipping through the area with the melting and breaking up of parts of the Arctic cap. 

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks (and Months) Ahead

·       September 12 – 13:  The 18th BRICS Summit will be held in New Delhi, India.

·       September 14 – 16: There will be a G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial held in Houston, Texas.

·       September 18 – 20: Russia legislative (Duma) elections are to be held.

·       September 22 – 29: The UN General Assembly is held in New York.

·       September 24: Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to visit Washington, DC for bilateral meetings with President Trump.

·       September 30 – October 1: There will be a G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

·       October (exact date TBD): Israel holds legislative elections.

·       October 1: The G20 Sherpa Meeting III will be held in Washington, D.C.

·       October 4: Brazil holds general elections.

·       October 12 – 18: The IMF and World Bank Meetings are held in Bangkok, Thailand.  There will be a finance ministers and central bank governors meeting on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank meetings on October 15th.

·       October 11 – 13: The World Health Summit is held in Berlin, Germany.

·       October 30 – 31: The G20 Foreign Ministers meeting is held in Atlanta, Georgia.

·       November 3: The U.S. Midterm election is to be held.  All 435 members of the U.S. House of Representatives, 1/3 of the U.S. Senate, 36 governors, and 6,000 state legislative seats will be decided.

·       November 9 – 20: The United Nation’s COP31 Conference will be held in Antalya, Turkey.

·       November 18 – 19: The APEC Summit will be held in Shenzhen, China.

·       December 10: The G20 Sherpa Meeting IV will be held in Miami, Florida.

·       December 14 – 15: The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Trump National Doral in Miami, Florida.

2027

·       January 18 – 22: The World Economic Forum is held in Davos, Switzerland.

·       April 12 – 18: The IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings take place in Washington, D.C.

The Global Week Ahead

Putin and Xi Will Meet at the SCO, the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Heads Gather in North Carolina, Germany and the EU Prepare Tough New Sanctions on Russia, and Germany Holds Important State Elections

August 30 - September 6, 2026

Goodbye, August (and Summer) 2026 - it seems we hardly got to know you.  From our perspective, this has been one of the busiest and most intense summers in memory. And from what we can see, looking out over the next six months, it is not going to slow down one bit.  This coming week, there are two big events markets need to focus on – one in North Carolina and the other almost 7,000 miles away in Kyrgyzstan.

The first is the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Ministerial in Asheville, North Carolina on Monday and Tuesday.  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is chairing the meetings, and the major themes will be growth, trade imbalances, and Iran sanctions.  A number of Wall Street CEOs and Fortune 100 CEOs are expected to be in attendance on the sidelines for meetings with officials.

Look for Bessent to push the G20 to support the Trump Administration’s recently announced “D-Day” sanctions on Iran in a bid to build a multi-nation coalition focused on cutting off Iran’s economic lifeline.  Additionally, Bessent will be talking about growth issues and the overall strength of the US economy as part of Trump Administration messaging in advance of the November mid-terms.

While this is going on, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) will hold its 25th Heads of State meeting in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.  Among the attendees will be Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. 

The primary goals of the meeting are ambitious: Markets should watch for the signing of the Bishkek Declaration 2026.  Among the goals of the Declaration is the expanded use of national currencies within the SCO bloc to circumvent US and EU financial systems, broad pledges to build greater intra-energy systems, and possibly finalizing a long-sought-after SCO Development Bank to service the bloc’s economic growth.

 On the sidelines of the Summit, Putin and Xi are expected to meet one-on-one.  Paramount for Putin is finalizing with Xi the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline project. The pipeline – estimated to be 1,615 miles long and valued at $14 billion – would provide 50 billion cubic meters of natural gas to China.  But for a variety of reasons and to the great frustration of Putin, it has been put on hold multiple times since discussions about the project began in 2006.

Additionally, we are likely to see sideline meetings between Putin and possibly Xi with Iran’s President Pezeshkian.  Interestingly, Xi is then traveling from the SCO to Egypt – his first visit there in ten years – for talks on bilateral trade and security issues in the Middle East (firmly showing China’s determination to be a major player in any future peace deals and the rapidly reshaping political architecture of the region).

Also this week, we are watching for an announcement from German Chancellor Friedrich Merz blaming Russia for an attempted explosive drone attack at the Leipzig Airport last month.  Merz is expected to announce significant new sanctions on Russia that will reportedly go hand-in-hand with new EU sanctions (which may be announced at an EU Foreign Ministers meeting in Ireland on Tuesday).  It will be a significant new escalation of tensions between the EU and Russia but it is coming for a reason:  Russian hybrid attacks across the EU targeting critical underwater infrastructure, cyber-attacks, jamming of GPS for commercial airliners, sabotage of critical infrastructure, etc. have significantly increased in the last year, as outlined in a recently published Congressional Research Report (click HERE to read it).

Looking at the global economic and financial radar screen, the big events this week for markets – aside from the G20 Finance/Central Bank Ministerial and what comes out of the SCO Summit – will be the US August jobs report on Friday.

Other major US reports out this week include the JOLTS report and August ISM manufacturing index on Tuesday, the Fed’s Beige Book and ADP Private Payrolls on Wednesday, and Services numbers on Thursday.

The Bank of Canada meets on interest rates on Wednesday, trade data is out on Thursday, and the Canadian labor force survey for August is out on Friday. 

In Europe, flash August CPIs for Germany are on Monday and for Italy and the Eurozone on Tuesday.   Germany also reports July retail sales on Tuesday and factory orders on Friday. We will also see Eurozone PPIs on Thursday.  Markets are closed in the UK on Monday for a bank holiday.

Moving to Asia, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on interest rates on Wednesday.  China reports PMIs on Monday while Japan releases July retail sales and industrial production figures on Monday.  Australia reports Q2 GDP on Wednesday.

Below is our detailed report on all the other major geopolitical and economic events for the coming week:

Sunday, August 30, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope — named after the first Nasa chief astronomer, who is often dubbed “the mother of the Hubble Space Telescope” — launches aboard a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Pacific Islands Forum Leaders Meeting will be held in Koror, Republic of Palau through September 4th.  The Forum convenes under the theme "Building Economies: Life. Action. Unity," with 18 members including Australia and New Zealand alongside the island states and territories.

·       Malaysia Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim will address the country on the eve of National Day celebrations.

·       Today is Popular Consultation Day in East Timor, a public holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of Japan Governor Ueda is traveling to the US to attend the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bankers Ministerial in Asheville, North Carolina.  He will then travel on to Switzerland for meetings at the Bank for International Settlements Governors Meeting on September 5th.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Turkey celebrates Victory Day, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Guinea-Bissau holds a constitutional referendum which will expand presidential powers.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, August 31, 2026

Global

·       The G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Ministerial meeting takes place in Asheville, North Carolina.  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is chairing. 

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The 28th Indo-Pacific Chiefs of Defense Conference takes place in Victoria, British Columbia through September 2nd.

·       The US House of Representatives returns from their August recess (the Senate does not return until September 14th). They are in session this week but will be off again next week for the Labor Day holiday. The big event for the House will be a vote on the Senate-passed stopgap extending government funding through December 11th.  House Leadership is bringing the measure up for a vote under suspension of the rules and backed by the White House, four weeks ahead of the September 30th deadline. The bipartisan intent is explicitly to avoid a shutdown fight before the midterms.  But this is likely to be a tough fight as House Republicans are split on whether to support the measure.

·       Today is Independence Day in Trinidad and Tobago, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Brazil Gross Debt to GDP (July)/ Nominal Budget Balance (July)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

·       Chile Copper Production  (July)/ Industrial Production (July)/ Manufacturing Production  (July)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       USA Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (August)

·       Colombia Unemployment Rate (July)/ Cement Production (July)

·       EARNINGS: SAIC

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Heads of States Summit begins in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan through September 1st.  Russian President Vladimir Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian will be in attendance. UN Secretary General Antonio Gueterres will also attend.

·       In Indonesia, Super Garuda Shield begins – a joint US-Indonesian military exercise held in Bandung.  It will be the largest military drill of its kind in Southeast Asia.

·       The APEC Small and Medium Enterprises Ministerial meeting takes place in Guangzhou, China through September 4th.

·       Today is Independence Day in Malaysia.

·       Today is Independence Day, a national holiday in Kyrgyzstan.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Industrial Production (July)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       Japan Industrial Production (July)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       Australia TD-MI Inflation Gauge (August)/ Company Gross Profits Q2/ Business Inventories  Q2/ Housing Credit (July)/ Private Sector Credit (July)

·       New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence (August)

·       China NBS Manufacturing PMI (August)/ NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI (August)/ NBS General PMI (August)

·       Thailand Current Account (July)/ Private Consumption (July)/ Private Investment (July)/ Retail Sales (June)

·       Turkey GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Unemployment Rate (July)/ Participation Rate (July)

·       Hong Kong Retail Sales (July)

·       India GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Government Budget Value (July)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Defense Ministers through September 1st in Dublin, Ireland.

·       The Bled Strategic Forum takes place in Bled, Slovenia.  The Forum is organized by Slovenia's Foreign Ministry and the Centre for European Perspective under the title "Choosing The Future."

·       Today is the Late Summer Bank Holiday in the UK.  Financial markets are closed.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board President Christine Lagarde and Board Member Piero Cipollone will be attending the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Ministerial meeting in Asheville, North Carolina.

·       Hungary PPI (July)

·       Poland Inflation Rate (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Germany Baden Wuerttemberg CPI (August)/ Bavaria CPI (August)/ Brandenburg CPI  (August)/ Hesse CPI (August)/ North Rhine Westphalia CPI (August)/ Saxony CPI (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)

·       Spain Current Account (June)

·       Slovenia Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)

·       Greece Retail Sales  (June)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Ireland Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)

·       Serbia Balance of Trade (July)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Industrial Production (July)

·       Ukraine Current Account (July)

·       UK BRC Shop Price Inflation (August)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Israel and Greece are set to sign an agreement in Tel Aviv formally launching the development of “Achilles Shield,” a $3.6 billion integrated air defense and missile protection network.

·       In Saudi Arabia, the LEAP Conference begins.  It is a four-day IT, tech, and AI exhibition.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia M3 Money Supply (July)/ Private Bank Lending (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The Africa Food Systems Forum takes place in Kigali and runs through September 4th.

·       Morocco’s official election/campaign season begins for all 395 parliament seats in advance of elections of September 23rd.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa M3 Money Supply (July)/ Private Sector Credit (July)

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

Global

·       France takes the chair of the UN Security Council for the month of September.  French Ambassador Jérôme Bonnafont, Permanent Representative of France to the United Nations and President of the Security Council for the month of September, will brief reporters on the UN Security Council Program of Work for the month.

·       The G20 Innovation Ministers Meeting takes place in Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The second round of negotiations between the Venezuelan government and opposition groups led by Dinorah Figuera is scheduled to be held (Date TBD).

·       President Trump is expected to convene a meeting of US oil refining executives to discuss high gasoline prices.

·       Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum presents second state of the nation government report.

·       Massachusetts holds a primary election between Senator Ed Markey and Representative Seth Moultan for who will be the Democratic nominee in November.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Michael S. Barr gives a speech on the economic outlook and financial inclusion at the  Second Chance Lending Forum, hosted by Prosperity Now and the Collateral Consequences Resource Center, Washington D.C.

·       USA ABSA Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Redbook (August/29)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)/ ISM Manufacturing PMI (August)/ JOLTs Job Openings (July)/ ISM Manufacturing Employment (August)/ Construction Spending (July)/ ISM Manufacturing New Orders (August)/ ISM Manufacturing Prices (August)/ JOLTs Job Quits (July)/ RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (September)/ Dallas Fed Services Index (August)/ Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (August)/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (August/28)

·       Brazil GDP Growth Rate Q2/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Mexico Business Confidence (August)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Fiscal Balance (July)

·       Chile IMACEC Economic Activity (July)

·       Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Colombia Davivienda Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Peru Inflation Rate (August)

·       Argentina Tax Revenue (August)

·       EARNINGS: Dell, Medtronic, MiniMed, Palo Alto Networks, ShopRite

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Independence Day, a national holiday in Uzbekistan.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Chinese fashion online retailer Shein goes public in Hong Kong.

·       Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Building Permits (July)/ Current Account Q2/ Net Exports Contribution to GDP Q2/ Private House Approvals (July)/ Commodity Prices (August)

·       Japan Capital Spending Q2/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       South Korea Imports/Exports (August)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Malaysia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Philippines S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Taiwan S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Thailand S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       China Rating Dog Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Indonesia Balance of Trade (July)/ Inflation Rate (August)/ Imports/Exports (July)/ Tourist Arrivals (July)

·       India HSBC Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Current Account Q2

·       Turkey Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Foreign Affairs Ministers – Gymnich, through September 2nd in Dublin, Ireland.

·       The UK House of Commons returns from summer recess.

·       The 11th Eastern Economic Forum begins in Vladivostok and runs through September 4th.   The theme of the event is “"The Far East: Development for the Benefit of People.”  Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to attend and give a major speech.

·       The EU Arctic Forum, Indigenous Peoples’ Dialogue and Arctic Youth Dialogue begins in Brussels and runs through September 2nd.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board President Christine Lagarde and Board Member Piero Cipollone will be attending the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Ministerial meeting in Asheville, North Carolina.

·       European Central Bank Board Vice President Boris Vujčić will give a keynote speech at the inauguration ceremony of the Alexander von Humboldt Professorship at the European School of Management and Technology (ESMT) in Berlin, Germany.

·       Ireland S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Germany Retail Sales (July)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Romania Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Russia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       UK Nationwide Housing Prices (August)/ BoE Consumer Credit (July)/ Mortgage Approvals (July)/ Mortgage Lending (July)/ M4 Money Supply (July)/ Net Lending to Individuals (July)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Hungary GDP Growth Rate Q2/ HALPIM Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Switzerland Retail Sales (July)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Poland HALPIM Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Spain Tourist Arrivals (July)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Italy S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Unemployment Rate (July)/ Inflation Rate (August)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)

·       France S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       Euro Area S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Inflation Rate Flash (August)/ Unemployment Rate (July)/ CPI Flash (August)

·       Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)

·       EARNINGS: Swiss Life Holdings

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       The next round of Israeli-Lebanese talks mediated by the US is scheduled to take place (but may be moved to later in the week).

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Interest Rate Decision

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nigeria Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)/ Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria PMI (August)

·       Angola GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       South Africa ABSA Manufacturing PMI (August)

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Global

• Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The USS Abraham Lincoln, after more than 250 days at sea, including operations in the Middle East as part of the Iran War, makes a rest-and-recreation stop in the Thai city of Pattaya.  More than 5,000 sailors and Marines will come ashore for the rest of the week.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Bank of Canada meets on interest rates.  BoC Governor Tiff Macklem holds a press conference following the meeting at 9:45 a.m. Eastern Time.

·       Brazil IPC-Fipe Inflation (August)/ Industrial Production (July)

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/28)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (August/28)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (August/28)/ MBA Purchase Index (August/28)/ ADP Employment Change (August)/ Factory Orders  (July)/ Factory Orders ex Transportation (July)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (August/28)/ Fed Beige Book/ Total Vehicle Sales (August)

·       Paraguay Inflation Rate (August)

·       EARNINGS: American Eagle, Broadcom, Brown-Foreman, Five Below, Hewlett Packard, NetApp, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet, Snowflake, PVH

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       SEMICON, the largest semiconductor trade show in the industry, begins in Taipei, Taiwan and runs through September 4th.

·       Today is Independence Day in Vietnam, a national holiday. To help celebrate the day, dozens of infrastructure projects will be launched across the country.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of Japan Member of the Policy Board Hajime Takata gives a speech to a group of local leaders in Sapporo, Japan.

·       New Zealand Building Permits (July)/ RBNZ Interest Rate Decision/ RBNZ Press Conference/ Global Dairy Trade Price Index (September/01)

·       Australia Ai Group Industry Index (August)/ Ai Group Construction Index (August)/ Ai Group Manufacturing Index (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ GDP Capital Expenditure Q2/ GDP Chain Price Index Q2/ GDP Consumption Q2/ Cotality Dwelling Prices (August)

·       South Korea Inflation Rate (August)

·       Japan Monetary Base/ BoJ Takada Speech

·       Kazakhstan Inflation Rate (August)

·       Pakistan Inflation Rate (August)/ Wholesale Prices (August)

·       Thailand Business Confidence (August)

·       India M3 Money Supply (August/21)

·       Singapore SIPMM Manufacturing PMI (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       French President Emmanuel Macron will travel to London to attend the formal opening of the Bayeux Tapestry exhibition and meet with UK Prime Minister Andrew Burnham. This will be the first UK visit by a UK leader to meet with Burnham since he took office.

·       There will be an informal meeting of the EU General Affairs Council in Dublin, Ireland, through September 4th.

·       Estonia’s parliament convenes an extraordinary session to elect a new president.

·       Today is Ceuta Day, recognizing the Spanish autonomous city’s sovereignty.  Ceuta has been experiencing massive migrant waves and clashes with police and local residents in recent weeks trying to kick them out.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Claudia Buch participates in a public panel "Future-proofing European banking discussion" at Bruegel Annual Meetings 2026 in Brussels, Belgium.

·       Spain New Car Sales (August)/ Unemployment Change (August)

·       Italy New Car Registrations (August)/ PPI (July)

·       Romania PPI (July)

·       France Budget Balance (July)

·       Slovakia Real Wages Q2

·       Ireland Unemployment Rate (August)

·       Poland Interest Rate Decision (September)

·       Russia Unemployment Rate (July)/ Business Confidence (August)/ Corporate Profits (June)/ Real Wage Growth (June)/ Retail Sales (July)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Chinese President Xi Jinping will make his first state visit to Egypt in ten years.  He will be in Egypt through September 3rd.  Xi will ​meet ⁠President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and exchange views on bilateral ties and ⁠international ​and regional issues of ​common concern.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The UN’s Office for Disaster Risk Reduction holds its Africa Early Warnings Forum in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt M2 Money Supply (July)

·       South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales (August)

Thursday, September 3, 2026

Global

• Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Ontario, Canada holds local elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller gives a speech on the economic outlook at the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker Interview (Virtual).

·       Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Beth Hammack gives opening remarks at the Opening Communities Webinar entitled “When Every Dollar Counts: Worker Perspectives on the Economy.”

·       USA Challenger Job Cuts (August)/ Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)/ Initial Jobless Claims (August/29)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (August/29)/ Nonfarm Productivity Q2/ Unit Labour Costs Q2/ S&P Global Composite PMI  (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ ISM Services PMI (August)/ ISM Services Business Activity (August)/ ISM Services Employment (August)/ ISM Services New Orders (August)/ ISM Services Prices (August)/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (August/28)/15-Year Mortgage Rate (September/03)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (September/03)/ Fed Balance Sheet (September/02)/ Fed Hammack Speech

·       Mexico Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Canada Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)/ Labor Productivity Q2/ S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)

·       Brazil S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (August)

·       Colombia Exports (July)

·       Uruguay Inflation Rate (August)

·       EARNINGS: Ciena, Wiley, Campbell’s Company, Toro, DocuSign, Lululemon, Smith & Wesson

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Bangkok Business Summit 2026 begins.  The one-day event will bring together government and business leaders to showcase the country's economic potential and build international confidence ahead of the International Monetary Fund-World Bank annual meeting in October.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Import/Export Prices Q2/ Terms of Trade Q2

·       Australia S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)

·       Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners (August/29)

·       Hong Kong S&P Global PMI (August)/ S&P Global Composite PMI  (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI  (August)

·       Vietnam S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (August)/ Balance of Trade (August)/ Foreign Direct Investment (August)/ Industrial Production (August)/ Inflation Rate (August)/ Retail Sales (August)/ Tourist Arrivals (August)

·       Singapore S&P Global Services PMI (August)

·       China RatingDog Services PMI (August)/ RatingDog Composite PMI (August)

·       India HSBC Composite PMI (August)/ HSBC Services PMI (August)

·       Malaysia Interest Rate Decision

·       Turkey Inflation Rate (August)/ PPI (August)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/28)

·       South Korea Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

Europe            

Political/Social Events –

· Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez addresses the Spanish Congress on the Ceuta migrant crisis.

·       The Reform UK National Conference opens in Birmingham and runs through September 5th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Ireland AIB Services PMI (August)

·       France New Car Registrations (August)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)

·       Russia GDP (July)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)

·       Switzerland Inflation Rate (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Spain S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (August)

·       Italy S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (August)

·       Germany S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ New Car Registrations (August)

·       Euro Area S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)/ PPI  (July)

·       UK S&P Global Composite PMI (August)/ S&P Global Services PMI (August)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia Riyad Bank PMI (August)

·       UAE S&P Global PMI (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt S&P Global PMI (August)

·       South Africa S&P Global PMI (August)

Friday, September 4, 2026

Global

• World FAO Food Price Index (August)/ Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (August)

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Mexico Gross Fixed Investment (June)

·       Canada Unemployment Rate (August)/ Employment Change (August)/ Full-Time Employment Chg (August)/ Part Time Employment Chg (August)/ Participation Rate (August)/ Average Hourly Wages (August)/ Ivey PMI s.a (August)

·       USA Non-Farm Payrolls (August)/ Unemployment Rate (August)/ Average Hourly Earnings  (August)/ Participation Rate (August)/ Average Weekly Hours (August)/ Government Payrolls (August)/ Manufacturing Payrolls (August)/ Nonfarm Payrolls Private (August)/ U-6 Unemployment Rate (August)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (September/04)/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (September/04)

·       Costa Rica Inflation Rate (August)

·       Brazil Balance of Trade (August)

·       Colombia PPI (August)

·       El Salvador Inflation Rate (August)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The 8th Russian-Chinese meeting on energy is scheduled to take place on the sidelines of the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok.  The main issue to be discussed will be strategic energy projects including a meeting between President Putin and Chinese Executive Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang on finalizing a deal on the Power of Siberia 2 natural gas pipeline.

·       In India, the Janmashtami festival is celebrated.  It marks the birth of Hindu god Krishna.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (August)

·       South Korea Current Account (July)

·       Japan Household Spending  (July)/ Coincident Index (July)/ Leading Economic Index (July)

·       Philippines Inflation Rate (August)/ Industrial Production (July)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Turkey Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (August)

·       Singapore Retail Sales (July)

·       Kazakhstan Interest Rate Decision

·       Taiwan Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       India Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/28)

·       Pakistan Balance of Trade (August)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The 52nd TEHA/Ambrosetti Forum (The Cernobbio Forum) begins in Milan, Italy, and runs through September 6th.  The event is held at Villa d'Este under the Chatham House Rule.  Representatives of nine governments attending including Ukraine, Italy, Croatia, Albania, Azerbaijan and US.  The first day agenda covers global economic, geopolitical and technological issues.  The second day focuses on Europe with officials from all major EU institutions.

·       Arctic Sentry, a NATO training mission being held in Greenland begins and runs through September 18th.

·       Today marks the day when Giorgia Meloni becomes the longest-lasting Italian prime minister in the republic’s history.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gives a speech at the LSE TRIUM Anniversary Conference in London.

·       European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane gives a keynote address on "Diversity in the European Central Bank" at Irish Society for Women in Economics (ISWE) Conference in Dublin, Ireland.

·       Romania Retail Sales  (July)

·       Germany Factory Orders (July)/ S&P Global Construction PMI (August)

·       Hungary Retail Sales (July)

·       Slovakia GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Retail Sales (July)

·       Euro Area S&P Global Construction PMI (August)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       France S&P Global Construction PMI (August)

·       Italy S&P Global Construction PMI (August)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       UK New Car Sales (August)/ S&P Global Construction PMI (August)/ DMP 1Y CPI Expectations (August)/ DMP 3M Output Price Expectations (August)/ BoE Gov Bailey Speech

·       Slovenia Balance of Trade (July)

·       Serbia PPI (August)

·       Poland Foreign Exchange Reserves (August)

·       Ireland PPI (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ GNP Q2

·       Russia Vehicle Sales (August)

·       EARNINGS: Vivendi, Ermenegildo Zegna, National Beverage

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Jordan PPI  (July)

·       Israel Tourist Arrivals  (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Business Confidence Q3

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Global

·       The Bank for International Settlements Bimonthly Governors meeting will take place in Basel, Switzerland.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Global Impact Forum begins in Mumbai, India and runs through September 6th.   A number of senior Indian political officials and business leaders will be speaking and/or attending.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Greece’s Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis makes annual economic policy speech at Thessaloniki trade fair.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

Global

·       OPEC+ meets virtually to review market conditions.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Germany’s Saxony-Anhalt state hold elections for the state parliament and local district councils.  This election is attracting international attention as the far-right AfD Party is leading in the polls and have a good shot at winning.  If that happens, most observers believe it will likely give the AfD significant momentum for future national elections.

·       In London, Jamaican officials visit to lodge an unprecedented legal complaint calling for reparations for slavery.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Agriculture Ministers through September 8th in Dublin, Ireland.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Independence Day in Swaziland, a holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks (and Months) Ahead

·       August 29 – 30: The G20 Finance and Central Bank Deputies Meeting, Asheville, North Carolina.

·       August 31 – September 1: the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, Asheville, North Carolina.

·       September 1 – 2: There will be a G20 Innovation Ministerial held in Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina.

·       September 12 – 13:  The 18th BRICS Summit will be held in New Delhi, India.

·       September 14 – 16: There will be a G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial held in Houston, Texas.

·       September 18 – 20: Russia legislative (Duma) elections are to be held.

·       September 22 – 29: The UN General Assembly is held in New York.

·       September 24: Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to visit Washington, DC for bilateral meetings with President Trump.

·       September 30 – October 1: There will be a G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

·       October (exact date TBD): Israel holds legislative elections.

·       October 1: The G20 Sherpa Meeting III will be held in Washington, D.C.

·       October 4: Brazil holds general elections.

·       October 12 – 18: The IMF and World Bank Meetings are held in Bangkok, Thailand.  There will be a finance ministers and central bank governors meeting on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank meetings on October 15th.

·       October 11 – 13: The World Health Summit is held in Berlin, Germany.

·       October 30 – 31: The G20 Foreign Ministers meeting is held in Atlanta, Georgia.

·       November 3: The US Midterm election is to be held.  All 435 members of the US House of Representatives, 1/3 of the US Senate, 36 governors, and 6,000 state legislative seats will be decided.

·       November 9 – 20: The United Nation’s COP31 Conference will be held in Antalya, Turkey.

·       November 18 – 19: The APEC Summit will be held in Shenzhen, China.

·       December 10: The G20 Sherpa Meeting IV will be held in Miami, Florida.

·       December 14 – 15: The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Trump National Doral in Miami, Florida.

2027

·       January 18 – 22: The World Economic Forum is held in Davos, Switzerland.

·       April 12 – 18: The IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings take place in Washington, D.C.

The Global Week Ahead

The US to Announce New Sanctions on Iran, Pakistan’s Army Chief Carries New US Message to Iran, US-Canadian Trade Talks Collapse, Central Bankers Gather in Wyoming, and Is Lagarde Leaving the ECB?

August 23 - 30, 2026

The last week of August is going to be a busy one both geopolitically and for global markets.  On Monday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is scheduled to hold a news conference announcing a new round of economic sanctions on Iran President Trump has billed as the “toughest sanctions in history.”  It is expected the sanctions will apply to a number of Iran’s neighboring countries in an attempt to crush what is left of Iran’s economy (the US dollar rose to a record 1.98 million Iranian rials in Iran’s open markets on Sunday. The British pound reached 2.7 million and the Euro reached 2.3 million).

 Iran has called any new US sanctions “economic terrorism” and is threatening to militarily target any country that complies with them.  The big question is whether the sanctions will go after Chinese banks and Chinese “teapot” oil refineries which specialize in Iranian oil and are seen as a major funder of Iran’s economy.  Our sources tell us it is highly unlikely China in any way will be included out of White House concern it will derail Chinese President Xi Jinping’s scheduled visit to Washington in September.  

One new development emerged this weekend: It has been announced that on Monday, Pakistan’s Army Chief of Staff, Asim Munir, will travel to Tehran for talks with senior Iranian officials.  While the visit is being billed as an effort to “strengthen bilateral cooperation” and bolster Pakistan’s efforts to “promote peace in the region,” there are reports Munir is also carrying a new message from the US that may signal President Trump’s willingness to pursue a new round of peace talks.

Meanwhile, markets were stunned late Friday when news broke that trade talks between Canada and the US broke down and President Trump is moving forward with new 50 percent tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian goods effective Saturday. 

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Canada  is now “at war” over trade with the US and will impose new dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs on September 8th.   It appears the talks broke down when President Trump and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick demanded a new set of concessions from Canada at the last minute as Carney was already facing serious political constraints at home on what had already been agreed upon.  Among them was a demand from the US to have “exclusive access” to Canada’s critical minerals and President Trump’s belief that French language provisions on products in French-speaking Quebec are actually used as trade barriers (which he wanted eliminated).

What happens next is anyone’s guess. Republican lawmakers were split in their reaction to the announcement, with many border state Republicans asking the White House to quickly reconsider entering into new talks. 

Also of note this week: Iceland is holding a referendum on whether to resume negotiations to join the European Union.  Talks had started in 2009 but were suspended in 2013.  Polls suggest the vote is going to be close with 53 percent of voters wanting to reopen negotiations and 47 opposed – but the issue of fishing rights is a major stumbling block for ultimate approval of the country joining.

Looking at the global financial and economic radar screen, the big event this week is the annual Jackson Hole Symposium hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank.  Federal Reserve Board Chair Kevin Warsh will give a major speech on the economic outlook on Friday.  But on the sidelines, we think there will be significant discussion on the future of the European Central Bank with news breaking over the weekend that ECB President Christine Lagarde is preparing to step down and is “ready to serve” as the new chair of the World Economic Forum (WEF).  Reports that she would take the job have circulated for a while, despite Lagarde previously dismissing them.

Also this week, the G20 Finance and Central Bank Deputies Meeting takes place Saturday and Sunday in Ashville, North Carolina. The meeting takes place in advance of the Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Ministerial being held August 31st through September 1st.   Federal Reserve Board Governor Warsh is also scheduled to attend and speak.

Looking at the major economic indicators, in the US, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index is out on Tuesday as is July new home sales. Then on Wednesday,  the July PCE reports on personal income, spending and durable goods orders. 

In Asia, Japan’s August Tokyo CPI and July labor market data reports are out on Friday. China releases July industrial profits on Thursday.

In Europe, The ECB’s July meeting account is released on Thursday. We will also see the French and Spanish August CPI prints are out on Friday.  Germany’s Ifo August survey is out Tuesday as is Q2 GDP estimates. France’s consumer confidence report is out Tuesday, Germany’s consumer confidence on Thursday, and Italy’s on Friday.

Finally, earnings reports are still coming out and the big one markets are watching this week is Nvidia’s on Wednesday.

Below is our detailed report on all the other major geopolitical and economic events for the coming week:

Sunday, August 23, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa travels to Singapore and then Vietnam as part of a broader Asia trip.  Today, he concluded a visit to China where he met with President Xi Jinping, Premier Li Qiang, and other senior officials.  The China meetings – his second visit to China since June – were focused on finding a way to resolve the suspension of 14 Ecuadorian shrimp processors and to secure fresh investments by China in energy and mining in Ecuador.  The Singapore visit is aimed at improving trade and using Singapore as a greater gateway for Ecuadorian products in the wider ASEAN market.  The Vietnam visit is aimed at generally improving bilateral trade and agricultural exports.

·       Mexican Deputy Foreign Minister Roberto Velasco Alvarez travels to South Korea for meetings through August 25th.  They will discuss energy security and other security issues.

·       The Panamerican Congress concludes in Montevideo, Uruguay.  This is a meeting of Progressive lawmakers from all over the Western Hemisphere, including a large contingent of US Democratic lawmakers.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Kuwait Foreign Minister Sheikh Jarrah Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah will pay an official visit to China through August 24th for meetings with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi.  They are expected to discuss the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz.

·       In Kazakhstan, legislative elections are held for all 145 seats of their  parliament (Kurultai).

·       Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong will make an annual address to mark the independence of the city-state. Seen as his keynote political speech for the year, Wong is expected to address how his government can further support families as the Southeast Asian financial hub struggles with raising its birth rate.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Indian Minister of External Affairs S. Jaishankar will be in Moscow for two days of meetings with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov.  Jaishankar will co-chair the 27th Session of the India-Russia Inter-Governmental Commission on Trade, Economic, Scientific, Technological and Cultural Cooperation (IRIGC-TEC).  Jaishankar’s meeting with Lavrov is expected to focus on regional and global issues – this is the second meeting between the two ministers in the last month.  Tensions between the two countries recently became elevated when in late July four Indian sailors were killed by a Russian missile strike on a merchant vessel in the Black Sea.

·       Today is National Flag Day in Ukraine. 

·       The Stockholm International Water Institute holds its World Water Week Conference in Stockholm, Sweden through August 27th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman will meet with French President Emmanuel Macron and Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu in Paris, France.   The Crown Prince last visited Paris in 2023.  The leaders will discuss ways to expand economic partnerships and ways of returning stability in the Middle East in the face of the Iran War and the ongoing military activities in Lebanon and Gaza.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, August 24, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing on Sudan.

·       The ONS International Energy Conference begins in Stavanger, Norway.  The event focuses on geopolitics, energy security and climate issues.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is expected to announce additional economic sanctions on Iran.  Iranian leaders have threatened a military response to whatever the US imposes. Markets are watching the announcement closely to see if the sanctions will include Chinese “teapot” oil refineries and Chinese banks involved in processing Iranian oil production.

·       Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister Nguyen Van Thang travels to the US to a participate in the Columbia University Vietnam Leadership Program.  He will then travel to Washington for meetings with US officials and business leaders.

·       Former Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov travels to the US for meetings on a variety of defense technology projects.  Fedorov was ousted as Defense Minister by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in July. His meetings may include a meeting with SpaceX CEO Elon Musk.

·       The Nuclear Energy Conference & Expo (NECX) begins in Dallas, Texas, bringing together utilities, advanced reactor developers, regulators, policymakers and investors to discuss the industry’s future. Continuing until Thursday

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin delivers most recent speech, “The Mysterious U.S. Economy" before the Montgomery County Chamber of Commerce “Eggs & Issues" event.

·       Mexico Economic Activity (June)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Mid-month Inflation Rate (August)

·       Canada Manufacturing Sales (July)

·       USA Chicago Fed National Activity Index (July)

·       Chile PPI (July)

·       Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout

·       EARNINGS: Woodside Energy

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Jordan’s King Abdullah II concludes a week-long state visit to China.

·       Today is the last day of Vietnam’s extraordinary National Assembly session. During the session, the body approved an agreement related to the country's first nuclear power plant project in Ninh Thuan province, as well as special mechanisms to resolve obstacles facing some wind and solar power projects. Lawmakers are also scheduled to vote on proposals to establish Quang Ninh and Bac Ninh as centrally governed cities, along with special policies for projects supporting APEC 2027 on Phu Quoc island.

·       A cross-party group of Japanese legislators are expected to travel to Beijing for meetings through August 27th in a bid to help thaw tensions between China and Japan.

·       The APEC Food Security Ministerial meeting takes in Hangzhou, China.

·       The Silk Road Finance and Technology Forum begins in Tashkent, Uzbekistan and runs through August 26th. The Forum is the annual gathering for Central Asian economies.

·       Hyundai Motor workers are expected to hold a four-hour strike at plants nationwide in South Korea.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Retail Sales Q2

·       Thailand Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)

·       Malaysia Coincident Index (June)/ Leading Index (June)

·       Singapore Inflation Rate (July)

·       Taiwan Unemployment Rate (July)/ M2 Money Supply (July)

·       EARNINGS: XPeng Inc, PDD Holdings Inc., Sinopec (first-half earnings)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       NATO Deputy Secretary General Radmila Shekerinska will participate remotely in a meeting of the Coalition of the Willing, co-hosted by the UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham, French President Emmanuel Macron, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.

·       Today is Independence Day in Ukraine, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Riksbank Deputy Governor Aino Bunge joins a panel discussion on private capital markets in Stockholm, Sweden.

·       Poland Retail Sales (July)/ M3 Money Supply (July)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Pakistan Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir will travel to Tehran on Monday at the head of an official delegation. Baghaei said the visit was aimed at strengthening bilateral cooperation and continuing Pakistan’s efforts to promote peace and security in the region. Munir is scheduled to hold talks with senior Iranian officials during the visit.  He is reportedly carrying a new message from the US on possible peace talks.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Flag Day in Liberia.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold an open debate on the Maintenance of International Peace and Security - Food Under Fire: The Security Council’s Role in Mitigating Global and Local Food Crises. World Food Program Acting Executive Director Carl Skau will be briefing alongside the UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The South Carolina Senate run-off election between Darline Graham and Representative Ralph Norman (R-SC) is held.

·       Oklahoma holds gubernatorial primary run-off elections.

·       Today is Independence Day in Uruguay, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President gives a speech entitled "The Mysterious U.S. Economy" before the Charlotte Regional Business Alliance, Charlotte, North Carolina.

·       Brazil FGV Consumer Confidence (August)

·       USA ADP Employment Change Weekly/ Redbook (August/22)/ S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price (June)/ House Price Index (June)/ CB Consumer Confidence (August)/ New Home Sales (July)/ Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (August)/ Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index/ Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (August)/ Money Supply (July)/API Crude Oil Stock Change (August/21)/ Building Permits (July)

·       Canada Wholesale Sales (July)

·       Mexico Current Account Q2

·       El Salvador Balance of Trade (July)

·       Paraguay Interest Rate Decision/ PPI (July)

·       EARNINGS: Scotiabank, BMO, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Intuit, Zoom, Select Quote

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Kuwait Foreign Minister Jarrah Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah travels from China to South Korea for meetings with South Korean Foreign Minister Cho Hyun.  It is the first trip by a Kuwaiti foreign minister to the country since 2007.   Kuwait is South Korea’s 5th largest crude oil supplier and 4th overseas construction market for South Korea globally. They are expected to focus on energy security and the Iran War.

·       Indonesia hosts the annual Super Garuda Shield military exercises.  For more than two weeks, more than 3,000 military personal from Indonesia, the US, Australia, Japan, the Netherlands, Canada, South Korea, Timor Leste, India, Singapore, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Laos, and Cambodia will participate.

·       China’s Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress will hold a session through August 28th in Beijing.  Agenda items include draft laws such as the Medical Security Law, Enterprise Bankruptcy Law amendments, and proposed changes to the Banking Supervision and Administration Law, plus a review of national economic and social development plan implementation and the state budget so far this year.

·       The Inaugural Singapore-Vietnam Strategic Dialogue begins in Singapore.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Consumer Confidence (August)

·       China National People's Congress

·       Australia RBA Jacobs Speech

·       Japan Coincident Index (June)/ Leading Economic Index (June)

·       Taiwan Industrial Production (July)/ Retail Sales (July)

·       Hong Kong Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The Vatican’s Foreign Minister, Archbishop Paul Gallagher, travels to Moscow for meetings with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.  He will be in Moscow through August 28th.  The purpose of the meetings is to discuss a variety of diplomatic and ecumenical issues, including the Ukraine War.  Gallagher was recently in Ukraine (July)

Economic & Financial Reports/Events

·       Germany GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Ifo Business Climate (August)/ Ifo Current Conditions (August)/ Ifo Expectations (August)

·       France Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Spain PPI (July)

·       Poland Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Slovenia Business Confidence (August)/ Tourist Arrivals (July)

·       Hungary Deposit Interest Rate (August)/ Interest Rate Decision

·       EARNINGS: Lego (HY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (June)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nigeria GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator (June)

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing on the Middle East, including the Palestinian question.

·       The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will hold its International High-level Forum to launch the Atomic Technologies Licensed for Applications at Sea (ATLAS) initiative in Washington, D.C.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/21)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (August/21)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (August/21)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (August/21)/ MBA Purchase Index (August/21)/ Durable Goods Orders (July)/ GDP Growth Rate 2nd Est Q2/ Personal Income (July)/ Personal Spending (July)/ Corporate Profits Q2/ Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp (July)/ GDP Price Index 2nd Est Q2/ PCE Price Index (July)/ PCE Prices 2nd Est Q2/ Durable Goods Orders ex Defense (July)/ GDP Sales 2nd Est Q2/ Non-Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (July)/ Real Consumer Spending 2nd Est Q2/ Real Personal Spending (July)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (August/21)/ Fed Barkin Speech

·       Brazil IPCA mid-month CPI (August)

·       EARNINGS: Nvidia, National Bank (Canada), EQB (Canada), Kohl’s, Dycom, Williams-Sonoma, JMS Smucker Co., Nutanix, Synopsys, CrowdStrike, Salesforce

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Indonesia and Australia will hold their 10th “2+2” Foreign and Defense Ministers meeting in Melbourne.

·       The Nikkei Asia Forum Sydney 2026 is held.  The event convenes high-level government, business and diplomatic figures to discuss key issues confronting Australia-Japan relations and broader developments in the region. Speakers include the secretary of Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, the chair of Australia's Foreign Investment Review Board, the chair of Export Finance Australia, and the country's former Prime Minister Scott Morrison, as well as key figures from major banks, energy companies, hospitality and investment firms.

·       The Thailand Focus 2026 Conference is held in Bangkok, with Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas among the scheduled speakers.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Business Confidence (August)

·       Australia Westpac Leading Index (July)/ Construction Work Done Q2/ Inflation Rate (July)/ RBA Trimmed Mean CPI (July)/ CPI (July)/ RBA Weighted Median CPI (July)

·       Thailand New Car Sales (July)/ Interest Rate Decision

·       China National People's Congress

·       Singapore Industrial Production (July)

·       India M3 Money Supply (August/15)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone gives a speech at the Deutsche Bundesbank's Symposium "Future of payments: trends and innovations in Germany and Europe" in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       Switzerland Economic Sentiment Index (August)/ SNB Martin Speech

·       UK CBI Distributive Trades (August)/ Car Production (July)

·       Russia Industrial Production (July) 

·       EARNINGS: Prudential

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Kuwait M2 Money Supply (July)/ Private Bank Lending (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Global

·       The 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium begins and runs through August 29th.  This year’s theme is “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy.”

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing on Syria, followed by consultations on the Middle East.

·       The BRICS Contact Group on Economic and Trade Issues holds a virtual meeting. 

·       The BRICS Working Group on Environment meets virtually.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Richmond Federal Reserve Bank Thomas Barkin participates in panel before the Greensboro Chamber of Commerce "State of Our Community" event in Greensboro, North Carolina.

·       USA Goods Trade Balance Adv (July)/ Initial Jobless Claims (August/22)/ Retail Inventories Ex Autos Adv (July)/ Wholesale Inventories Adv (July)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (August/15)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (August/22)/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (August/21)/ Kansas Fed Composite Index (August)/ Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (August)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (August/27)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/27)/ Fed Balance Sheet (August/26)

·       Brazil Current Account (July)/ Foreign Direct Investment (July)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Mexico Balance of Trade (July)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Canada Current Account Q2/Average Weekly Earnings (June)

·       Colombia Business Confidence (July)

·       Uruguay Unemployment Rate (July)

·       EARNINGS: CIBC, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank, Best Buy, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Hormel, Burlington, Marvell Technology, Autodesk, Gap

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino speaks at a meeting of local business leaders in Saitama, Japan.

·       Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners (August/22)/BoJ JGB Purchase

·       South Korea Interest Rate Decision

·       Australia RBA Bulletin/ Building Capital Expenditure Q2/ Household Spending (July)/ Plant Machinery Capital Expenditure Q2/ Private Capital Expenditure Q2/ RBA Payments System Board Meeting

·       China Industrial Profits (YTD) (July)/ National People's Congress

·       Taiwan Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Philippines Interest Rate Decision

·       EARNINGS: BiliBili, Vanke, Qantas Airways

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The EU Political and Security Committee meets in Brussels.  The Committee is composed of all ambassadors of the 27 EU members states. They are expected to review and discuss the situation in Iran and other major international issues and events.

·       Today is Independence Day in Moldova, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank monetary policy meeting minutes released.

·       Ireland Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Germany GfK Consumer Confidence (September)

·       Hungary Gross Wage (June)

·       Switzerland Non-Farm Payrolls Q2

·       France PPI (July)/ Unemployment Benefit Claims (July)/ Jobseekers Total (July)

·       Euro Area Loans to Companies (July)/ Loans to Households (July)/ M3 Money Supply (July)

·       EARNINGS: Pernod Ricard

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Manufacturing Production (June)

·       Turkey Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/21)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa PPI (July)

Friday, August 28, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a consultation on Lebanon.

·       The BRICS FinTech Group meets virtually.

·       A partial lunar eclipse will be visible over the Americas, Europe, Africa and parts of western Asia

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh gives keynote remarks at the 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

·       Brazil IGP-M Inflation (August)/ Bank Lending (July)/ PPI (July)/ Net Payrolls (July)

·       Canada GDP Growth Rate Annualized Q2/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ GDP (June)/ GDP (July)/ GDP Implicit Price Q2/ Budget Balance (June)

·       Chile Unemployment Rate (July)

·       USA Chicago PMI (August)/ Non-Farm Payrolls Annual Revision/ Michigan Consumer Sentiment (August)/ Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (August)/ Michigan Consumer Expectations (August)/ Michigan Current Conditions (August)/ Michigan Inflation Expectations (August)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (August/28)/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (August/28)

·       Uruguay Balance of Trade (July)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Japan Unemployment Rate (July)/ Jobs/applications ratio (July)/ Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy (August)/ Tokyo CPI (August)/ Consumer Confidence (August)/ Housing Starts (July)/ Construction Orders (July)

·       Philippines Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)/ PPI (July)/ Budget Balance (July)/ Business Confidence (July)

·       Singapore Bank Lending (July)/ Import/Export Prices (July)/ PPI (July)

·       China National People's Congress

·       Malaysia PPI (July)/ M3 Money Supply (July)

·       Thailand Industrial Production (July)/ Current Account (July)/ Private Consumption (July)/ Private Investment (July)/ Retail Sales (June)

·       Sri Lanka Inflation Rate (August)/ Balance of Trade (July)/ PPI (July)

·       India Industrial Production (July)/ Manufacturing Production (July)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/21)

·       EARNINGS: Petronas, Bank of China (HY)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel participates in a panel discussion at 2026 Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium "Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy" in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

·       Russia GDP (July)/ M2 Money Supply (July)

·       UK Nationwide Housing Prices (August)

·       Hungary Unemployment Rate (July)/ Balance of Trade (July)

·       France Inflation Rate (August)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Household Consumption (July)

·       Slovakia Business Confidence (August)/ Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Spain Inflation Rate (August)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (August)/ Retail Sales (July)/ Business Confidence (August)

·       Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators (August)

·       Turkey Balance of Trade (July)/ Economic Confidence Index (August)/ Imports/Exports (July)

·       Germany Unemployed Persons (August)/ Unemployment Change (August)/ Unemployment Rate (August)

·       Italy Industrial Sales (June)/ Business Confidence (August)/ Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Slovenia Retail Sales (July)

·       Euro Area Economic Sentiment (August)/ Consumer Confidence (August)/ Consumer Inflation Expectations (August)/ Industrial Sentiment (August)/ Selling Price Expectations (August)/ Services Sentiment (August)

·       Greece PPI (July)/ Total Credit (July)

·       Serbia Retail Sales (July)/ Unemployment Rate Q2

·       Ireland Retail Sales (July)

·       EARNINGS: Bertelsmann (HY), Northam Platinum (HY)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Balance of Trade (July)/ Budget Balance (July)

·       Kenya Inflation Rate (August)

Saturday, August 29, 2026

Global

·       The G20 Finance and Central Bank Deputies Meeting begins in Asheville, North Carolina and runs through August 30th.   The meeting is in preparation for the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bankers Meeting being chaired by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in Asheville on August 31st to September 1st.  The agenda of both meetings is “modernizing financial regulation; strengthening our understanding of excessive global imbalances; enhancing debt transparency and facilitating debt restructuring processes; endorsing a vibrant digital assets ecosystem; improving cross-border payments and addressing payments fraud and scams; and promoting financial literacy.” 

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Iceland holds a referendum on the resumption of European Union membership negotiations. Iceland applied to join the EU in 2009, but negotiations have been suspended since 2013.  Subsequent governments have insisted that a referendum be held before negotiations resume.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The African Union will hold the 21st Extraordinary Summit on Strengthening Conflict Prevention and Resolution Mechanisms in Luanda, Angola.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, August 30, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope — named after the first NASA chief astronomer, who is often dubbed “the mother of the Hubble Space Telescope” — launches aboard a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Pacific Islands Forum Leaders Meeting will be held in Koror, Republic of Palau.

·       Today is Popular Consultation Day in East Timor, a public holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Turkey celebrates Victory Day, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Guinea-Bissau holds a constitutional referendum which will expand presidential powers.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks (and Months) Ahead 

·       August 29 – 30: The G20 Finance and Central Bank Deputies Meeting, Asheville, North Carolina.

·       August 31 – September 1: the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, Asheville, North Carolina.

·       September 1 – 2: There will be a G20 Innovation Ministerial held in Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina.

·       September 12 – 13:  The 18th BRICS Summit will be held in New Delhi, India.

·       September 14 – 16: There will be a G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial held in Houston, Texas.

·       September 18 – 20: Russia legislative (Duma) elections are to be held.

·       September 22 – 29: The UN General Assembly is held in New York.

·       September 24: Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to visit Washington, DC for bilateral meetings with President Trump.

·       September 30 – October 1: There will be a G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

·       October (exact date TBD): Israel holds legislative elections.

·       October 1: The G20 Sherpa Meeting III will be held in Washington, D.C.

·       October 4: Brazil holds general elections.

·       October 12 – 18: The IMF and World Bank Meetings are held in Bangkok, Thailand.  There will be a finance ministers and central bank governors meeting on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank meetings on October 15th.

·       October 30 – 31: The G20 Foreign Ministers meeting is held in Atlanta, Georgia.

·       November 3: The US Midterm election is to be held.  All 435 members of the US House of Representatives, 1/3 of the US Senate, 36 governors, and 6,000 state legislative seats will be decided.

·       November 9 – 20: The United Nation’s COP31 Conference will be held in Antalya, Turkey.

·       November 18 – 19: The APEC Summit will be held in Shenzhen, China.

·       December 10: The G20 Sherpa Meeting IV will be held in Miami, Florida.

·       December 14 – 15: The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Trump National Doral in Miami, Florida.

The Global Week Ahead

The US-Iran MOU Expires with the US Promising Tougher Economic Sanctions, The US and Canada Close in on a Tariff Deal, China and India Hold High-Level Security Talks, and Markets Await Global Inflation Reports

August 16 - 23, 2026

So much for hopes of a quiet August.  The US-Iran 15 Point Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) is set to expire Monday, with little hope of revival.  US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will now move to impose new economic sanctions on Iran that will be “unprecedented.”  President Trump also said in a speech last week that the measures that are coming as soon as this week will be on a scale that has “Never been seen.”  

As to the specifics of the forthcoming sanctions, speculation has focused on the US imposing sanctions on Chinese independent oil refineries known as “teapots.”  They reportedly account for more than 25 percent of all Chinese refinery capacity, and China has traditionally purchased more than 80 percent of Iran's shipped oil.  Also reported to be in Trump's focus are Chinese banks that have funded the processing of Iranian oil for production and shipment. 

The big question is whether President Trump is willing to announce such tough sanctions on Chinese entities in advance of Chinese President Xi Jinping's planned visit to the US in September, risking the cancellation of the summit? 

Additionally, Treasury is considering imposing sanctions on any land-based trade, focusing on Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Armenia.   In the face of such sanctions, Iran hit two tankers this weekend with drones, and the risk of more strikes is likely to increase if and when the sanctions are announced.

Meanwhile, Washington and Ottawa are racing to strike a trade deal before Wednesday when President Trump’s new 50 percent tariffs on Canadian goods goes into effect.  Reports suggest the outlines of a deal are close, with Canadian concessions including new trade in oil, gas, critical minerals, and promises to increase defense spending.  

New Delhi will be a busy place this week as Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi arrives for talks with Indian officials to participate in the 24th round of talks on the Indian-Chinese border.  But there will be separate side talks between Wang and Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar on trade and investment issues. China sees an opportunity to improve historically chilly relations with India as the US and India have yet to finalize a trade deal and India wants to ensure “strategic autonomy”, so the country is not too dependent on either the US or China.  Additionally, the talks are seen as a way for China to help shape the agenda for the upcoming BRICS Leaders’ Summit in New Delhi next month.

Wang then flies to South Korea for talks – the first time a Chinese foreign minister has visited Seoul in over five years.  Wang will discuss North Korea’s nuclear program and broader security issues on the Korean Peninsula.   The meetings take place just as the US and South Korean military drills – Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises – were set to begin this week and run through the rest of the month. However, late Sunday President Trump tweeted out on his Truth Social account that, “Based on my very good relationship with Kim Jong Un, of North Korea…” he was not happy with the US participating in joint military exercises with South Korea.  He cited two reasons: the cost and South Korea’s supposed lack of support for the US war with Iran.

Looking at the global economic and financial market radar screen this week, the big focus of markets will be the global flash PMIs this Friday for the US, Germany, France, the UK, and Japan.  

Looking regionally, the US Federal Reserve releases the July FOMC minutes on Wednesday. Also, out this week in the US are housing starts and permits and July industrial production, both out on Tuesday. Canada’s July inflation data is out Monday, and June retail sales figures are out Friday.

In Asia this week, markets will be watching for Japan’s Q2 GDP figures on Monday (the expectations being the economy grew by 0.5%) and national CPI on Friday. We will also get Japan’s machinery orders for June on Wednesday, trade balance numbers on Thursday, and nationwide July consumer price figures on Friday.  

China releases retail sales, industrial sales (watching for a slowdown), housing prices, and fixed-asset investment numbers reports on Monday.   And China’s loan prime rates will be set on Thursday (no change expected).

In Europe this week, the flash August PMIs for Germany, France, and the Eurozone are out on Friday. Germany’s ZEW Survey is out on Tuesday.  Also out on Friday is the European Central Bank’s July Consumer expectations survey. The UK releases a flood of data this week, the biggest being the labor market data on Tuesday, July inflation figures on Wednesday, and flash August PMI and retail sales on Friday. Sweden’s Riksbank is out with its interest rate decision on Thursday.

Finally, we are moving toward the home stretch of major corporate earnings this week with Home Depot, Target, Walmart, John Deere, and Analog Devices all reporting in the US and Alibaba and Baidu reporting in China.

Below is our detailed report on all the other major geopolitical and economic events for the coming week:

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Brazil’s 2026 election campaign season formally begins (the elections are in October).

·       Today is Restoration Day in the Dominican Republic, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       In Malaysia, the Democratic Action Party will vote on whether to leave Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim's government.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       In Durban, South Africa, the 46th Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit of heads of state and government.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, August 17, 2026 

Global

·       The June US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding and ceasefire are set to expire.

·       The BRICS Youth Energy Summit (virtual) runs through August 18th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       White House Special Envoy for Peace Jared Kushner traveled to Egypt Sunday for meetings with Hamas leadership and then on to Israel today to discuss the situation in Gaza.   The announcement came from a spokesman for the for the Board of Peace.  Kushner is expected to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  Accompanying Kushner will be former British Prime Minister Tony Blair and Gaza Board of Peace Head Nickolay Mladenov.   The meetings come following Israel’s rejection of the Board’s 15-point peace plan, stating that until Hamas “truly disarmed” Israel could not accept a deal.

·       The annual Wyoming Blockchain Symposium begins in Jackson Hole, running until Thursday. The invitation-only, 500-person event brings together investors, entrepreneurs and policymakers involved in digital assets. Speakers include SEC Chair Paul Atkins.

·       Today is San Martin Day in Argentina, honoring José de San Martín.  It is a national holiday and financial markets are closed.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Brazil IGP-10 Inflation (August)/ IBC-BR Economic Activity (June)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

·       Canada Inflation Rate (July)/ CPI Common (July)/ CPI Median (July)/ CPI Trimmed-Mean (July)/ Foreign Securities Purchases (June)/ Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians (June)

·       USA NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (August)/ NAHB Housing Market Index (August)/ NOPA Crush Report/ Net Long-term TIC Flows (June)/ Overall Net Capital Flows (June)

·       Ecuador Inflation Rate (July)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       In China, The Ministry for Foreign Affairs resumes its routine daily press briefings. The briefings had gone into hiatus from August 3-14 for the annual closed-door Beidaihe leadership retreat — the informal Chinese Communist Party conclave where senior and retired leaders discuss personnel and policy. Reporting suggests this year's discussions centered on Party discipline, economic headwinds, and preparation for the October Fifth Plenary Session (focused on "comprehensive and strict governance of the Party") ahead of the 21st Party Congress next year.

·       The US and South Korea hold their joint Ulchi Freedom Shield exercise which runs through August 27th. Approximately 8,000 Republic of Korea (ROK) troops plus personnel from 11 other UN Command member states will participate. While this is a US-ROK drill, Japan is expected to be on heightened alert throughout this timeframe Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has already activated emergency response protocols for recent North Korean missile launches (which were fired off on August 6th and 11th, respectively), in the event Pyongyang tests again during the exercise period, which is historically likely.

·       Today is Liberation Day in South Korea, a national holiday.  Financial markets are closed.

·       Today is Independence Day in Indonesia, a national holiday.

·       South Korea’s Democratic Party is expected to elect its next party leader.  So far, Kim Min-seok is leading the Democratic Party's leadership race with a cumulative 52.21% of votes cast in regional primaries.

·       Thailand’s Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul will begin a trip to Australia and New Zealand.

·       The Thailand-U.S. Trade & Investment Summit takes place in Bangkok.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Composite NZ PCI (July)/ Services NZ PSI (July)/ Electronic Retail Card Spending (July)/ Food Inflation (July)

·       Japan GDP Growth Rate Q2/ GDP Growth Annualized Q2/ GDP Capital Expenditure Q2 / GDP External Demand Q2/ GDP Price Index Q2/ GDP Private Consumption Q2/ Capacity Utilization (June)/ Industrial Production (June) / Tertiary Industry Index (June)

·       Singapore Balance of Trade (July)/ Non-Oil Exports (July)

·       China House Price Index (July)/ Industrial Production (July)/ Retail Sales (July)/ Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) (July)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Thailand GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Malaysia Inflation Rate (July)

·       India Unemployment Rate (July)

·       EARNINGS: BitFuFu, HTHT, Geely Automobile Holdings, National Australia Bank, Aurizon

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Russian FM Sergey Lavrov will hold talks with Ghana Foreign Minister Samuel Okudzeto Ablakwa in Moscow.  Ablakwa is there for a working visit through August 19th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane participates on a panel "Europe’s Defense Build-Up: Macroeconomic, Fiscal, and Financial Stability Challenges" at Annual Congress of the European Economic Association in Dublin, Ireland.

·       Belarus Industrial Production (July)

·       EARNINGS: BHP Group

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Israel’s Likud Party holds its primary to choose Knesset members.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Independence Day in Gabon, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·      Nothing significant to report.

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing, followed by consultations, on the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) and Libya sanctions.

·       The UN General Assembly will hold a solemn session in tribute to the memory of His Highness the Father Amir of the State of Qatar, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, convened at the request of the Mission of Qatar.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       There will be primaries in Florida, Alaska and Wyoming, Special election in California’s 14th Congressional District.

·       In Oakland, California, opening statements are due to be made in a landmark federal court trial brought by 29 states, alleging Meta improperly captured data from minors, designed its social media platforms to addict children and misled the public about their safety.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Canada Housing Starts (July)

·       USA Housing Starts (July)/ Building Permits (July)/ Import/Export Prices (July)/ Industrial Production (July)/ Capacity Utilization (July)/ Manufacturing Production (July)/ Pending Home Sales (July)/ NY Fed Services Activity Index (August)/ Redbook (August/15)/ ADP Employment Change Weekly/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (August/14)

·       Chile Current Account Q2/ GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Colombia GDP Growth Rate Q2/ ISE Economic Activity (June)

·       El Salvador PPI (July)

·       Uruguay Interest Rate Decision

·       EARNINGS: Home Depot, Toll Brothers, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile 

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi travels to India for the 24th round of the Special Representatives' Talks on the China-India Boundary Question with Indian National Security Advisor Ajit Doval, plus a separate bilateral meeting with Indian Minister of External Affairs S. Jaishankar. This is Wang's first India trip in roughly a year and comes as Beijing and New Delhi work to stabilize ties after prior border tensions — notable timing given it lands right alongside the BRICS Tourism Ministers' meetings in Jaipur.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Change (August)/ Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (August)

·       Turkey Auto Production (July)/ Auto Sales (July)

·       Kazakhstan Industrial Production (July)

·       EARNINGS: Baidu, VNET

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Ukraine’s Parliament returns from a month-long recess.  This will be the body’s first chance to formally appoint a new permanent defense minister following Mykhailo Fedorov's dismissal in July.  Acting Defense Minister Maj. Gen. Yevhenii Khmara is the likely replacement but there is some question as to whether he is ready to leave active military duty yet.

·       Russia's President Vladimir Putin will hold talks with President of Myanmar Min Aung Hlaing, who will be on an official visit to Russia.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane participates on an EEA-ECB panel "Monetary Policy in a Geopolitically Fragmented World" at Annual Congress of the European Economic Association in Ireland, Dublin.

·       UK Unemployment Rate (June)/ Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (June)/ Employment Change (June)/ Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (June)/ Claimant Count Change (July)/ HMRC Payrolls Change (July)/ Labour Productivity Q2

·       Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (August)/ ZEW Current Conditions (August)

·       Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (August)

·       Spain Balance of Trade (June)

·       Ireland Balance of Trade (June)

·       EARNINGS: Klarna

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi is scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia (arriving in Riyadh on August 18) and Oman (arriving in Muscat on August 20th) from August 17th to 22nd.  He will meet with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al-Saud and Omani Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr bin Hamad al-Busaidi to address regional maritime security and de-escalation.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Unemployment Rate (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nigeria Food Inflation (July)/ Inflation Rate (July)

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

 Global

·       The UN  Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC)  is expected to launch their Panorama of Productive Development Policies in Latin America and the Caribbean annual report.

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold its annual open debate on working methods. The meeting will focus on the implementation of Danish presidential note S/2024/507 to enhance transparency, inclusivity, and efficiency.

·       The 2nd BRICS Tourism Working Group Meeting takes place in Jaipur, India.  The meeting will focus on focused on AI in tourism, sustainable/responsible tourism, skills development, and travel facilitation.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The US’ 50% tariff on over 500 Canadian products worth close to $20 billion goes into effect.  Since President Trump threatened the tariffs, trade talks have intensified sharply between Ottawa and Washington.  Canadian Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc met US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer in Washington on August 11th — their third meeting in as many weeks.  As of now, it appears a possible emerging framework to avoid the draconian tariffs would have the US roll back the 50% threat and reduce Section 232 tariffs on steel, aluminum, autos, and lumber, in exchange for Canada eliminating retaliatory auto tariffs, easing provincial restrictions on US alcohol sales, and reworking dairy quota arrangements.  Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly said Canada "will not accept a bad deal," while maintaining talks are "constructive." Analysts we have spoken to caution a comprehensive deal likely requires direct Carney-Trump engagement rather than being finalized at the negotiator level — worth watching for a leaders' call or meeting this week as the deadline lands.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board FOMC Minutes released

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/14)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (August/14)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (August/14)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (August/14)/ MBA Purchase Index (August/14)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (August/14)

·       Ecuador Balance of Trade (June)

·       Colombia Imports/Balance of Trade (June)

·       EARNINGS: Analog Devices, Target, Lowe’s, Estee Lauder, Viking, Carlyle Group, TJX Cos.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi is expected to begin a two-day visit to South Korea through August 20th.  This is the first time a Chinese foreign minister has traveled to South Korea for bilateral talks in five years. South Korea plans to urge Beijing to reaffirm the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and help encourage Pyongyang to return to dialogue, following recent high-level exchanges between China and North Korea. Discussions will cover strategic cooperation, trade, and managing regional stability amidst broader U.S.-China dynamics.  But the meeting will also see China use the occasion to reiterate its position on the "one China" principle, while Seoul may raise maritime boundary and Yellow Sea structure concerns.

·       In Beijing, the World Robot Conference begins, running until Sunday.  The event showcases the latest advances in humanoid robots and other high-tech machines. According to Nikkei Asia, with government backing, China is making a major push to cement itself as the leading force in the emerging field. Another robotics event, the World Humanoid Robot Games, is scheduled to start Saturday in the Chinese capital, featuring a record 2,056 robots from 666 teams, according to state media. The highly anticipated Shanghai IPO of leading humanoid maker Unitree is expected during the week as well.

·       Today is Revolution Day in Vietnam, marking the historic 1945 August Revolution led by Ho Chi Minh.

·       The AI Summit Seoul & Expo takes place and runs through Aug. 21st.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser speaks at the Queensland Futures Institute Annual Regions Summit in Brisbane.

·       Japan Machinery Orders (June)/ BoJ JGB Purchase

·       Australia Wage Price Index Q2/ RBA Hauser Speech

·       Indonesia Interest Rate Decision (August)/ Deposit Facility Rate (August)/ Lending Facility Rate (August)/ Loan Growth (July)

·       New Zealand PPI Input Q2/ New Zealand PPI Output Q2/ Global Dairy Trade Price Index (August/18)

·       EARNINGS: Weibo, Toyo Solar, Full Truck Alliance, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Hungarian President-elect Andras Baka takes office after his election by parliament, succeeding the Viktor Orban-allied predecessor, who was ousted less than halfway through his five-year term.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde participates on a panel discussion titled "Global Economic Outlook" at the World Economic Forum's International Business Council (IBC) meeting in Geneva, Switzerland.  Lagarde’s attendance is expected to prompt renewed speculation she may exit the ECB early.

·       UK Inflation Rate (July)/ PPI Output (July)/ PPI Input (July)/ Retail Price Index (July)

·       Euro Area Current Account (June)/ Current Account s.a (June)/ CPI (July)/ Inflation Rate (July)/ ECB

·       Italy Current Account (June)

·       Russia PPI (July)

·       Belarus GDP (July)

·       Switzerland Industrial Production Q2

·       Slovakia Harmonized Inflation Rate (July)

·       Poland Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Serbia Current Account (June)

·       Ireland Residential Property Prices (June)

·       EARNINGS: Carlsberg

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Inflation Rate (July)/ Retail Sales (June)

·       Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves (July)/ M3 Money Supply (July)

Thursday, August 20, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council (UNSC) is scheduled to hold closed consultations to discuss the 90-day report on the work of the 1718 Committee | Security Council - the United Nations (the Democratic People's Republic of Korea Sanctions Committee).

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Brazil BCB National Monetary Council Meeting

·       Canada New Housing Price Index (July)/ PPI (July)/ Raw Materials Prices (July)

·       USA Initial Jobless Claims (August/15)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (August/08)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (August/15)/ Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (August)/ Philly Fed Business Conditions (August)/ Philly Fed CAPEX Index (August)/ Philly Fed Employment (August)/ Philly Fed New Orders (August)/ Philly Fed Prices Paid (August)/ CB Leading Index (July)/ Fed Balance Sheet (August/19)/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (August/14)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (August/20)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/20) 

·       Mexico Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

·       Argentina Consumer Confidence (August)/ Balance of Trade (July)/ Economic Activity (June)/ Leading Indicator (July)

·       Peru Current Account Q2

·       EARNINGS: Walmart, Ross Stores, John Deere, Advanced Auto Parts, Flux Power

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Bangladesh holds presidential elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       China Loan Prime Rate 1Y (August)/ Loan Prime Rate 5Y (August)

·       India Infrastructure Output (July)/ HSBC Composite PMI Flash (August)/ HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash (August)/ HSBC Services PMI Flash (August)

·       Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations (August)/ Employment Change (July)/ Full Time Employment Chg (July)/ Unemployment Rate (July)/ Part Time Employment Chg (July)/ Participation Rate (July)

·       Turkey Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/14)/ Central Government Debt (July)

·       Japan Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)/ Stock Investment by Foreigners (August/15)

·       Malaysia Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)

·       Taiwan Export Orders (July)/ Current Account Q2

·       Hong Kong Inflation Rate (July)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       EARNINGS: Alibaba, Futu, ATHM, Dago New Energy, AIA

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is National Day in Hungary – also known as St. Stephen’s Day – commemorating the founding of the Hungarian state and the canonization of its first king, Stephen I.  It is a national holiday and financial markets are closed.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders (August)/ GfK Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Germany PPI (July)

·       Euro Area Construction Output (June)/ Labor Cost Index Flash Q2/ ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

·       Slovakia Current Account (June)

·       Switzerland Balance of Trade (July)

·       Poland Corporate Sector Wages (July)/ Employment Growth (July)/ Industrial Production (July)/ PPI (July)

·       Greece Current Account (June)

·       EARNINGS: Fortescue, Hays

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       The annual meeting of the Egyptian-Qatari Joint Higher Committee, co-chaired by Qatari Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani and Egyptian Minister of Foreign Affairs Dr. Badr Abdelatty, is scheduled to be held in El Alamein, Egypt. The meeting will review progress on economic ties, trade, and strategic investments between Egypt and Qatar. It will also seek to coordinate joint diplomatic efforts to de-escalate Middle East tensions, ensure energy security, and maintain freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. 

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Inflation Expectations (August)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       European Central Bank Governing Council member Olaf Sleijpen gives a speech on The Importance of Independent Central Banks in an Unstable World in Paramaribo, Suriname.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Building Permits (June)

·       Egypt Interest Rate Decision/ Overnight Lending Rate

Friday, August 21, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Canada CFIB Business Barometer (August)/ Retail Sales (June)/ Retail Sales (July)/ Retail Sales Ex Autos (June)/ Senior Loan Officer Survey

·       USA S&P Global Composite/Manufacturing/Services PMI Flash (August)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (August/21)/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (August/21)

·       Argentina Retail Sales (June)

·       Mexico Retail Sales (June)

·       Costa Rica Balance of Trade (July)

·       Peru GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       EARNINGS: BJ’s

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       India's annual Economic Times World Leaders Forum will take place in New Delhi.  Prime Minister Narendra Modi will address the conference as well as a number of major international business leaders including SunLife CEO Kevin Strain, Boston Consulting Group CEO Christoph Schweizer, and former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       India HSBC Composite PMI Flash (August)/ HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash (August)/ HSBC Services PMI Flash (August)/ Bank Loan Growth (August/07)/ Deposit Growth (August/07)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/14)

·       Australia S&P Global Manufacturing/Composite/Services PMI Flash (August)

·       South Korea PPI (July)

·       Indonesia Current Account Q2/ M2 Money Supply (July)

·       Turkey Business Confidence (August)/ Consumer Confidence (August)/ Capacity Utilization (August)/ Tourist Arrivals (July)

·       New Zealand Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)/ Credit Card Spending (July)

·       Japan Inflation Rate (July)/ Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy (July)/ S&P Global Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI Flash (August)

·       EARNINGS: Beke, Ping An Insurance

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       UK Retail Sales (July)/ Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (July)/ Retail Sales ex Fuel (July)/ S&P Global Manufacturing/Composite/Services PMI Flash (August)/ GfK Consumer Confidence (August)

·       Germany S&P Global Manufacturing/Composite/Services PMI Flash (August)

·       France Business Confidence (August)/ Business Climate Indicator (August)/ S&P Global Composite/Manufacturing/Services PMI Flash (August)

·       Euro Area S&P Global Manufacturing/Composite/Services PMI Flash (August)/ Consumer Confidence Flash (August)/ Negotiated Wage Growth Q2

·       Ireland Average Weekly Earnings Q2/ Wholesale Prices (July)

·       Slovakia Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Poland Business Confidence (August)

·       Slovenia Consumer Confidence (August)/ PPI (July)/ Unemployment Rate (June)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Lebanon Inflation Rate (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Mozambique GDP Growth Rate Q2

Saturday, August 22, 2026

Global

·       Pope Leo XIV is scheduled to make a half-day visit to the Republic of San Marino.  He will then travel on to Rimini, Italy to participate in a “Meeting for Friendship Among Peoples,” an annual Catholic cultural festival.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia Construction Cost Index (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, August 23, 2026

 Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       In Kazakhstan, legislative elections are held for all 145 seats of their  parliament (Kurultai).

·       Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong will make an annual address to mark the independence of the city-state. Seen as his keynote political speech for the year, Wong is expected to address how his government can further support families as the Southeast Asian financial hub struggles with raising its birth rate.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks (and Months) Ahead

·       August 27 – 29: The 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium will be held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

·       August 29 – 30: The G20 Finance and Central Bank Deputies Meeting, Asheville, North Carolina.

·       August 31 – September 1: The G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, Asheville, North Carolina.

·       September 1 – 2: There will be a G20 Innovation Ministerial held in Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina.

·       September 12 – 13:  The 18th BRICS Summit will be held in New Delhi, India.

·       September 14 – 16: There will be a G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial held in Houston, Texas.

·       September 18 – 20: Russia legislative (Duma) elections are to be held.

·       September 22 – 29: The UN General Assembly is held in New York.

·       September 24: Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to visit Washington, DC for bilateral meetings with President Trump.

·       September 30 – October 1: There will be a G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

·       October (exact date TBD): Israel holds legislative elections.

·       October 1: The G20 Sherpa Meeting III will be held in Washington, D.C.

·       October 4: Brazil holds general elections.

·       October 12 – 18: The IMF and World Bank Meetings are held in Bangkok, Thailand.  There will be a finance ministers and central bank governors meeting on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank meetings on October 15th.

·       October 30 – 31: The G20 Foreign Ministers meeting is held in Atlanta, Georgia.

·       November 3: The US Midterm election is to be held.  All 435 members of the US House of Representatives, 1/3 of the US Senate, 36 governors, and 6,000 state legislative seats will be decided.

·       November 9 – 20: The United Nation’s COP31 Conference will be held in Antalya, Turkey.

·       November 18 – 19: The APEC Summit will be held in Shenzhen, China.

·       December 10: The G20 Sherpa Meeting IV will be held in Miami, Florida.

·       December 14 – 15: The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Trump National Doral in Miami, Florida.

The Global Week Ahead

Talks To Reopen the Strait of Hormuz Continue, Senior Chinese Officials Gather for Domestic Policy Talks, A New Defense Alliance Forms in the Middle East, and Markets Focus on Inflation Reports

August 9 - 16, 2026

It will be a relatively quiet week ahead geopolitically.  Most major capitals are quiet as political leaders and parliaments are out for the August holidays.  The one major issue that will continue to keep markets focused is the negotiations between Iran and Oman to establish a temporary framework to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.   But Iranian leaders made clear this past weekend that for the Strait to reopen, the US must commit to a series of concessions.

For now, the US is not directly part of the talks with Oman and Iran.  Those talks are focused on creating a system whereby Iran and Oman would control the entry and exit points for commercial shipping. Iran is reportedly demanding a return to the June 17th Memorandum of Understanding signed by the US, which would give Iran the opportunity to see economic sanctions lifted, ending the naval blockade, and eventually seeing Iran’s frozen assets released.  But Iran also wants the US to give Iran compensation for damages caused by the war so far.

 But tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are not the only major news coming out of the Middle East.  Last week, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey signed a joint mutual defense agreement in Mecca, Saudi Arabia.  The pact was created out of a joint sense of concern over how the US-Iran War has impacted their respective economies.  While the announcement did not give specifics of what each country was committing or how the pact would develop, it is considered a major move by the three countries for the region. And it will be interesting to see how – if at all – ongoing Houthi attacks on Saudi shipping and oil facilities might trigger assistance from Turkey and Pakistan.

 Elsewhere, senior Chinese leaders are gathered in Beidaihe (a popular beach resort area on China’s Bohai Sea) for two weeks of discussions on domestic political and economic priorities and concerns – including chronic challenges with the Chinese property market crisis, youth unemployment, industrial overcapacity, and low household consumption. 

Looking at the global economic and financial radar screen this week, it is a fairly quiet week for economic reports.  The big focus will be on inflation reports, the biggest being the US’ July CPI report out on Wednesday.  Other major releases this week in the US include the University of Michigan Consumer Survey on Friday as well as the July retail report.

In Europe, the UK sees Q2 GDP figures released on Thursday.  And in Asia, China releases inflation data on Sunday, and Japan publishes the Economy Watchers Survey on Monday.  The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Tuesday on interest rates, and the Bank of Japan releases its summary of opinions from its July meeting on Monday.

Below is our detailed report on major geopolitical and economic events for the coming week:

Sunday, August 9, 2026

 Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is National Day in Singapore, a national holiday celebrating the country’s independence.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       China Inflation Rate (July)/ PPI (July)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, August 10, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The American Meteorological Society publishes The State of the Climate in 2025, its annual peer-reviewed report on global warming.

·       Ecuador celebrates Independence Day, a national holiday.

·       The US Congress is out of session until early September.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Colombia Inflation Rate (July)

·       Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout

·       EARNINGS: NuSkin, GoPro, Barrick, Embraer

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Bank of Japan releases its Summary of Opinions from the last meeting.  Japan’s Current Account (June)/ Bank Lending (July)/ Eco Watchers Survey Current (July)/ Eco Watchers Survey Outlook (July)

·       Indonesia Consumer Confidence (July)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Romania Balance of Trade (June)/ Interest Rate Decision

·       Slovakia Industrial Production (June)

·       Turkey Industrial Production (June)

·       Slovenia Industrial Production (June)

·       Greece Industrial Production (June)

·       Belarus Inflation Rate (July)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia Industrial Production (June)

·       Israel Consumer Confidence (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Global

·       The UN Global Compact Forward Faster Now | APAC Conference 2026  begins in Colombo, Sri Lanka and runs through August 12th.  The conference brings together political and business leaders to discuss sustainability issues.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       South Carolina holds a primary vote to pick contenders for the Senate seat formerly held by Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, who died last month.  Other primary elections are being held in the states of Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       USA NFIB Business Optimism Index (July)/ADP Employment Change Weekly/Redbook (August/08)/ NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months/ Existing Home Sales (July)/ Total Household Debt Q2/ API Crude Oil/ Gasoline Stock Change (August/07)

·       Brazil BCB Copom Meeting Minutes/ Inflation Rate (July)

·       México Industrial Production (June)

·       Uruguay Industrial Production (June)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Vietnam’s President To Lam travels to Australia and New Zealand. Talks expected to focus on deepening economic and strategic ties. Building on the Vietnam-Australia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership established in 2024, the trip is expected to prioritize cooperation in science and technology, innovation, digital transformation and resilient supply chains, while also advancing collaboration in energy, infrastructure, food security, trade, investment and education. Bilateral trade between Vietnam and Australia reached $8.1 billion in the first half of 2026, up nearly 22% from a year earlier.

·       Japan celebrates Mountain Day, a national holiday.  Financial markets are closed.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on interest rates.  A press conference follows the meeting.

·       Australia NAB Business Confidence (July)

·       Indonesia Retail Sales (June)/ Motorbike Sales (July)

·       Kazakhstan PPI (July)

·       Malaysia Industrial Production (June)/ Unemployment Rate (June)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       A Swiss parliamentary committee is expected to make its first recommendation on proposed tougher capital rules for UBS.

·       Hungarian legislators meet to appoint a new candidate to the figurehead post of president.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       UK BRC Retail Sales Monitor (July)

·       Ireland Construction PMI (July)

·       Hungary Budget Balance (July)

·       Slovakia Construction Output (June)

·       Turkey Retail Sales (June)

·       Italy Balance of Trade (June)

·       Russia Balance of Trade (June)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Chad celebrates Independence Day, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt Inflation Rate (July)/ Inflation Rate (July)

·       South Africa Unemployment Rate Q2/ Unemployed Persons Q2/ Manufacturing Production (June)

Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Global

·       A total solar eclipse visible in Greenland, Iceland, Portugal, Russia and Spain. Partial in most European countries, parts of Canada and northern Africa.

·       OPEC publishes its monthly oil market report.

·       The International Energy Administration publishes its monthly oil market report.

·       The US Agriculture Department releases its monthly WASDE report on world crops production.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/07)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (August/07)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (August/07/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (August/07)/MBA Purchase Index (August/07)/ Inflation Rate (July)/ CPI (July)/ CPI s.a (July)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (August/07)/ WASDE Report/Monthly Budget Statement (July)

·       Canada Building Permits (June)

·       Chile Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

·       Paraguay Balance of Trade (July)

·       Peru Balance of Trade (June)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Cook Islands hold parliamentary elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Unemployment Rate (July)

·       Singapore Current Account Q2/GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       China Vehicle Sales (July)

·       Mozambique Inflation Rate (July)

·       Malaysia Retail Sales (June)

·       India Inflation Rate (July)/ M3 Money Supply (July)/31

·       EARNINGS: Tokio Marine, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Tencent, Tui Group, Foxconn

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Norway’s sovereign wealth fund – the world’s largest – publishes its half-year reporting for 2026 and its updated list of total holdings

·       Germany Harmonized Inflation Rate (July)/ Inflation Rate (July)

·       Romania Inflation Rate (July)/ Current Account (June)

·       Italy Harmonized Inflation Rate (July)/ Inflation Rate (July)

·       France IEA Oil Market Report

·       Serbia Inflation Rate (July)

·       Russia GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Inflation Rate (July)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Jordon Inflation Rate (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa SACCI Business Confidence (July)/ SACCI Business Confidence (June)

·       Tanzania Inflation Rate (July)

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing on the Middle East, followed by consultations on the Middle East (Yemen).

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       In Austin, Texas, the Democratic National Committee holds its summer meeting.  The DNC is expected to vote on the party’s 2028 presidential nominating calendar and a decision on which state will hold the first Democratic primary contest in that election cycle are expected.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks at a Greenville Chamber of Commerce event in Greenville, South Carolina.

·       Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack participates in a moderated question-and-answer session as part of the Dayton Area Chamber of Commerce’s Government Affairs Breakfast Series in Kettering, Ohio.

·       Brazil Retail Sales (June)/ Business Confidence (August)

·       USA PPI (July)/  PPI (July)/ Initial Jobless Claims (August/08)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (August/01)/ PPI (July)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (August/08)/ PPI (July)/ PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade (July)/ PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade (July)/ PPI (July)/ Fed Barkin Speech/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (August/07)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (August/13)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (August/13)/ Fed Balance Sheet (August/12)

·       Colombia Consumer Confidence (July)

·       Argentina Inflation Rate (July)

·       Peru Interest Rate Decision

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Japan Reuters Tankan Index (August)/ PPI (July)/ BoJ JGB Purchase/ Machine Tool Orders (July)

·       Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Christopher Kent participates in a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker interview in Sydney.

·       Philippines Foreign Direct Investment (May)

·       New Zealand Business Inflation Expectations Q3

·       Malaysia Construction Output Q2

·       EARNINGS: Hong Kong MTR, CK Hutchison

Europe            

Political/Social Events –

·       In the UK, the Clacton parliamentary by-election in England, triggered by Reform UK leader Nigel Farage’s decision to quit as an MP and recontest the seat.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       UK RICS House Price Balance (July)/ GDP Growth Rate Q2/ GDP (June)/ Business Investment   Q2/ GDP 3-Month Avg (June)/ Goods Trade Balance (June)/ Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (June)/ Industrial Production  (June)/ Manufacturing Production /(June)/ Balance of Trade (June)/ Business Investment Q2/ Construction Orders  Q2/ Construction Output (June)/ GDP  (June)/ Industrial Production (June)/ Manufacturing Production (June)/ NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker (July)

·       Romania Industrial Production (June)

·       Hungary Construction Output (June)/ Industrial Production (June)

·       Switzerland Producer & Import Prices (July)

·       Slovakia Inflation Rate (July)

·       Spain Inflation Rate (July)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (July)

·       Poland GDP Growth Rate Q2/ Inflation Rate (July)/ Balance of Trade (June)/Current Account (June)

·       Turkey Inflation Report/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/07)

·       Euro Area Industrial Production (June)

·       Ireland Harmonized Inflation Rate (July)/ Inflation Rate (July)

·       Serbia Interest Rate Decision

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudia Arabia Inflation Rate (July)/ Wholesale Prices (July)

·       Israel Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Zambia holds presidential elections.  Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema is expected to win a second term.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Ethiopia Inflation Rate (July)

·       South Africa Gold Production (June)/Mining Production (June)

Friday, August 14, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Canada Capacity Utilization (June)/ Manufacturing Sales (June)/ New Motor Vehicle Sales (June)/ Wholesale Sales (June)

·       USA Retail Sales (July)/ Retail Sales Control Group (July)/ Retail Sales Ex Autos (July)/ Retail Sales Ex Gas/ Autos (July)/ Michigan Consumer Sentiment (August)/ Business Inventories  (June)/ Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (August)/ Michigan Consumer Expectations  (August)/ Michigan Current Conditions (August)/ Michigan Inflation Expectations  (August)/ Retail Inventories Ex Autos (June)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (August/14)/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (August/14)

·       Colombia Industrial Production (June)/ Retail Sales (June)

·       Paraguay Consumer Confidence (July)

·       Costa Rica GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Peru GDP Growth Rate (June)/ Unemployment Rate (July)

·       El Salvador Inflation Rate (July)

·       EARNINGS: Pershing Square

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto is set to deliver the annual State of the Nation Address ahead of the country's Independence Day on Aug. 17th. Prabowo will also present the government's macroeconomic assumptions and fiscal policy framework for the proposed 2027 state budget. The address is expected to outline policy priorities in his administration's third year and set out major targets, including projected economic growth and government spending.

·       Australia’s Parliamentary Joint Committee on Corporations and Financial Services holds a hearing on ethics and professional accountability at KPMG Australia.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock gives evidence to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics.

·       South Korea Import/Export Prices (July)

·       New Zealand Business NZ PMI (July)/ Visitor Arrivals (June)

·       Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners (August/08)

·       Australia Home Loans Q2/Investment Lending for Homes Q2

·       China New Yuan Loans (July)/ M2 Money Supply (July)/ Outstanding Loan Growth (July)/ Total Social Financing (July)/ Passenger Vehicles Sales (July)/Current Account Q2

·       Philippines Cash Remittances (June) 

·       Tawain GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Kazakhstan Unemployment Rate Q2/Current Account Q2/ GDP (July)

·       India Foreign Exchange Reserves (August/07)

·       EARNINGS: JD.com, Hua Hong, China Mobil, Insurance Australia Group, Pan American Silver, Tata Motors, SMIC

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Switzerland GDP Growth Rate Flash Q2

·       Slovenia GDP Growth Rate Q2

·       Euro Area Balance of Trade (June)/ Employment Change Q2/ GDP Growth Rate 2nd Est Q2

·       Romania Current Account (June)

·       Serbia Building Permits (June)

·       Poland Inflation Rate (July)

·       Russia Current Account Q2

·       EARNINGS:  Adyen, Antofagasta, Maersk, Orsted, PKO Bank Polski, Savills, Standard Bank Thyssenkrupp, Transurban

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Jordon Industrial Production (June)

·       Israel Inflation Rate (July)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt Unemployment Rate Q2

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       In New Delhi, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi delivers a speech to mark the anniversary of the country’s independence from British rule in 1947.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Indonesia Car Sales (July)

·       Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI (July)/ Services PMI (July)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Liechtenstein celebrates National Day.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Brazil’s 2026 election campaign season formally begins (the elections are in October).

·       Today is Restoration Day in the Dominican Republic, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       In Durban, South Africa, the 46th Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit of heads of state and government.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks (and Months) Ahead

• August 27 – 29: The 2026 Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium will be held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

• August 29 – 30: The G20 Finance and Central Bank Deputies Meeting, Ashville, North Carolina.

• August 31 – September 1: the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, Ashville, North Carolina.

• September 1 – 2: There will be a G20 Innovation Ministerial held in Raleigh-Durham, North Carolina.

• September 12 – 13:  The 18th BRICS Summit will be held in New Delphi, India.

• September 14 – 16: There will be a G20 Energy Abundance Ministerial held in Houston, Texas.

• September 18 – 20: Russia legislative (Duma) elections are to be held.

• September 22 – 29: The UN General Assembly is held in New York.

·       September 24 – Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to visit Washington, DC for bilateral meetings with President Trump.

·       September 30 – October 1: There will be a G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

• October (exact date TBD): Israel holds legislative elections.

• October 1: The G20 Sherpa Meeting III will be held in Washington, D.C.

• October 4: Brazil holds general elections.

• October 12 – 18: The IMF and World Bank Meetings are held in Bangkok, Thailand.  There will be a finance ministers and central bank governors meeting on the sidelines of the IMF/World Bank meetings on October 15th.

• October 30 – 31: The G20 Foreign Ministers meeting is held in Atlanta, Georgia.
  November 3: The US Midterm election is to be held.  All 435 members of the US House of Representatives, 1/3 of the US Senate, 36 governors, and 6,000 state legislative seats will be decided.

• November 9 – 20: The United Nation’s COP31 Conference will be held in Antalya, Turkey.

• November 18 – 19: The APEC Summit will be held in Shenzhen, China.

• December 10: The G20 Sherpa Meeting IV will be held in Miami, Florida.

• December 14 – 15: The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Trump National Doral in Miami, Florida.

The Global Week Ahead

The U.S.–Iran Peace Negotiations Drag On, Lebanon and Israel Continue Talking as Fighting Ramps Up, Colombia, Peru, and Ethiopia Hold Important Elections, and Markets Await Inflation and Jobs Reports

May 31 - June 1, 2026

Heading into the new week, markets continue to watch the slow-moving peace talks between the Trump Administration and the Iranian regime’s leadership.  While details remain murky and the reporting on the issue has been confusing at best, it still appears there is a potential memorandum of understanding between the two sides.  Reports surfaced late Thursday claiming a tentative deal had been reached to extend the cease-fire.  But on Friday, President Trump reportedly sent back a series of demands to the Iranian leadership – none of which were apparently well-received in Tehran.   

Specifically, President Trump – according to a Truth Social posting – demanded Iran agree to never develop a nuclear weapon and that the Strait of Hormuz must be immediately opened to unrestricted shipping traffic with no tolls imposed by the newly created “Persian Gulf Strait Authority.”  The President then met with aides in the National Security Council for two hours, but no new decisions were made.  

Meanwhile, Iran has now pushed back, demanding new conditions which include the cessation of Israel’s  military operations in Lebanon against the Iranian proxy force Hezbollah.  But that is unlikely to happen as Israeli forces are continuing their drive into Lebanon, capturing the medieval crusader castle of Beauford (the deepest incursion of the Israeli military into Lebanon in 26 years),which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu marked a “dramatic shift” in the campaign. Netanyahu vowed Israeli forces would push deeper into Lebanon, sending evacuation notices to civilians more than 25 miles deep into the country.  Critically, Lebanese and Israeli negotiators are scheduled to hold a fourth round of talks at the Pentagon in Washington this week.  All in all, it does not look like any real settlement of hostilities, either in Lebanon or with Iran, is likely this week.

Elsewhere, three big elections are being held this week: First, Colombia is holding presidential elections today (Sunday).  Left-wing/Marxist Iván Cepeda is seen as the frontrunner in polls but is unlikely to secure the 50% vote needed for victory.  That makes the race between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right candidate Paloma Valencia critical to determining if Cepeda will likely win in the second round of voting or if the center/right has a shot at winning the presidency.  

And in Peru, the presidential election is heading into the decisive second round next Sunday (June 7th) between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez.  Fujimori is slightly ahead in most polls. 

Finally, Ethiopia is holding general elections on Monday for the country’s lower house and regional assemblies.  Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party is projected to win in a landslide (as there is no coalition among the opposition, which also finds it hard to campaign with tough government restrictions placed on them).  The elections are important from a regional security perspective, as there are currently three active insurgencies in Ethiopia and ongoing tensions with Sudan and Egypt – all of which affect security in the broader Horn of Africa and commercial shipping via the Suez Canal.  And with the global economic repercussions of the Strait of Hormuz being shut, any risk to shipping through the Suez would be a major new shock.

 Looking at the global economic and financial radar screen this week, starting with the U.S. markets, we are waiting to see the U.S. jobs report on Friday, preceded by the JOLTS report on Tuesday and ADP’s private payrolls report on Wednesday.  Additionally, the May ISM indices are out this week (manufacturing on Monday and services on Wednesday), as is the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book on Wednesday.  There is not much in the way of Fed speeches this week – aside from two by Fed Governor Michael Barr – as the Fed is getting ready to go into its quiet period.

 Canada reports manufacturing PMIs on Monday and services PMI, along with Q1 productivity on Wednesday.  And Ivey PMIs are out on Friday. These come on the heels of Statistics Canada reporting the country technically slipped into a technical recession in Q1 for the first time since 2020. 

In Asia, China’s PMIs are out on Sunday (government figures on Sunday and private manufacturing and services on Monday and Wednesday, respectively).   Japan’s Finance Ministry releases financial statement statistics on Monday and labor earnings on Friday.  Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will give a speech on Wednesday. 

And in Europe, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) consumer expectations survey is out Monday, and the Eurozone’s May flash CPI is out on Tuesday, with Germany, France, and Italy on Thursday.  ECB President Christine Lagarde will speak on Thursday (in advance of the blackout period for the June 11th monetary policy meeting), and several other ECB board members will speak earlier this week as well.  Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has several public appearances this coming week, as well.  We would also note that Boris Vujčić becomes vice-president of the European Central Bank on Monday.  It is a non-renewable eight-year term, replacing Luis de Guindos. 

Below is the rest of our detailed report of the major geopolitical and geoeconomic events in the coming week:

Sunday, May 31, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Colombia holds presidential elections.  Current polling points to a runoff between left wing candidate Ivan Cepeda and a right-wing contender. The first round will determine if establishment figure, Paloma Valencia or radical outsider, Abelardo de la Espriella, advance to the runoff. Valencia would prove more attractive to centrist swing voters. Her victory would reinforce our outlook that the opposition wins the presidency.

·       Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira will pay an official visit to China through June 2nd.  Vieira and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi will co-chair the fifth China-Brazil Foreign Ministerial-Level Comprehensive Strategic Dialogue, with the readout framed around Global South coordination, BRICS, and the community-of-shared-future agenda.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller gives a speech on stablecoins at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference, Orašac, Croatia

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Jay Powell gives acceptance remarks at the John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award Ceremony, Boston, Mass.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Myanmar President Min Aung Hlaing will visit India through June 3rd.

·        Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary and President To Lam will undertake a state visit to the Philippines through June 1st.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       China NBS Manufacturing PMI (May)/ NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI (May)/ NBS General PMI (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Member of the Policy Committee Megan Greene: Panel at the 32nd Dubrovnic Economics Conference ‘Stablecoins and monetary policy’, Dubrovnik, Croatia.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Guinea holds elections for its National Assembly as well as municipal elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, June 1, 2026

Global

·       Colombia takes the chair of the UN Security Council for the month of June.

·       Today is the first day of the meteorological summer in the Northern Hemisphere.

·       The World Health Assembly Meeting is being held in Geneva, Switzerland through today.  Global health leaders are aiming to finally adopt the long-overdue **Pandemic Agreement**, establishing the first unified international framework for pandemic preparedness and response.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The head of Taiwan’s opposition Kuomintang Party, Cheng Li-wun, will begin a visit to the U.S. for two weeks.  She will meet with members of Congress, participate in a number of closed-door think tank events all almost exclusively focusing on cross-strait security issues.  Cheng has also expressed her hope to meet with President Trump.  She will then travel to New York and Boston.

·       The U.S. Supreme Court is approaching its end-of-term window (typically late June). There are a number of major decisions to handed down and most are expected in the coming weeks. These include: Trump v. Barbara on birthright citizenship, Louisiana v. Callais on gerrymandering, and State of Illinois v. Trump challenging the president's deployment of National Guard forces to Chicago — rulings that could significantly alter Trump's executive authority and the congressional map. 

·       The U.S. House of Representatives and Senate return to work after being in recess last week.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, Carolyn Rogers, will appear before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Public Accounts.

·       Mexico Business Confidence (May)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Chile IMACEC Economic Activity (April)

·       Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

·       Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       USA S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ ISM Manufacturing PMI (May)/ ISM Manufacturing Employment (May)/ Construction Spending (April)/ ISM Manufacturing New Orders (May)/ ISM Manufacturing Prices (May)

·       Peru Inflation Rate  (May)

·       Argentina Tax Revenue (May)

·       EARNINGS: HP

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       A U.S. trade delegation will visit India to discuss the bilateral trade deal through June 4th.   The meetings are hoping "to finalize the details" of an interim trade agreement between Washington and New Delhi, as well as take forward negotiations on multiple areas such as market access, nontariff measures and investment promotion under a proposed broader pact. This comes on the heels of an Indian trade team visiting Washington from April 20th to 23rd for meetings with their American counterparts.

·       Today is Samoa Independence Day, a holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ TD-MI Inflation Gauge (May)/ ANZ-Indeed Job Ads (May)/ Commodity Prices (May)

·       Japan Capital Spending Q1/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       South Korea Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (May)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Philippines S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Tawain S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Vietnam S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       India HSBC Manufacturing PMI (May)/ Industrial Production (April)/ Manufacturing Production (April)

·       EARNINGS: Nidec

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is the June bank holiday in in the UK.  Banks and financial markets will be closed.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Culture Ministers in Lefkosia, Cyprus through June 2nd.

·       The EU – Pakistan Strategic Dialogue will take place in Islamabad, Pakistan.

·       The Oslo Freedom Forum begins in Oslo, Norway.  Venezuelan Opposition Leader Maria Corina Machado will speak.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel will give a speech at the 2026 Bank of Korea International Conference in Seoul, Korea.

·       Germany Retail Sales  (April)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Russia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Switzerland Retail Sales  (April)/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/procure.ch Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Hungary HALPIM Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Poland S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Turkey GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Spain S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Italy S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       France S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Euro Area Loans to Companies  (April)/ Loans to Households (April)/ M3 Money Supply (April)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ Unemployment Rate (April)

·       UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Serbia GDP Growth Rate Q1

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Ethiopia holds elections general elections.  Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is highly likely to win along with his Prosperity Party.

·       South Africa’s National Assembly is scheduled to hold the first meeting of the impeachment committee against President Cyril Ramaphosa, but it could be postponed due to legal action by the president. 

·       Today is Madaraka Day (Self-Governance Day) in Kenya.  It is a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nigeria Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria PMI (May)

·       South Africa ABSA Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Ethiopia General Election

Tuesday, June 2, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Israel and Lebanon will hold their fourth round of direct talks in Washington, D.C. through June 3rd.

·       U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will testify before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on the State Department’s 2027 budget request.  However, the questioning from senators will almost assuredly veer into policy questions.

·       California holds primary elections.  These include Democrat and Republican gubernatorial races and all 52 state House seats. Voters in Los Angeles will also vote in the increasingly hotly contested mayoral race between incumbent Karen Bass and former reality TV star Spencer Pratt.  Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota are also holding primary elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Beth Hammack gives remarks and participates in conversation on monetary policy co-hosted by the Cleveland Fed, the City Club of Cleveland, the Greater Cleveland Partnership, and the 50 Club of Cleveland.

·       Brazil IPC-Fipe Inflation (May)

·       USA LMI Logistics Managers Index (May)/ Fed Hammack Speech/ Redbook (May/30)/ JOLTs Job Openings (April)/ JOLTs Job Quits (April)/ RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (June)/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (May/29)

·       Paraguay Inflation Rate (May)

·       EARNINGS: Palo Alto Networks, Dollar General, Donaldson

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The COMUTEX Technology Conference begins in Taipei, Taiwan and runs through June 5th.  Speakers at the event include Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Marvell Technologies CEO Matt Murphy, Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan, and Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon. 

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Inflation Rate (May)

·       Japan Monetary Base

·       Australia RBA Harper Speech/ Building Permits (April)/ Company Gross Profits Q1/ Building Permits (April)/ Business Inventories Q1/ Current Account Q1/ Net Exports Contribution to GDP Q1/ Private House Approvals (April)

·       Indonesia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)/ Inflation Rate (May)/  Inflation Rate (May)/ Tourist Arrivals (April)

·       Malaysia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Thailand S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Hong Kong Retail Sales (April)

·       Singapore SIPMM Manufacturing PMI (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The European Parliament's international trade committee will vote on the final trilogue deal implementing the July 2025 EU-U.S. trade framework agreement ahead of a plenary vote likely to take place in mid-June.

·       Today is Republic Day in Italy, celebrating the day in 1946 when Italians were called to vote and form a new government after World War II.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey testifies before the House of Lords Economic Committee.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Boris Vujčić will give online remarks at the Icelandic conference on the occasion of the publication of the report by Catherine Mann on Iceland’s currency options.

·       Bank of England Member of the Monetary Policy Committee Megan Greene gives a speech at the University of Derby Business School.

·       Ireland AIB Manufacturing PMI (May)

·       Euro Area ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations (April)/ Inflation Rate  Flash (May)

·       Spain New Car Sales (May)/ Unemployment Change (May)/ Tourist Arrivals (April)

·       Switzerland Balance of Trade (April)

·       Hungary GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       France Budget Balance (April)

·       Slovakia Real Wages Q1

·       Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)/ Total Credit (April)

·       UK BoE Consumer Credit (April)/ Mortgage Approvals (April)/ Mortgage Lending (April)/ M4 Money Supply (April)/ Net Lending to Individuals (April)/ CPI Flash (May)

·       Poland Interest Rate Decision (June)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Angola GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales (May)

Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Global

·       The OECD publishes its twice-yearly Economic Outlook is published.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Venezuelan unions will protest nationwide to call for free elections, the release of political prisoners and improved service delivery. 

·       Paraguay will host Mercosur’s 68th Summit.

·       The Senate Finance Committee will hold a hearing on the Treasury Department’s 2027 Budget.  Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will testify.

·       The Bloomberg Tech Conference takes place in San Francisco, California through June 4th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Michael S. Barr participates in a conversation event at the Community Development Bankers Association (CDBA) Peer Forum 2026, Washington, D.C.

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (May/29)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (May/29)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (May/29)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (May/29)/ MBA Purchase Index (May/29)/ ADP Employment Change (May)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)/ ISM Services PMI (May)/ Factory Orders (April)/ Factory Orders ex Transportation (April)/ ISM Services Business Activity (May)/ ISM Services Employment (May)/ ISM Services New Orders (May)/ ISM Services Prices (May)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (May/29)/ Fed Beige Book/ Total Vehicle Sales (May)

·       Brazil Industrial Production (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ Balance of Trade (May)

·       Canada Labor Productivity Q1/ S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)

·       Columbia Davivienda Manufacturing PMI (May)/ Exports (April)

·       Uruguay Inflation Rate (May)/ Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Mexico Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       EARNINGS: Broadcom, CrowdStrike Holdings, Medtronic, Veeva Systems, Descartes Systems (Can), Macy’s, Industries CH (MEX), Transcontinental (CAN), Canaccord Genuity (CAN)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       South Korea will hold local elections for provincial governors, city mayors and local assembly members. This vote serves as a vital mid-term temperature check for the country's current administration under left-leaning President Lee and his foreign policy stance toward China and North Korea.  Current polls suggest Lee’s Democratic Party is leading in all major polls.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks at a meeting of business leaders at the Kisaragi-kai meeting in Japan.

·       New Zealand Building Permits (April)/Imports/ Export Prices Q1/ Terms of Trade  Q1/ Global Dairy Trade Price Index (June/02)

·       Australia Ai Group Construction Index (May)/ Ai Group Industry Index (May)/Ai Group Manufacturing Index (May)/ S&P Global Composite PMI  (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI  (May)/ GDP Growth Rate  Q1/ GDP Capital Expenditure Q1/ GDP Chain Price Index Q1/ GDP  Consumption Q1/ Cotality Dwelling Prices (May)

·       Hong Kong S&P Global PMI (May)

·       Japan S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)

·       China RatingDog Services PMI (May)/ RatingDog Composite PMI (May)

·       Vietnam Balance of Trade (May)/ Foreign Direct Investment (May)/ Industrial Production  (May)/ Inflation Rate (May)/Retail Sales (May)/ Tourist Arrivals (May)

·       Pakistan Inflation Rate (May)/ Wholesale Prices (May)

·       India HSBC Composite PMI (May)/ HSBC Services PMI (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The 29th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum begins and runs through June 6th.  Historically dubbed the "Russian Davos," its function has entirely shifted toward rewriting trade routes and financial models outside the Western sphere.  Russian President Vladimir Putin may speak at the event – as he has traditionally done – but this has yet to be confirmed yet (Putin does not make his schedule public in advance due to the Ukrainian War and increased risk of Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russia).

·       The European Parliament is expected to release legislative texts for the EU Tech Sovereignty Package which was proposed by the European Commission on May 27th.   The measure is expected to put in place new restrictions on the use of U.S. cloud providers — including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud — for sensitive government data across all 27 EU member states. And it is expected to include the Cloud and AI Development Act (CADA) and a Chips Act update. The restrictions apply to public-sector organizations handling financial, judicial, and healthcare data; private companies are not covered.

·       Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni will host French President Emmanuel Macron in Rome.  The talks will cover "the main topics of the bilateral, European and international agenda.”

·       The Bank of England launches a public vote on the proposed wildlife images for next banknotes (as opposed to famous politicians or monarchs).

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Frank Elderson give a keynote speech at the Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference 2026 in Zurich, Switzerland.

·       European Central Bank Vice President Piero Cipollone gives an introductory statement at a hearing on the digital euro before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) of the European Parliament in Brussels, Belgium

·       Kazakhstan Inflation Rate (May)

·       Turkey Balance of Trade (May)/ Imports/Exports (May)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/22)

·       France New Car Registrations (May)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)

·       Romania PPI (April)/ Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Russia S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)/ Unemployment Rate (April)/ Business Confidence (May)/ Corporate Profits (March)/ Real Wage Growth  (March)/ Retail Sales (April)

·       Spain S&P Global Services PMI (May)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (May)

·       Italy S&P Global Services PMI (May)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (May)

·       Germany S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)

·       Euro Area S&P Global Composite PMI  (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)/ PPI (April)

·       UK S&P Global Composite PMI (May)/ S&P Global Services PMI (May)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia Riyad Bank PMI (May)

·       UAE S&P Global PMI (May)

·       Israel Tourist Arrivals  (May)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Tanzania will host the Tanzania Investment Summit in Arusha through June 5th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Business Confidence Q2/ S&P Global PMI (May)/ GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Egypt S&P Global PMI (May)

Thursday, June 4, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will testify before the House Ways and Means Committee.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       USA Challenger Job Cuts (May)/ Initial Jobless Claims (May/30)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (May/23)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (May/30)/ Nonfarm Productivity Q1/ Unit Labor Costs Q1/ NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (May/29)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (June/04)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (June/04)/ Fed Balance Sheet (June/03)

·       Mexico Gross Fixed Investment (March)

·       Columbia PPI (May)

·       EARNINGS: Ciena, Lululemon Athletica (CAN), Toro, Docusign, Enghouse Systems (CAN)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is the anniversary of the Chinese Communist Government’s violent crackdown on students and other protestors in Beijing’s Tiananmen Square in 1989.   No commemoration ceremonies are allowed in mainland China and now in Hong Kong (where there used to be annual candlelit ceremonies).

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock and Christopher Kent, assistant governor (financial markets), give evidence to the Senate Economics Legislation Committee in Canberra

·       South Korea Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Japan Foreign Bond Investment (May/30)/ Stock Investment by Foreigners (May/30)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Singapore S&P Global PMI (May)

·       Australia Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)/ RBA Payments System Board Meeting

·       Thailand Business Confidence (May)

·       EARNINGS: NIO (CHN), Sekisui House (JPN)

Europe            

Political/Social Events –

·       EU Justice and Home Affairs (Home Affairs) Council Ministers will meet in Luxembourg.  They will discuss he overall state of the Schengen area. The Commission will present its 2026 State of Schengen Report, which outlines how the Schengen acquis has been implemented over the past year. The Council will then define the actions that it views as priorities for the Schengen Council cycle 2026-2027. The Commission and EU-LISA will then give updates on the implementation of the interoperability of large-scale IT systems, including the Entry/Exit System and ETIAS (European Travel Information and Authorization System). Then they will discuss migration issues, the future legal status of displaced Ukrainians living in the EU, and EU security issues dealing with the Iranian War.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Ministers responsible for Cohesion Policy through June 5th in Lefkosia, Cyprus.

·       The Brussels Economic Security Summit 2026 begins and runs through June 5th.

·       Workers on London’s Underground rail service are expected to go on strike.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Today is the feast of Corpus Christi. The European Central Bank is closed.

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde gives remarks at the first Journée de réseaux de femmes dans la santé en Région Sud in Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur organized by Agence Régionale de Santé in Aix-en-Provence, France.

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gives a speech at the Investment Association Annual Conference 2026 in London.

·       Ireland AIB Services PMI (May)/ Current Account Q1/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/ GNP  Q1/ Unemployment Rate (May)

·       Italy New Car Registrations (May)/ S&P Global Construction PMI (May)

·       Russia GDP (April)

·       Romania Retail Sales (April)

·       Hungary Retail Sales (April)

·       Switzerland Inflation Rate (May)/Unemployment Rate (May)

·       Slovakia Retail Sales  ARP

·       Spain Industrial Production (April)

·       Turkey Unemployment Rate (April)/ Participation Rate (April)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/29)

·       Euro Area     S&P Global Construction PMI (May)/ Retail Sales (April)

·       France S&P Global Construction PMI (May)

·       Germany S&P Global Construction PMI (May)/ New Car Registrations (May)

·       UK New Car Sales (May)/ S&P Global Construction PMI (May)

·       Slovenia Balance of Trade (April)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Friday, June 5, 2026 

Global

·       WL (World) Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (May)

·       FAO Food Price Index (May)

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Mexico Consumer Confidence (May)

·       Canada Unemployment Rate (May)/ Employment Change (May)/ Full Time Employment Chg (May)/ Part Time Employment Chg (May)/ Participation Rate (May)/ Average Hourly Wages (May)/ Ivey PMI s.a (May)

·       USA Nonfarm Payrolls (May)/ Unemployment Rate (May)/Average Hourly Earnings (May)/ Participation Rate (May)/ Average Weekly Hours (May)/ Government Payrolls (May)/ Manufacturing Payrolls (May)/ Nonfarm Payrolls Private (May)/ U-6 Unemployment Rate (May)/ Used Car Prices (May)/ Used Car Prices (May)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (June/05)/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (June/05)/ Consumer Credit Change (April)

·       Brazil Car Production (May)/ New Car Registrations (May)

·       Costa Rica Inflation Rate (May)

·       Columbia Inflation Rate (May)

·       El Salvador Inflation Rate (May)

·       EARNINGS: ABM Industries

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Current Account (April)

·       Japan Household Spending (April)/ Household Spending (April)/ Average Cash Earnings  (April)/ Overtime Pay (April)/ Coincident Index (April)/ Leading Economic Index (April)

·       Philippines Inflation Rate (May)/ Industrial Production (April)

·       Thailand  Inflation Rate (May)

·       Sri Lanka Tourist Arrivals (May)

·       India RBI Interest Rate Decision/ Cash Reserve Ratio/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Fiscal Year GDP Growth 3rd Est 2025-26/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/29)        

·       Singapore Retail Sales (April)

·       Taiwan Inflation Rate (May)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The EU-Western Balkans Summit will take place in Tivat, Montenegro. The summit will be chaired by the President of the European Council and hosted by the President of Montenegro. The EU will be represented by the President of the European Council and the President of the European Commission. High Representative Kaja Kallas will also participate.  The agenda includes discussion of the gradual integration and growth plan of the region in to the EU as well as strengthening security and defense cooperation.

·       The EU Justice and Home Affairs Council (Justice) will meet in Luxembourg.  Ministers will discuss a proposed regulation on recognition of parenthood. The proposal aims to ensure continuity of parenthood in cross-border situations and thereby protect all children, regardless of how they were conceived or born and regardless of their type of family.  They will also approve a partial mandate on the new Justice program supporting, among others, judicial cooperation in civil and ‎criminal matters and judicial ‎training and promoting the independence and impartiality ‎of the judiciary. This program will be part of the next multiannual financial framework (MFF) covering the period 2028 to 2034. Additionally, ministers will discuss hate crime and hate speech.

·       Today is Constitution Day in Denmark.  It is a half-day holiday for workers and financial markets.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey participates in a conversation with Ed Balls and Stephanie Flanders marking the 250th anniversary of the publication of Adam Smith’s “Wealth of Nations” in London.

·       Bank of England Member of the Monetary Policy Committee Swati Dhingra will give a keynote speech at the UCL MacroMonitor Launch in London.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Anneli Tuominen gives a keynote speech at the "Pan-European Conglomerate Club" meeting in Helsinki, Finland.

·       Romania GDP Growth Rate 2nd Est Q1

·       UK Halifax House Price Index (May)/ DMP 1Y CPI Expectations (May)/ DMP 3M Output Price Expectations (May)/ BBA Mortgage Rate (May)

·       Hungary Industrial Production (April)

·       France Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)/ Industrial Production (April)/ Current Account (April)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Kazakhstan Interest Rate Decision

·       Slovakia GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Switzerland Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Turkey Inflation Rate (May)/ PPI (May)

·       Euro Area Employment Change Q1/ GDP Growth Rate 3rd Est Q1

·       Greece GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Poland Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Italy Retail Sales (April)

·       Serbia PPI  (May)

·       Russia Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       EARNINGS: Telecom Italia

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Ghana Inflation Rate (May)

·       Egypt Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       South Africa Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Governor Michael S. Barr speaks on supervision and regulation at the 5th DC Finance Conference, Washington, D.C.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Singapore SIPMM Manufacturing PMI (April)

·       Philippines Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Pakistan Balance of Trade (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Pope Leo begins a six-day visit to Spain and the Canary Islands.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Russia Vehicle Sales (May)

·       Kazakhstan PPI (May)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, June 7, 2026 

Global

·       OPEC+ holds its monthly meeting.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Peru holds the 2nd round of presidential elections between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez.  The winner will become the 10th president of Peru in the last ten years.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·        Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Armenia holds parliamentary elections.

·       Jersey holds parliamentary elections.

·       Kosovo holds parliamentary elections.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Defense Ministers through June 8th in Lefkosia, Cyprus.

·       Today is Sette Giugno in Malta, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Business Confidence (May)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Looking at the Weeks Ahead

·       June 10 – The European Central Bank monetary policy meeting.

·       June 10 – Bank of Canada monetary policy meeting.

·       June 11 – July 19 – The World Cup will be held in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.

·       June 15 – The Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting.

·       June 17 – The Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee meeting.

·       June 18 – The Bank of England's monetary policy meeting.

·       June 23 – The World Economic Forum’s New Champions meeting in Dalian, China.

The Global Week Ahead

US – Iran Negotiations Drag On, Venezuelan President and US Secretary of State Discuss Oil With India, Colombia Holds Presidential Elections, and Markets Await Inflation Reports

May 24 - 31, 2026

While Washington is quiet this weekend in honor of Memorial Day, negotiations between the US and Iran continue, but seemingly in fits and starts.  Both Iranian and US media reports suggested Friday that significant progress had been made toward finalizing a peace deal. 

But as details began to leak out, President Trump faced sharp criticism from Republican lawmakers, including Senators Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) and Ted Cruz (R-Texas), who said a 60-day extension of the ceasefire “would be a disaster.”  President Trump publicly fired back at them, but it appears he also started adjusting the draft terms of the deal being hammered out with Iran.  Accords as part of the ultimate deal.  And he seemed to even suggest in a Truth Social post that he would be open to Iran signing onto the Accords (which seems highly unlikely as official Iranian policy has long called for the outright eradication of Israel).

It is understood that many of those Arab countries have asked Trump to refrain from any military attacks this week as the Hajj is underway through May 29th with large numbers of Muslim pilgrims traveling in the region.  Meanwhile, Iranian officials said no deal was “imminent,” but conceded that progress had been made.  

Additionally, the US will host the next round of Israeli–Lebanese peace talks in Washington later this week.  However, those talks may be canceled – and also impact the US-Iranian talks – after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered the Israeli military to step up attacks on Hezbollah forces after right-wing members of his cabinet demanded a full-scale resumption of Israel’s offensive in Lebanon. 

In India this week, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio will attend Quad (Australia, India, Japan, and the US) meetings to discuss mutual defense issues.  While Rubio is there, it is expected acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodriquez will travel to New Delhi to meet with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to discuss oil sales, a move strongly supported by the US.  Iran is highly dependent on oil and gas from the Middle East and has been struggling to deal with shortages in recent weeks.

We are also watching for a possible visit to North Korea by Chinese President Xi Jinping.  Xi’s security advance team is in Pyongyang now, making arrangements for a visit.  Xi is reported to want to help broker better relations among North Korea, the US, and South Korea.  But China no longer has the influence it once had over North Korea since the start of the Ukraine War, as North Korea has grown closer to Russia, sending large numbers of soldiers to fight and selling large quantities of munitions.  It will be Xi’s first visit to the Hermit Kingdom since 2019.

Here in the Americas, Colombia is holding hotly contested presidential elections next Sunday to replace President Gustavo Petro, who is constitutionally barred from running again.  The contest has effectively consolidated into a three-way race between candidates representing sharply divergent visions for the country: Iván Cepeda, who represents the far left and is polling around 44%, Abelardo De la Espriella, who represents the hard right and is polling in the mid 20% range, and Paloma Valencia, who represents the center-right, is floating in the 18 – 21% range in polls.   

It is highly likely that a run-off will take place.  The critical sub-contest is therefore between De la Espriella and Valencia for the second runoff slot, with conservative voters split between them, and the other ten candidates far behind. A weighted average of recent polls suggests that Cepeda could narrowly lose to Valencia and tie De la Espriella in a runoff scenario. 

Also, this week, Pope Leo XIV releases his first encyclical -Magnifica Humanitas – on the use of artificial intelligence (AI).  It is expected to warn society of the grave risks of unfettered AI for humanity.  According to the New York Times, the Holy Father calls for: government regulation of the private companies that are driving the development of A.I., protection and retraining for workers whose jobs are threatened, education to help students think critically about the technology, action to protect children from violent, hypersexualized or fake information online that is often generated by A.I., and safeguards to ensure that humans, not artificial intelligence, remain responsible for all decisions regarding the use of weapons.

 Looking at the global economic and financial markets radar screen this week, the big focus is on inflation reports from the US, the Eurozone, and Japan.   

In the US, the April PCE will be released on Thursday.  Also out on Thursday is the durable goods orders report.  Both reports come after Tuesday’s Conference Board consumer confidence release.

In Asia this week, Japan’s Tokyo CPI print is out on Friday, as are the April industrial production and retail sales reports.   China releases industrial profits on Wednesday.

Finally, in Europe this week, May inflation prints are out on Friday for the Eurozone, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain.  All should be good reflective indicators of the economic damage caused so far by the Iran conflict.  We will also get the European Central Bank minutes out this week.

Below is the rest of our detailed report of the major geopolitical and geoeconomic events in the coming week:

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Cyprus holds parliamentary elections.

·       Italy holds municipal elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Guinea holds National Assembly elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, May 25, 2026

Global

·       Pope Leo XIV releases his new encyclical on AI – Magnifica Humanitas – warning of the risk of AI to civilization. You can read it HERE.

·       The United Nations is closed for the holiday.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Memorial Day, a national holiday.  Financial markets and banks are closed.

·       Today is Revolution Day in Argentina, a holiday.

·        U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will visit India through May 26th.

·       The United States and Mexico hold their first official round of negotiations as part of a review of their trilateral trade deal with Canada (USMCA).

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Brazil Current Account (April)/ Foreign Direct Investment (April)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

·       Mexico Balance of Trade (April)/ Current Account Q1

·       Canada Wholesale Sales (April)

·       Paraguay PPI (April)

·       Peru GDP Growth Rate Q1

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Chinese President Xi Jinping appears to be preparing for a meeting with North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un in Pyongyang sometime this week (but no official announcement has been made, and the meeting may take place in early June – Reuters and other news services report Chinese security teams and advance teams have been in the North Korean capital preparing for a visit). 

·       Venezuela’s Interim President Delcy Rodriguez travels to India for talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The meeting will mostly focus on oil supplies for India.

·       Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic will visit China through May 28th.

·       Singaporean Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan will visit China through May 26th.

·       Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnivirakoul will visit France through May 27.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Thailand Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)

·       Malaysia Coincident Index (March/ Leading Index (March)/ PPI (April)

·       Singapore Inflation Rate (April)

·       Pakistan Interest Rate Decision

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Whit Monday, a holiday in most European countries.  Most financial markets and banks are closed.

·       A delegation of the Security and Defence Committee will travel to Canada to hold policy discussions with officials, political counterparts, and experts, on deepening EU-Canada defense cooperation, including the country’s participation in the SAFE program. MEPs will also discuss Canada's participation in peacekeeping operations, NATO, support for Ukraine, Arctic security, and the supply of critical raw materials.

·       The UK Parliament is in recess until June 1.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Turkey Economic Confidence Index (May)

·       Poland Retail Sales (April)/ M3 Money Supply (April)

·       Slovenia Business Confidence (May)/ Tourist Arrivals (April)

·       EARNINGS: Salvatore Ferragamo, Pharma Mar

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Independence Day in Jordan, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Interest Rate Decision

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The African Development Bank will hold its annual meeting in the capital of the Republic of the Congo, Brazzaville, from May 29th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold an open debate on the maintenance of international peace and security: Upholding the Purposes and Principles of the UN Charter and Strengthening the UN-centered International System. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi will chair the session.  UN Secretary-General António Guteres will deliver remarks.

·       Muslims around the world will observe Eid al-Adha through May 30th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate are out of session this week.

·       The Texas Republican senate primary run-off is held.

·       NASA will hold a press conference to update on its moon base plans and highlight progress towards a sustained presence on the lunar surface.

·       Today is Independence Day in Guyana, a national holiday.

·       President Trump gets a medical and dental checkup at Walter Reed Hospital in Washington, D.C.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nicolas Vincent, External Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en analyse des organisations (CIRANO).

·       Brazil FGV Consumer Confidence (May)

·       Canada Manufacturing Sales (April)

·       USA Chicago Fed National Activity Index (April)/ S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price (March)/ House Price Index (March)/ S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price (March)/ CB Consumer Confidence (May)/ Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (May)/ Money Supply (April)

·       EARNINGS: AutoZone, Semtech

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       India will host the Quad foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi, with the ongoing Iran war expected to figure prominently in discussions. The gathering, to be presided over by Indian External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar, is scheduled to be attended by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi and Australian Minister for Foreign Affairs Penny Wong.

·       Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. Marcos begins a four-day visit to Japan.  This coincides with the 70th anniversary of the normalization of diplomatic ties between Manila and Tokyo. The visit will feature a summit with Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, during which the two leaders are expected to upgrade relations to a comprehensive strategic partnership and discuss critical regional issues like maritime security and energy cooperation.

·       The MRO Greater China Industry Show begins in Beijing, China.  Approximately 200 domestic and international exhibitors will be there, focusing on “operation and maintenance of domestic large aircraft and the digital transformation of civil aviation.”  

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Singapore     Current Account Q1/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Industrial Production  (April)

·       Sri Lanka Interest Rate Decision

·       Japan Coincident Index (March)/ Leading Economic Index  (March)

·       Taiwan Industrial Production (April)/ Retail Sales (April)

·       China FDI (YTD) (April)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       German Economic Minster Katherina Reiche travels to Beijing, China for meetings.  BASF CEO Markus Kamieth will accompany her.  BASF recently opened a €9 billion complex in Zhanjiang – BASF’s largest investment ever.

·       The EU’s 8th Accession Conference with Albania will be held in Brussels. The meeting will serve to confirm the fulfilment of the interim benchmarks by Albania and to set closing benchmarks for Cluster 1 'Fundamentals', including Chapters 23 - judiciary and fundamental rights, and 24 - justice, freedom and security, the functioning of democratic institutions, public administration reform and economic criteria. The Cluster also includes Chapters 5 – public procurement, 18 – statistics, and 32 - financial control.

·       The EU Agriculture and Fisheries Council meets in Brussels.  Ministers will discuss the availability and affordability of fertilizers in the EU, following the presentation of the Fertilizer Action Plan by the European Commission.

·       The EU General Affairs Council meets in Brussels.  Ministers will start preparations for the June European Council meeting by discussing the annotated draft agenda.  The agenda includes a discussion among the European Council on Ukraine, the Middle East, the next multiannual financial framework, overall global economic challenges, common European defense and security issues, and migration.

·       The UK Parliament is out of session this week.

·       Today is Independence Day in Georgia, a holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The European Central Bank publishes its Consolidated Financial Statement for the Eurosystem.

·       The European Central Bank presents “Financial Stability Review Special Feature: Stress in global private credit and its implications for euro area financial stability.”

·       UK BRC Shop Price Inflation (May)/ CBI Distributive Trades (May)

·       Ireland Consumer Confidence (May)

·       Spain PPI (April)

·       Poland Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Hungary Deposit Interest Rate (May)/ Interest Rate Decision

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The Finance Magnates Africa Summit, which focuses on trading, takes place in Cape Town.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator (March)             

Wednesday, May 27, 2026 

Global

·       The United Nations is closed for an official holiday.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney travels to New York for a two-day set of meeting with institutional investors, CEOs, and other business leaders.  While there, he will address the Economic Club of New York on his economic agenda.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Vice Chair for Monetary Policy Philip N. Jefferson gives a speech on Global Economic Developments and the U.S. Economy at the Bank of Japan-Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies Conference, Tokyo, Japan.

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa D. Cook gives a speech on AI, the economy, and the financial system at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) Policy Forum, Stanford, California.

·       Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan participates in “Policy Panel Discussion 1: Monetary Policy and Imbalances" before the 2026 Monetary Policy from New Perspectives Conference hosted by the Bank of Japan Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies.

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (May/22)/ MBA Mortgage Applications (May/22)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (May/22)/ MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (May/22)/ MBA Purchase Index (May/22)/ ADP Employment Change Weekly/ Redbook  (May/23)/ Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (May)/ Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index (May)/ Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (May)/ Dallas Fed Services Index (May)/ Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (May)/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (May/22)

·       Brazil IPCA mid-month CPI (May)

·       EARNINGS: Salesforce, Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia, National Bank of Canada, Agilent, HP, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Best Buy, EQB, Marvell

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Hong Kong International Airport opens an expanded Terminal 2, aiming to enhance its competitiveness as a regional hub. The airport says about 15 carriers will operate out of the new facility, flying mostly short-haul and regional routes.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Bank of Japan-Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies Conference will begin in Tokyo, Japan through May 28th.  Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda delivers opening remarks.

·       South Korea Business Confidence (May)

·       Australia Construction Work Done Q1/ Inflation Rate (April)/ RBA Trimmed Mean CPI  (April)/ CPI (April)/ RBA Weighted Median CPI (April)/ RBA Weighted Median CPI (April)/

·       China Industrial Profits (YTD) (April)

·       New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision/ RBNZ Press Conference

·       Philippines Budget Balance (April)

·       Japan BoJ Gov Ueda Speech

·       Taiwan Consumer Confidence (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The 62nd European Economic Area Council meets in Brussels. Under the Presidency of  Michael Damianos, Minister of Energy, Commerce and Industry of the Republic of Cyprus, representing the Presidency of the Council of the EU. The meeting will be attended by  Espen Barth Eide, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Norway  Sabine Monauni, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Environment and Culture of Liechtenstein, and  Martin Eyjólfsson, Permanent Secretary of State of the Ministry for Foreign Affairs of Iceland, as well as by representatives of the European Commission and the European External Action Service. The members of the EEA Council will discuss the overall functioning of the Agreement on the European Economic Area (EEA Agreement) and hold an orientation debate on ‘Ensuring competitiveness and green growth in the Internal Market.”

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Foreign Affairs Ministers - Gymnich through May 28th in Limassol, Cyprus.

·       Members of the European Parliament’s s standing delegation for relations with China will travel to Beijing for the 43rd EU-China interparliamentary meeting with counterparts from the National People’s Congress. This is the first such gathering held in China following the lifting of Chinese sanctions against European lawmakers, political bodies, researchers and organizations.

·       UK energy regulator Ofgem announces an update to the energy price cap for the period July 1 to September 30th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Euro Area New Car Registrations (April)

·       France Consumer Confidence (May)/ Unemployment Benefit Claims (April)/Job Seekers Total (April)

·       Italy Industrial Sales (March)

·       Switzerland Economic Sentiment Index (May)

·       Russia Industrial Production (April)

·       EARNINGS: Manchester United

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic &Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The Healthcare Innovation Summit Africa will be held in Johannesburg, South Africa through May 28th.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Thursday, May 28, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi will visit Canada through May 30th.  This is the first time a Chinese foreign minister will have visited China in 10 years.  He will meet with Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand to discuss the recently updated Canada-China Strategic Partnership.

·       US Vice President JD Vance speaks at the US Air Force Academy’s commencement ceremony in Colorado.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The Bank of Canada releases the 2026 Financial Stability Report.

·       New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams gives keynote before the Reykjavík Economic Conference organized by the Central Bank of Iceland and the Center for International Macroeconomics at Northwestern University in Reykjavik, Iceland.

·       Brazil Bank Lending (April)/ Unemployment Rate (April)/ PPI (April)

·       Mexico Unemployment Rate (April)

·       USA Building Permits  (April)/ Durable Goods Orders (April)/ GDP Growth Rate 2nd Est Q1/ Personal Income (April)/ Personal Spending  (April)/ Corporate Profits   Q1/ Durable Goods Orders Ex Trans (April)/ GDP Price Index  2nd Est Q1/ Initial Jobless Claims (May/23)/ PCE Price Index (April)/ Continuing Jobless Claims (May/16)/  PCE Prices 2nd Est Q1/ Durable Goods Orders ex Defense  (April)/ GDP Sales  2nd Est Q1/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (May/23)/ Non-Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (April)/ Real Consumer Spending  2nd Est Q1/ Real Personal Spending (April)/ New Home Sales (April)/ EIA Crude Oil/Gasoline Stocks Change (May/22)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (May/28)/ 30-Year Mortgage Rate (May/28)/ Fed Balance Sheet (May/27)

·       Canada Current Account Q1/ Average Weekly Earnings (March)/ BoC Financial Stability Report

·       Columbia Business Confidence (April)

·       EARNINGS: Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank, CIBC, Dell Technologies, Autodesk, Dollar Tree, NetApp, Gap, BRP

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Humanoid Summit begins in Tokyo, Japan.  The global conference is dedicated to humanoid robots and physical artificial intelligence. The two-day event will feature live robot demonstrations and speeches by industry leaders, with participants from companies including Google DeepMind, Boston Dynamics and Toyota Motor.

·       Kazakhstan will host a Eurasian Economic Union summit in Astana.  Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to attend.

·       A new ferry service is scheduled to connect Taiwan's Keelung, near Taipei, with the picturesque island of Ishigaki in Japan's Okinawa. The first sailing is due to depart late Thursday and arrive around 8 a.m. the next morning. The ferry will initially operate once a week on a trial basis, before expanding to two weekly round trips.

·       Azerbaijan celebrates the founding of their democracy today.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Japan Stock Investment by Foreigners (May/23)/ Housing Starts (April)/ Construction Orders (April)

·       New Zealand NZ Business Confidence (May)/ Budget 2026

·       South Korea Interest Rate Decision

·       Australia Building Capital Expenditure Q1/ Household Spending (April)/ Plant Machinery Capital Expenditure Q1/ Private Capital Expenditure Q1

·       Thailand New Car Sales (April)/ Industrial Production (April)

·       Hong Kong Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)

Europe            

Political/Social Events –

·       The Finance Ministers of France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland and Spain will issue a joint statement outlining political compromises aimed at advancing the bloc's Savings and Investments Union. Many observers see the effort as a step toward breaking the political deadlocks preventing the bloc from creating a U.S.-style financial market in a crunch meeting later this month.

·       The EU Competitiveness Council (Internal Market and Industry) meets in Brussels. Ministers will hold a policy debate on the Industrial Accelerator Act: how best to leverage access to the Single Market through European preference and low-carbon requirements. The Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA) is a flagship legislative proposal aimed at strengthening European industrial competitiveness with the objective that by 2035 20% of the EU’s GDP should come from the industrial sector. It includes measures such as speeding up permitting, boosting demand for low carbon or "Made in EU" products, and controlling foreign investment. It was adopted by the Commission on March 4, 2026.  They will also hold a discussion on the 28th Corporate Legal Framework.  They will then move to approve a Council conclusion on “building a sustainable and competitive tourism for the future.”  The Council will then move to discuss the impact of the crisis in the Middle East on the EU tourism sector as well as key challenges facing the European Chemical industry.

·       The second day of informal meeting of EU Foreign Affairs Ministers – Gymnich takes places in Limassol, Cyprus.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde gives opening remarks at the 28th meeting of Francophone Central Bank Governors in Phnom Penh, Cambodia.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone gives a speech followed by Q&A at a public event  entitled "Euro Digitale e Sovranità Europea" organized by Istituto Affari Internazionali in Rome, Italy.

·       European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane participates in a fireside chat to discuss the “Monetary Policy from New Perspectives" organized by Bank of Japan and Japan-Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies in Tokyo, Japan.  Later, he gives a pre-recorded video address to the External Statistics Conference jointly organized by Irving Fisher Committee on Central Bank Statistics, ECB and National Bank of Poland in Krakow, Poland.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel gives a public lecture as part of the Selten Salon organized by ECONtribute in Cologne, Germany.

·       Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden participates in a fireside chat at the 58th International Capital Market Association annual general meeting and conference in London.

·       The European Central Bank account of the last monetary policy meeting is published.

·       UK Car Production (April)

·       Euro Area Economic Sentiment (May)/ Consumer Confidence (May)/ Consumer Inflation Expectations (May)/ Industrial Sentiment (May)/ Selling Price Expectations (May)/ Services Sentiment (May)

·       Hungary Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Switzerland Non-Farm Payrolls Q1

·       France PPI (April)

·       Spain Retail Sales (April)/ Business Confidence (May)

·       Slovakia Business Confidence (May)/ Consumer Confidence (May)

·       Italy Business Confidence (May)/ Consumer Confidence (May)/ PPI (April)

·       Slovenia Retail Sales (April)

·       Ireland Retail Sales (April)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Manufacturing Production (March)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is National Day in Ethiopia, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa PPI (April)/ Interest Rate Decision/ Prime Overdraft Rate

Friday, May 29, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to vote on a draft resolution on South Sudan sanctions, followed by consultations on the 1718 Committee (regarding North Korea).

·       G7 Digital Ministers meet in Paris, France.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       The U.S. hosts "security track" discussions between Israel and Lebanon in Washington, D.C. 

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Anna Paulson speaks on the economic outlook before the Chamber of Commerce Southern New Jersey.

·       Brazil Government Budget Value (April)/ Gross Debt to GDP (April)/ Nominal Budget Balance (April)/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Net Payrolls (April)

·       Canada GDP Growth Rate Annualized Q1/ GDP (March)/ GDP (April)/ GDP Implicit Price  Q1/ Budget Balance (March)

·       USA Goods Trade Balance Adv (April)/ Retail Inventories Ex Autos Adv (April)/ Wholesale Inventories Adv (April)/Chicago PMI (May)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (May/29)

·       Chile Copper Production (April)/ Industrial Production (April)/ Manufacturing Production (April)/ Retail Sales (April)/ Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Uruguay Balance of Trade (April)

·       Columbia Unemployment Rate (April)/ Cement Production (April)

·       Mexico Fiscal Balance (April)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Shangri-La Dialogue beings in Singapore. Asia's largest annual defense conference will feature U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, while top military generals and admirals and security analysts are expected to discuss global geopolitical tensions and Asia's maritime security. An AUKUS defense ministers meeting involving Australia, the U.K. and the U.S. is also planned on the sidelines of the conference.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence (May)/ ANZ Business Confidence (May)

·       South Korea Industrial Production (April)/ Retail Sales (April)

·       Japan Unemployment Rate (April)/ Jobs/applications ratio (April)/ Tokyo CPI (May)/ Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy (May)/ Tokyo CPI (May)/ Industrial Production (April)/ Retail Sales (April)/ Industrial Production (April)/ Consumer Confidence (May)

·       Philippines Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)/ PPI (April)/ Business Confidence (April)

·       Australia Housing Credit (April)/ Private Sector Credit (April)

·       Singapore Bank Lending (April)/Import/Export Prices (April)/ PPI (April)

·       Malaysia M3 Money Supply (April)

·       Thailand Current Account (April)/ Private Consumption (April)/ Private Investment (April)/ Retail Sales (March)

·       Taiwan GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Sri Lanka Inflation Rate (May)/ PPI (April)/ Balance of Trade (April)

·       India GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Fiscal Year GDP Growth 3rd Est 2025-26/ Government Budget Value (March)/ Government Budget Value (April)/ Bank Loan Growth (May/15)/ Deposit Growth (May/15)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/22)/ M3 Money Supply (May/15)

·       EARNINGS: JTB

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The EU Competitiveness Council (Research and Space) meets in Brussels. Ministers will hold a policy debate on the legislative measures linked to the 10th framework program for research and innovation 2028-2034, also known as the Horizon Europe package. Horizon Europe is the EU’s key funding program for research and innovation. On 16 July 2025, the European Commission put forward its proposal for the 10th framework program, with a €175 billion budget, as part of the 2028-2034 multiannual financial framework (MFF).  The will also move to adopt a Council recommendation for an EU framework for science diplomacy.

·       The Nato Parliamentary Assembly Spring Session begins in Lithuania.

·       The foreign ministers of Poland, Estonia and Iceland will meet in Warsaw, Poland after the Council of the Baltic Sea States meeting.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey gives a speech at the Reykjavik Economic Conference 2026, Reykjavik, Iceland.

·       Germany Import Prices (April)/ Unemployed Persons (May)/ Unemployment Change (May)/ Unemployment Rate (May)/ Baden Wuerttemberg CPI (May)/ Bavaria CPI (May)/ Brandenburg CPI (May)/ Hesse CPI (May)/ North Rhine Westphalia CPI (May)/ Saxony CPI (May)/ Inflation Rate (May)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (May)

·       UK Nationwide Housing Prices (May)

·       Hungary Balance of Trade (April)/ PPI (April)

·       France Inflation Rate (May)/ GDP Growth Rate Final Q1/ Harmonized Inflation Rate   (May)// Household Consumption (April)/ Non-Farm Payrolls Q1

·       Spain Inflation Rate (May)/ Inflation Rate (May)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (May)/ Current Account (March)

·       Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators (May)

·       Poland Inflation Rate (May)

·       Euro Area Loans to Companies (April)/ Loans to Households (April)/ M3 Money Supply  (April)

·       Ireland Harmonized Inflation Rate (May)

·       Italy Unemployment Rate (April)/ Inflation Rate (May)/ Harmonized Inflation Rate (May)/ GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Slovenia Harmonized Inflation Rate (May)/ Inflation Rate (May)

·       Greece PPI (April)/ Retail Sales (March)/ Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Serbia Balance of Trade (April)/ Industrial Production (April)/ Retail Sales (April)/ Unemployment Rate Q1

·       Ukraine Current Account (April)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Saudi Arabia M3 Money Supply (April)/ Private Bank Lending (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa M3 Money Supply (April)/ Private Sector Credit (April)/ Balance of Trade (April)/ Budget Balance (April)

·       Nigeria Foreign Exchange Reserves (May)

·       Zimbabwe Inflation Rate (May)

·       Kenya Inflation Rate (May)

·       Angola GDP Growth Rate Q1

Saturday, May 30, 2026

 Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Vice Chair for Supervision Speech Michelle W. Bowman gives a speech on monetary policy at the Reykjavik Economic Conference 2026, Reykjavik, Iceland.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·        Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Malta holds parliamentary elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Member of the Policy Committee Catherine L Mann participates on a panel at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference ‘Central bank independence under attack’, Dubrovnik, Croatia.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, May 31, 2026 

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Colombia holds presidential elections.  Current polling points to a runoff between left wing candidate Ivan Cepeda and a right-wing contender. The first round will determine if establishment figure, Paloma Valencia or radical outsider, Abelardo de la Espriella, advance to the runoff. Valencia would prove more attractive to centrist swing voters. Her victory would reinforce our outlook that the opposition wins the presidency.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller gives a speech on stablecoins at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference, Orašac, Croatia

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Jay Powell gives acceptance remarks at the John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award Ceremony, Boston, Mass.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       China NBS Manufacturing PMI (May)/ NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI (May)/ NBS General PMI (May)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of England Member of the Policy Committee Megan Greene: Panel at the 32nd Dubrovnic Economics Conference ‘Stablecoins and monetary policy’, Dubrovnik, Croatia.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Guinea holds elections for its National Assembly as well as municipal elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

The Global Week Ahead

Iran Tensions Spike with Drone Strike on UAE Nuclear Plant, Putin Meets Xi in Beijing, Japan’s Prime Minister Travels to South Korea, and Flash Global PMIs to Show Iran War Impact on Global Economy

May 17 - 24, 2026

Markets are still working through the details of President Trump’s visit to Beijing last week for meetings with President Xi Jinping.  While expectations for any big breakthroughs on trade or Iran were low going into the meeting, there was hope for other large deals, such as major new agricultural deals and airplane purchases.  It often takes a few weeks following summits like this for deals to be finalized as sticky details are still being worked out.  

President Trump did tell reporters that China will purchase 200+ Boeing aircraft. However, President Trump has predicted China would purchase 750 planes, Boeing was hoping for 500, and in the end, it appears only 200 are being purchased.   However, China has not commented on the matter.  And no new major US agricultural purchases were agreed to during the summit, according to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. 

But just as President Trump was leaving, it was confirmed that Russian President Vladimir Putin will arrive in Beijing on May 20th for bilateral meetings with President Xi.  The meeting is framed around the 25th anniversary of the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation signed by the two countries in 2001. 

Putin is also likely to seek progress on long-delayed projects such as Mongolia. Russia remains heavily dependent on Chinese markets and financial channels after years of Western sanctions.

But according to a Russian presidential spokesman, Putin and Xi will "exchange views" on Xi's meeting with Trump, and Moscow hopes to obtain that information "first-hand."  But US officials we have spoken with say the broader subtext is that Beijing is visibly balancing between Washington and Moscow — hosting both leaders in quick succession, signaling China's intent to remain indispensable to both sides, particularly as Ukraine negotiations and the US-Iran conflict create competing pressures on the global order.

Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will travel to South Korea this week for meetings with South Korean President Lee Jae Myung.  The visit is part of an effort to strengthen previously tense relations between the two nations while also building mutual security and economic ties in the face of growing Chinese maritime aggression.  This is likely to include signing an agreement to share weapons, ammunition, and jet fuel during “times of emergency.”   

The two leaders will almost surely discuss growing concerns about the situation in Iran and the serious disruption it is causing to oil and gas imports, as well as helium imports, a critical component in the construction of semiconductors.  

Meanwhile, the Iranian situation has become significantly more complicated and worrisome this weekend when three drones – presumably Iranian – reportedly hit the perimeter of the Barakah Nuclear Plant in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The plant is the only nuclear power plant in the Arab world and supplies approximately 25 percent of the USA’s electricity needs.  The highly provocative act ratchets up even further tensions and frustrations with Iran and will almost force President Trump and the UAE to respond militarily – especially as President Trump has already called the ceasefire “on life support”. 

Here in the Western Hemisphere, the EU-Mexico Summit will take place in Mexico City. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President António Costa will sign two landmark agreements: The Modernized Global Agreement (MGA) – a comprehensive political/economic partnership agreement, and the Interim Trade Agreement (ITA), which has been given preliminary approval by all 27 EU member states earlier this month.  The ITA is expected to improve bilateral trade by 35% over the next five years, with a heavy focus on pharmaceuticals, automotive production, agri-food, and advanced manufacturing. 

Looking at the global economic and financial radar screen this week, this is Kevin Warsh’s first week as Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board.  The Fed will release the minutes from the last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, and they are expected to show growing concern about inflationary pressures, mostly due to the Iran War.  And watch for signs of growing Fed sentiment to raise rates later this year. 

 In terms of major economic reports this week, in the US, new residential construction data and pending home sales are out on Tuesday.  On Thursday, initial jobless claims are released, and on Friday, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment is released.  The whole week will be busy with corporate earnings, including Nvidia, Target, Lowe’s, Intuit, Walmart, Deere & Co, and Target.

 In Europe this week, the UK reports labor market figures on Tuesday and April inflation data on Wednesday.  We will also see flash PMIs for the UK, Germany, and France on Thursday.  And Germany releases the Ifo Survey on Friday. 

 In Asia, Japan releases several major data reports, including Q1 GDP on Tuesday and April CPI on Friday.   China releases industrial production, retail sales, and residential and commercial real estate property prices on Tuesday. And South Korea is set to release the April PPI on Wednesday. 

 Below is the rest of our detailed report of the major geopolitical and geoeconomic events in the coming week:

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Global

·       The UN World Urban Forum begins in Baku, Azerbaijan and runs through May 22nd.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       In Washington, D.C., the National Jubilee of Prayer gathering of Christians on the National Mall will take place.  This is a part of the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence.

·       Cuba holds municipal primary elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       The extended Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire will expire at midnight.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel GDP Growth Annualized 1st Est Q1

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Cabo Verde holds legislative elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Monday, May 18, 2026

Global

·       G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meet in Paris, France through May 19th.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Today is Victory Day in Canada, a national holiday.  Financial markets are closed.

·       U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Kenneth Howery and special envoy to Greenland Jeff Landry will travel to Nuuk, Greenland, through May 20 to participate in the Future Greenland Conference.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang speaks at the Dell Technologies World Annual Convention in Las Vegas, Nevada.

·       Interim Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Cheryl Venable gives welcome remarks before the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 2026 Financial Markets Conference: “Technology’s Transformative Role in Finance and Central Banking".

·       Brazil IGP-10 Inflation (May)/IBC-BR Economic Activity (March)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

·       Chile Current Account Q1/GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       USA NY Fed Services Activity Index (May)/NAHB Housing Market Index (May)/Net Long-term TIC Flows (March)/Overall Net Capital Flows (March)

·       Paraguay Consumer Confidence (April)

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       The Philippine senate convenes for the impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte. The trial centers on charges including bribery, corruption and a high-profile threat against the president's life. Convicting the vice president requires at least a two-thirds majority.

·       The Australian Energy Producers Conference is held in Adelaide through May 21st.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       New Zealand Composite NZ PCI (April)/Services NZ PSI (April)

·       Singapore     Balance of Trade (April)/Non-Oil Exports (April

·       China House Price Index (April)/Industrial Production (April)/Retail Sales (April)/Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) (April)/Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Thailand GDP Growth Rate Q1

·       Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations (May)

·       EARNINGS: Baidu, Nidec

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The EU Foreign Affairs Council (Development) meets in Brussels.  Ministers will discussion he Council will discuss the future of the EU’s external action taking into consideration shifting geopolitical and geoeconomic contexts. Discussions will focus on how development cooperation can promote sustainable development in partner countries while advancing the EU’s strategic interests, as well as explore ways to strengthen the EU’s global role as a reliable partner. Ministers will also exchange views on the role of the Global Gateway strategy in the EU’s external action. The strategy mobilizes public and private resources to support sustainable investments in key sectors worldwide.

·       The UK’s Labour lawmakers will gather for the first time in the wake of the May 7 local electoral losses and Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation.

·       The European Parliament Plenary is held in Strasbourg through May 21st.  Key files on the agenda: a new law to improve the protection of EU strategic sectors from risky foreign investments, a debate/resolution on rule of law, fundamental rights and misuse of EU funds in Slovakia, new legislation on protection of victims of crimes, the gender care gap, and legislation to mitigate global steel overcapacity on the EU market. President Metsola will also confer the inaugural European Order of Merit during a ceremony in the hemicycle, marking the 75th anniversary of the Schuman Declaration. Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan is scheduled to address plenary ahead of Armenia's 7 June elections. 

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and ECB Board Member Paulo Cipollone participate in theG7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting in Paris, France.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Frank Elderson participates in a panel discussion at the 3rd Sustainability Standards Conference in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Patrick Montagner gives a keynote speech at a conference "Research and Market Perspectives on the Evolving Bank Supervisory and Regulatory Landscape" organized by European University Institute/Bank Policy Institute in San Domenico di Fiesole, Italy.

·       The European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve Board, and the Euro Area Business Cycle Network cohost the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       Martin Kocher, ECB board member and governor of the Austrian National Bank, and his Hungarian counterparty Mihaly Varga, speak in Budapest, Hungary.

·       Bank of England External Member of the Monetary Committee Megan Greene participates on a panel discussion at the Financial Times Business of Luxury Summit in London.

·       Bank of England External Member of the Monetary Committee Catherine Mann participates on a panel at the Lamfulussy Conference in Budapest, Hungary.

·       Bank of England Executive Director for Financial Stability Nathanael Benjamin speaks at the University of Glasglow Adam Smith Business School.

·       Switzerland GDP Growth Rate Flash Q1

·       Italy Balance of Trade (March)

·       Romania Current Account (March)

·       Poland Inflation Rate (April)

·       Belarus Industrial Production (April)

·       Russia Current Account Q1

·       EARNINGS: Ryanair, Sonova 

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks at the Samson International Smart Mobility Summit in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Israel Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Jordon Industrial Production (March)

·       Turkey Consumer Confidence (May)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nigeria's ruling All Progressives Congress party will hold primary elections to select candidates for the Senate in the country's 2027 general election.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt Unemployment Rate Q1

Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Global

·       G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting in Paris.

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing on Ukraine.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller participates in a policy panel at the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Anna Paulson speaks before a dinner at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 2026 Financial Markets Conference: “Technology’s Transformative Role in Finance and Central Banking.”

·       Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank First Vice President Cheryl Venable gives closing remarks before the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 2026 Financial Markets Conference: “Technology’s Transformative Role in Finance and Central Banking."

·       Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout

·       USA ADP Employment Change Weekly/Redbook (May/16)/Pending Home Sales  (April)/API Crude Oil Stock Change (May/15)/Fed Venable Speech

·       Canada Inflation Rate (April)/ New Housing Price Index (April)/Building Permits (March)/CPI Common (April)/CPI Median (April)/CPI Trimmed-Mean (April)

·       Ecuador Balance of Trade (March)

·       Columbia Imports/Balance of Trade (March)

·       EARNINGS: Home Depot, Toll Brothers

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi will meet with South Korean President Lee Jae Myung in Andong, South Korea, through May 20th. Takaichi is expected to discuss energy security cooperation amid disruptions to crude oil supplies caused by the US-Israel war on Iran, which has spilled over to the wider Middle East region. The two leaders are also expected to discuss beefing up critical mineral supply chains. The meeting is likely to take place in Andong, Lee's hometown in southeastern South Korea. This would be part of so-called shuttle diplomacy or mutually visits by Japanese and South Korean leaders to each other's country — Lee visited Takaichi's home prefecture of Nara in January, so this is the reciprocal leg. The hometown symbolism is deliberate Japan-South Korea relationship-building optics.

·       Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attends the third India-Nordic summit in Oslo and meets his Norwegian counterpart Jonas Gahr Store as well as leaders from Denmark, Finland, Iceland and Sweden. Following two earlier summits held in Stockholm in 2018 and in Copenhagen in 2022, the visit will focus on areas including technology, renewable energy, defense and cooperation in the Arctic.  He will then travel to Rome, Italy for meetings with Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter speaks at the Bloomberg Forum for Investment Managers in Sydney.

·       New Zealand Electronic Retail Card Spending (April)/PPI Input/Output Q1

·       Japan GDP Growth Rate Q1/GDP Growth Annualized Q1/GDP Capital Expenditure Q1/GDP External Demand Q1/GDP Price Index Q1/GDP Private Consumption Q1/Capacity Utilization (March)/Industrial Production (March)/Tertiary Industry Index (March)

·       Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Change (May)/Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (May)/RBA Meeting Minutes

·       China FDI (YTD) (April)

·       Malaysia Inflation Rate (April)

·       Hong Kong Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Angola Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)/M3 Money Supply (April)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Negotiators from EU member states, the European Commission and the European Parliament will hold another round of interinstitutional talks on legislation to implement the July 2025 EU-U.S. trade framework agreement.

·       NATO Chiefs of Defense Military Committee, NATO’s highest military authority, meets in Brussels.

·       The Mediterranean Forum takes place in Athens, Greece through May 21st.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Philip R. Lane participates in a panel discussion at The International Research Forum on Monetary Policy 2026 organized by the Euro Area Business Cycle Network, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve Board in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Claudia Buch gives a keynote address at the AFME’s European Financial Integration Conference 2026 in Frankfurt, Germany.

·        AFME’s European Financial Integration Conference in Frankfurt. Speakers include ECB Governing Council member Gabriel Makhlouf.

·       Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden gives speech at the City Week Conference entitled “The Future of Money in the Digital World: A Central Banker’s Perspective” in London.

·       Belarus GDP (April)

·       UK Unemployment Rate (March)/Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (March)/Employment Change (March)/Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (March)/Claimant Count Change (April)/HMRC Payrolls Change (April)/Labor Productivity Q1

·       Spain Balance of Trade (March)

·       Euro Area Balance of Trade (March)

·       EARNINGS: Shell, Euronext, DCC, Diploma

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Turkey Auto Production (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Global

·       G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meet in Paris, France.

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold an open debate on Protection of Civilians in armed conflict.

Americas

·       Political/Social Events –

·       Primary elections are held in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Federal Reserve Board Governor Michael S. Barr gives a speech on “Consumer Financial Health Metrics” at the Financial Health Network’s (FHN) EMERGE Financial Health 2026 Conference, Atlanta, Georgia.

·       Federal Reserve’s FOMC Minutes released.

·       Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson speaks on economic outlook at the Atlanta Fed’s 2026 Financial Markets Conference in Atlanta, Georgia.

·       USA MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (May/15)/MBA Mortgage Applications (May/15)/MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (May/15)/MBA Purchase Index (May/15)/EIA Crude Oil and Gasoline Stocks Change (May/15)

·       Argentina Balance of Trade (April)

·       EARNINGS: Nvidia, Analog Devices, Intuit, Lowe’s, Target

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Russian President Vladimir Putin will travel to Beijing for talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping.  The talks are likely to focus on energy cooperation, sanctions-resistant payment systems, and broader coordination within multilateral groupings such as BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. The visit is also expected to renew the Sino-Russian Treaty of Friendship signed in 2001. The timing is deliberately choreographed against Trump's just-concluded Beijing trip, positioning Xi as the central diplomatic broker. 

·       Taiwanese President William Lai will give a speech marking the anniversary of his inauguration that could spur Chinese military drills.

·       The Sohn Hong Kong Investment Leaders Conference begins in Hong Kong.  Recognized as one of the most sought-after gatherings in the region, the Sohn Hong Kong Conference brings together Asia's brightest investment minds, offering attendees unparalleled insights into markets and investment strategies. 

·       The DealStreetAsia Asia PE Leadership Summit is being held in  Hong Kong.  This is DealStreetAsia’s first conference in Asia and focused on PE/VC capital allocation amid the China deleveraging and US-China decoupling backdrop. 

·       Today is Independence Day in East Timor, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Japan Reuters Tankan Index (May)

·       Australia Westpac Leading Index (April)

·       China Loan Prime Rate 1Y/Loan Prime Rate 5Y (May)

·       New Zealand Global Dairy Trade Price Index (May/19)

·       Malaysia Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)

·       Indonesia     Interest Rate Decision/Deposit Facility Rate (May)/Lending Facility Rate (May)/Loan Growth (April)

·       Taiwan Export Orders (April)/Current Account Q1

·       India Infrastructure Output (April)

·       EARNINGS: Tokio Marine, Sompo Japan Nip, MS&AD Insurance

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·        Emmanuel Moulin, nominee for Bank of France governor, appears before the Senate Finance Committee in Paris, France.

·       Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will appear before the UK Parliament’s Treasury Committee to answer questions about the economy.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       The European Central Bank Governing Council holds a non-monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany.

·       Bank of England Director for Prudential Policy David Bailey speaks at the Bloomberg Global Markets & Banking Summit in London.

·       Germany PPI (April)

·       UK Inflation Rate (April)/PPI Input/Output (April)/Retail Price Index (April)

·       Hungary Gross Wage (March)

·       Euro Area ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting/ Inflation Rate (April)/CPI (April)

·       Slovakia Harmonized Inflation Rate (April)

·       Poland Consumer Confidence (May)

·       Italy Construction Output (March)

·       Russia PPI (April)

·       EARNINGS: Marks & Spencer, Keller, Severn Trent, British Land,

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Turkey Central Government Debt (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       The ICT4D Conference 2026 begins in Nairobi, Kenya and runs through May 22.

·       Today is Republic Day in Cameroon, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Africa Inflation Rate (April)/Retail Sales (March)

·       Ghana Interest Rate Decision

·       Nigeria Interest Rate Decision

Thursday, May 21, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council is scheduled to hold a briefing on the Middle East followed by consultations.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Richmond Federa; Reserve Bank President Tom Barkin speaks on the economy to the Urban Land Institute Triangle in Wilmington, North Carolina.

·       Mexico Retail Sales (March)/Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

·       USA Building Permits (April)/Housing Starts (April)/Initial Jobless Claims (May/16)/Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (May)/Continuing Jobless Claims (May/09)/Jobless Claims 4-week Average (May/16)/Philly Fed Business Conditions (May)/Philly Fed CAPEX Index (May)/Philly Fed Employment (May)/Philly Fed New Orders (May)/Philly Fed Prices Paid (May)/S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)/EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (May/15)/Kansas Fed Composite Index (May)/Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (May)/15-Year Mortgage Rate (May/21)/30-Year Mortgage Rate (May/21)/Fed Balance Sheet (May/20)

·       Argentina Consumer Confidence (May)/Economic Activity (March)

·       El Salvador Balance of Trade (April)

·       Peru Current Account Q1

·       Costa Rica Balance of Trade (April)

·       EARNINGS: Walmart, John Deere, Ross stores, Zoom, CAE

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Samsung Electronics unionists vow to go for an all-out strike in their pursuit of 15% of the company's operating profit for employee bonuses. Management is fighting back and worries that it could weaken the company's competitiveness and cause a shareholder backlash. Samsung's labor dispute sparked national debate on how to distribute profits in the semiconductor industry -- one senior government official suggested paying a dividend to the public with tax revenue from Samsung and its rival SK Hynix.

·       JPMorgan’s Global China Summit takes place in Shanghai, with CEO Jamie Dimon set to attend. Through May 22nd.

·       In Hong Kong, the annual Cheung Chau Bun Festival begins, peaking with the Piu Sik Parade on Sunday, followed by the Bun Scrambling Final next Monday

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Bank of Japan Member of the Policy Committee Junko Koeda gives a speech to local business leaders in Fukuoka, Japan.

·       South Korea PPI (April)

·       New Zealand Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)/Credit Card Spending (April)

·       Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)/Employment Change (April)/Full Time Employment Change (April)/Unemployment Rate (April)/Part Time Employment Change (April)/Participation Rate (April)

·       Japan Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)/Machinery Orders (March)/Stock Investment by Foreigners (May/16)/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)

·       India HSBC Composite PMI Flash (May)/HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/HSBC Services PMI Flash (May)

·       Hong Kong Inflation Rate (April)

·       South Africa Building Permits (March)/Consumer Confidence (May)

·       EARNINGS: Lenova, Singapore Telecommunications

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       NATO Foreign Ministers meet in Helsingborg, Sweden through May 22nd.  The agenda will center on increased defense spending, more defense production, and maintaining strong support for Ukraine.  On the sidelines, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte will meet with Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson to discuss Nordic defense issues.

·       The Transport Research Arena Conference in Budapest, Hungary.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board Member Frank Elderson gives a lecture at University of Oxford in Oxford, UK.

·       Bank of England External Member of the Monetary Policy Committee Alan Taylor speaks virtually at the MNI Connect event in London.

·       Slovakia Current Account (March)/Unemployment Rate (April)

·       Switzerland Industrial Production Q1

·       France S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)

·       Germany S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)

·       Poland Corporate Sector Wages (April)/Employment Growth (April)/Industrial Production (April)/PPI (April)

·       Euro Area S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)/Current Account (March)/Current Account s.a (March)/Construction Output (March)/Labor Cost Index Flash Q1/Consumer Confidence Flash (May)

·       Italy Current Account (March)

·       Slovenia Consumer Confidence (May)/PPI (April)

·       United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Services PMI Flash (May)/S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (May)/CBI Industrial Trends Orders (May)

·       EARNINGS: BT, Swiss Life, Tate & Lyle, Nationwide Building Society

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Egypt Interest Rate Decision/Overnight Lending Rate

Friday, May 22, 2026

Global

·       The UN Security Council will hold a briefing on ICC Libya.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

•       Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller gives a speech on the economic outlook at the Centre for Central Banking Guest Lecture in Frankfurt, Germany.

•       Argentina Leading Indicator (April)/ Retail Sales (March)

•       Canada CFIB Business Barometer (May)/ Retail Sales Ex Autos (March)/ Retail Sales  (March)/ Retail Sales (April)/ PPI (April)/ Raw Materials Prices (April)/ Senior Loan Officer Survey

•       Mexico Economic Activity (March)/Economic Activity (March)/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Mid-month Inflation Rate (May)

•       USA Michigan Consumer Sentiment (May)/ CB Leading Index (April)/ Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (May)/ Michigan Consumer Expectations (May)/ Michigan Current Conditions (May)/ Michigan Inflation Expectations (May)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (May)/22/ Baker Hughes Total Rigs Count (May/22)

•       Paraguay Interest Rate Decision

•       EARNINGS: Booz Allen, BJ’s Wholesale

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       APEC Trade Ministers meet in Suzhou, China through May 23rd.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       South Korea Consumer Confidence (May)

·       New Zealand Retail Sales Q1

·       Japan Inflation Rate (April)/Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy (April)

·       Indonesia Current Account Q1/M2 Money Supply (April)

·       Taiwan Unemployment Rate (April)/ M2 Money Supply (April)

·       India Bank Loan Growth (May/15)/ Deposit Growth (May/15)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/15)/ M3 Money Supply (May/15)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       The Eurogroup meets in Lefkosia, Cyprus.  Leaders will discuss macroeconomic developments in the Euro area, Euro area competitiveness, and the digital Euro.

·       The 8th EU-Mexico Summit takes place in Mexico City, Mexico.  António Costa, President of the European Council, and Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, will be meeting Claudia Sheinbaum, President of Mexico.  They will be discussing an EU-Mexico Trade Agreement, and a number of joint cooperative priorities including the fight against organized crime,  climate action and environmental protection, advancing energy security and the energy transition

research and innovation and people-to-people contacts and academic exchanges

·       The EU Foreign Affairs Council (Trade) meets in Brussels.  Ministers will EU trade ministers will receive an update on economic security, with a particular focus on the impact of the conflict in Middle East on trade. The ongoing hostilities in the region have generated significant trade disruptions worldwide, and ministers will address the short- and long-term consequences.

·       There will be an informal meeting of EU Economic and Financial Affairs Ministers in Brussels through May 23.

·       The CIS Heads of Government meeting takes place in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       European Central Bank Board President Christine Lagarde will speak at a the Eurogroup press conference in Cyprus.

·       European Central Bank Board Member Philip R. Lane gives the opening address at the 2026 Asian Monetary Policy Forum (AMPF) in Singapore.

·       European Central Bank Governing Council Boris Vujcic, Peter Kazimir and Madis Muller speak at a financial literacy roundtable in Ljubljana, Slovenia.

·       Great Britain Gfk Consumer Confidence (May)/ Retail Sales (April)/ Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks (April)/ Retail Sales ex Fuel (April)

·       Ireland Average Weekly Earnings Q1, Wholesale Prices (April)

·       Slovenia Unemployment Rate (March)

·       Euro Area Negotiated Wage Growth Q1/

·       Germany GfK Consumer Confidence JUN/ GDP Growth Rate Q1/ Ifo Business Climate (May)/ Ifo Current Conditions (May)/ Ifo Expectations (May)

·       France Business Confidence (May)/ Business Climate Indicator (May)

·       Poland Business Confidence (May)

·       Greece Current Account (March)/ Current Account (February)

·       Russia M2 Money Supply (April)

·       EARNINGS: Richemont

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Lebanon Inflation Rate (April)

·       Israel Inflation Expectations (May)

·       Turkey Tourist Arrivals (April)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/15), Balance of Trade (April)/ Business Confidence (May)/ Capacity Utilization (May)/ Imports/Exports (April)/ Financial Stability Report

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Ghana PPI (April)

·       Ethiopia Inflation Rate (April)

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Global

·       Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

·       Cyprus holds parliamentary elections.

·       Italy holds municipal elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

·       Guinea holds National Assembly elections.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

·       Nothing significant to report.

The Global Week Ahead

May 3 - 10, 2026

ASEAN Leaders Gather in the Philippines as EU Leaders Meet in Armenia, Russia’s Muted Victory Parade, Trump Readies for his China Trip, Iran Offers the U.S. New Terms, the UK Holds Important Local Elections, and Markets Await Another Big Earnings Week

As the world continues to scramble to understand and mitigate the growing economic risks emanating out of the Iran War, leaders in two key regions are going to be meeting this week to discuss it all. First, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) will gather in Cebu, the Philippines. It is a packed agenda but top of mind is the skyrocketing cost of oil and the impact on national economies. Many of the member countries are highly dependent on Middle Eastern oil and are finding it increasingly difficult to find alternative sources. As a result, a number of countries have already implemented emergency measures such as the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam.

Leaders will also be talking about ongoing regional security issues such as tensions in the South China Sea, the ongoing conflict in Myanmar, and simmering Cambodian-Thai border skirmishes.

Meanwhile, in Armenia, European leaders will be gathering for the European Political Community (EPC) Summit. This is the biggest gathering of European leaders in the South Caucasus ever. The EPC was established in 2022 after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and includes 47 heads of state. Top of the agenda is the growing global economic crisis and what can be done to help bring an end to the Iran War.

Also attending will be Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney (as part of Canada’s growing political and economic relations as a result of seemingly non-stop trade tariffs from the U.S.) as well as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. All told, the gathering represents 24 percent of the global GDP and 690 people (almost nine percent of the global population).

On Saturday, Russia is holding its annual Victory Day Parade, celebrating its victory over Nazi Germany. But this parade held in Moscow - as well as parades held in other Russian cities – will be different from virtually every other parade held over the last 81 years as President Vladimir Putin has ordered a significant scaling back of the event, omitting tanks, armored vehicles, missile systems, and the traditional march of naval cadets. Putin, citing “terrorist threats” will only allow air force displays and some troop marching. The “terrorist threat” being attacks by Ukrainian drone forces which increasingly have successfully struck Russian military and oil/gas facilities deep inside Russia. Extensive netting is being put over Moscow streets where the parade is taking place to defend against possible drone strikes. The Ukrainian strikes are as deep as 2,000 kilometers into Russia. Moreover, Ukrainian forces have regained net territory for the first time since 2023 while Russian forces lost an estimated 35,000 soldiers killed or wounded in April alone. Clearly, the war is not going well for Russia.

Also of note in Europe this week are local elections in the UK. Widely seen as a likely indicator of the political future of the Labor Government and Prime Minister Keir Starmer, polls are suggesting a nationwide “anyone but Labour” vote. Depending on how rough the outcome is for the Labour Party, it could be a final blow to Starmer’s government and facilitate a call for new national elections.

In Asia, the big events is Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s three-day visit to Australia. This morning (Monday) she signed a new cooperation agreement with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to deepen trade on energy and critical minerals. This comes after the two countries signed a landmark defense deal.

ShareFinally, markets should expect to hear a lot more this coming week about President Trump’s upcoming visit to Beijing on May 14-15. The summit aims to stabilize U.S.-China relations, addressing trade, technology, and geopolitical tensions, and to seek cooperation regarding the Iran war. Indeed, it is likely Trump will look to Chinese President Xi to step up efforts to pressure Iran to move further on a deal. This trip represents the first visit to China by a U.S. president in nearly 10 years. President Trump will be accompanied by First Lady Melania Trump and his son, Eric Trump. We should expect an uptick on news reports and leaks from the Administration further detailing the U.S. goals and what markets should expect from the visit.

Looking at the global economic and financial radar screen this week, starting in the U.S., jobs will be the big focus for markets. The JOLTS report is out on Tuesday, the ADP report on Wednesday, and the April jobs report on Friday. Additionally, the ISM Service Index on Tuesday, Q1 nonfarm payrolls on Thursday, and the jobs reports and the University of Michigan Consumer Survey on Friday.

In Europe, it is a relatively light data week. Germany reports factory orders on Tuesday and trade figures on Friday, and we will see the Eurozone March retail sales.

Turning to Asia, the Reserve Bank of Australia meets on interest rates on Tuesday, we will get a CPI report from South Koea on Wednesday along with PMI numbers from China.

But the big financial news of the week is the flood of corporate earnings reports this week. Markets (and Washington) will be focused on a number of companies and how they are being impacted by the Iran War and the growing impact from oil/gas and other shortages.

Below is our detailed report outlining the major geopolitical and economic events anticipated for the coming week:

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Global

· OPEC+ holds its monthly meeting.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· The Milken Institute Global Conference begins in Los Angeles, California.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· Today is Constitution Memorial Day in Japan.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Vietnam Balance of Trade (April)/ Foreign Direct Investment (April)/ Industrial Production YoY (April)/ Inflation Rate YoY (April)/ Retail Sales YoY (April)/ Tourist Arrivals YoY (April)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· There will be an informal meeting of EU Agriculture Ministers through May 5th in Lefkosia, Cyprus.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Monday, May 4, 2026

Global

· Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· Both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives are out of session this week.

· This week, following President Trump’s announcement last week, 25% tariffs will be applied to all trucks and cars from Europe.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams gives keynote before the Cynosure Group Spring Symposium in New York.

· Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman will speak at the 2026 Women in Housing and Finance Symposium, Washington, D.C.

· The Governor of the Bank of Canada, Tiff Macklem, will appear before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance. He will be accompanied by Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers.

· Mexico Business Confidence (April)/ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Chile IMACEC Economic Activity (March)

· Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)/ BCB Focus Market Readout

· USA Factory Orders (March)/ Factory Orders ex Transportation (March)/Loan Officer Survey/ Treasury Refunding Financing Estimates/ Total Vehicle Sales (April)

· Columbia Davivienda Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Paraguay Inflation Rate (April)

· Argentina Tax Revenue (April)

· EARNINGS: Palantir, Williams Companies, Diamondback Energy, Loews, Tyson Foods, Telus, CNA Financial, AES, Norwegian Cruise Line, Vaornado, NexGen Energy, Erop Copper, Alamo, Cargojet, Grupo MexicoGruop Carso, Inbursa, BB Seguridade

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· India holds ballot counting for April elections held in four states, including politically crucial West Bengal that borders Bangladesh, and a federally governed territory. Results are expected on the same day. Most exit polls give an edge to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party in West Bengal, which it has never ruled before. If these projections hold, it will give a massive boost to the BJP, whose traditional regional strongholds are the country’s north and west.

· China continues to celebrate Labor Day. Financial markets are closed.

· Today is Nature Day in Japan, a national holiday. Financial markets are closed.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Indonesia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)/ Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (March)/ Inflation Rate (April)/ Tourist Arrivals (March)

· Malaysia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· South Korea S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Tawain S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Vietnam S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Australia TD-MI Inflation Gauge (April)/Building Permits (March)/ ANZ-Indeed Job Ads (April)/ Private House Approvals (March)

· India HSBC Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Philippines S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· The Eurogroup will meet in Brussels. Ministers will hear from the Chairs of the Single Supervisory Mechanism and of the Single Resolution Board as part of their twice-yearly reporting. They will also discuss cross-border banking issues with Slawomir Krupa, President of the European Banking Federation. Additionally, ministers will assess the impact of the Middle East conflict on the EU economy and will discuss policy measures to address the crisis. Ministers will also hear a presentation by Christian Noyer and Jörg Kukies on their recommendations for giving start-ups and scale-ups better access to private capital.

· The 8th Meeting of the European Political Community takes place in Yerevan, Armenia. ring together leaders from across the continent in Yerevan, Armenia, under the motto ‘Building the Future: Unity and Stability in Europe’. Leaders will discuss how to cooperate more closely and coordinate action to strengthen democratic resilience, advance connectivity and reinforce economic and energy security. The summit will be co-chaired by António Costa, the President of the European Council, and Nikol Pashinyan, Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia. The meeting will take place ahead of the first-ever EU-Armenia bilateral summit.

· The EU-Armenia Summit will take place through May 5th in Yerevan, Armenia. Leaders will discuss progress made with regard to ensuring peace, security, connectivity and prosperity in the South Caucasus. In August 2025, the EU welcomed the initialing of the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace treaty and the signing of a political declaration. This agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan marks a significant breakthrough to end decades of conflict and paves the way to lasting, sustainable peace for both countries and across the entire region.

· Finnish President Alexander Stubb will visit the Czech Republic.

· The German Forum on Security Policy begins in Berlin and runs through Thursday.

· Today is Early May Bank Holiday in the United Kingdom. The government, banks, and financial markets are closed.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone gives a pre-recorded interview at the joint ECB-Banca d’Italia-€ABCN-CEPR workshop on Digital assets and Monetary Policy Transmission in Rome, Italy.

· The European Central Bank publishes its 2026 annual report.

· Russia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Hungary PPI (March)/ HALPIM Manufacturing PMI APR

· Poland S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Turkey Inflation Rate (April)/ Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI (April)/ PPI (April)

· Spain S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Switzerland Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Italy S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· France S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Germany S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· Euro Area S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)/ECB Buch Speech/ECB President Lagarde Speech/Eurogroup Meeting/ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts/ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

· Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)

· EARNINGS: HSBC, AXA, Infineon, Ferrari, Ferguson, Leonardo SpA, Alcon AG, Logitech, Covestro, Fresenius Medical, Hugo Boss, Amplifon

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Saudi Arabia M3 Money Supply (March)/ Private Bank Lending (March)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Following China’s May 1st expansion of zero-tariff access for 53 African states, trade ministries in major hubs (Nairobi, Lagos, and Cairo) are expected to hold briefings this week to outline the logistical framework for increased exports to Chinese markets.

· The World Press Freedom Day Global Conference takes place in Lusaka, Zambia. The UNESCO-backed summit is titled “Shaping a Future of Peace,” and gathers regional leaders and journalists. A major focal point will be the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on journalism—a timely topic given South Africa’s recent policy withdrawal due to AI-generated errors.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nigeria Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria PMI (April)

· South Africa ABSA Manufacturing PMI (April)

Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Global

· The G7 Trade Ministers meet in Paris, France.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· The U.S. Trade Representative is scheduled to begin public hearings on investigations into the trade practices of the European Union, China, Mexico, and other countries.

· In the United States, primary elections will be held in Indiana, Ohio, Nebraska, New Jersey, and West Virginia. This is the first major test of President Trump’s endorsement clout in 2026: he endorsed challengers to eight Indiana GOP state senators who voted down his congressional redistricting push, with allies spending millions to oust them. Results will be read as a referendum on his intra-party leverage heading into the midterms.

· Mexico will celebrate Cinco de Mayo, commemorating its 1862 military victory.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Federal Reserve Board Governor Michael S. Barr speaks on banking regulation at an event with Bank of England Deputy Governor Sam Woods in Oxford, United Kingdom.

· Brazil IPC-Fipe Inflation (April)/ BCB Copom Meeting Minutes

· United States LMI Logistics Managers Index (April)/Building Permits (February)/Building Permits (March)/ Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (March)/ Redbook (May/02)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ ISM Services PMI (April)/ JOLTs Job Openings (March)/New Home Sales (February)/New Home Sales (March)/ ISM Services Business Activity (April)/ ISM Services Employment (April)/ISM Services Prices (April)/ISM Services New Orders (April)/ JOLTs Job Quits (March)/RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (May)/NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months/ Total Household Debt Q1/ API Crude Oil Stock Change (May/01)

· Canada Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (March)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI/(April)

· Columbia Exports (March)

· Uruguay Unemployment Rate (March)/ Inflation Rate (April)

· EARNINGS: Advanced Micro, Shopify, Pfizer, Duke Energy, KKR, Emerson Electric, Cummins, Suncor Energy, Rockwell Automation, Cameco, PayPal, Ambev, Occidental Petroleum, Fiserv, Prudential Financial, Archer-Daniels, Live Nation, Devon Energy, Leidos, Dupont, XP, Qorvo, Lumen Tech, Voya, Raia Drogasil, Celenese, Colliers, Sunoco, Cabot, EQB

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi visits Australia for bilateral meetings with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. The two leaders will sign new mutual defense agreements as well as arrange closer economic ties, especially around the trade in critical minerals.

· Vietnam’s President To Lam will visit India through May 7th.

· The SAHA 2026 International Defense & Aerospace Exhibition begins in Istanbul, Turkey and runs through May 9. More than 260 foreign companies and delegations will participate, with 39% being from Asia, according to the organizers. Japan, Vietnam, Taiwan, Thailand, South Korea and Australia will be represented for the first time -- either through companies or as delegations -- while company participants from China are expected to increase compared with the 2024 event.

· Today is Children’s Day in South Korea, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· The Asia Development Bank holds its 59th meeting in Samarkand, Uzbekistanthrough Wednesday.

· Australia S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ Household Spending (March)/ RBA Interest Rate Decision/RBA Press Conference

· Thailand S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (April)/ Inflation Rate (April)

· Philippines Inflation Rate (April)

· Indonesia GDP Growth Rate Q1

· Singapore Retail Sales (March)

· Hong Kong GDP Growth Rate Adv Q1

· Pakistan balance of trade

· EARNINGS: Grab

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· The EU Economic and Financial Affairs Council will meet in Brussels. The Council is expected to agree on new rules giving the European public prosecutor’s office (EPPO) and the European anti-fraud office (OLAF) access to EU-level VAT information, thereby strengthening the fight against value added tax fraud in the EU. Ministers will also hold a policy debate on the market integration and supervision package - a key element of the EU’s saving and investment union. The Council is expected to adopt an implementing decision approving the modified recovery and resilience plan of Denmark. They will also discuss recovery and resilience plans to allow member states to benefit from the EU’s recovery and resilience fund, a financial support program to help repair the economic and social damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

· Norges Bank Governor Ida Wolden Bache testifies before Norway’s parliament on the management of the government pension fund.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde gives introductory remarks at the Climate, Nature and Price Stability Conference organized by the ECB, Frankfurt School and CETEX in Frankfurt, Germany. ECB Board Chief Economist Philip Lane will give the keynote speech.

· Spain New Car Sales (April)/ Unemployment Change (April)/ Tourist Arrivals (March)

· Italy New Car Registrations (April)

· Romania PPI (March)/ Unemployment Rate (March)

· Switzerland Inflation Rate (April)/Inflation Rate (April)

· France Budget Balance (March)

· UK New Car Sales (April)/ BoE Woods Speech

· Slovenia Balance of Trade (March)

· Serbia PPI (April)

· Turkey Imports/Exports/ Balance of Trade Prel (April)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Jordan PPI (March)

· Saudia Arabia Riyad Bank PMI (April)

· UAE S&P Global PMI (April)

· Israel Unemployment Rate (March)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Egypt Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)/ M2 Money Supply (March)/ S&P Global PMI (April)

· South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales (April)

Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Global

· The World Trade Organization General Council meeting takes place in Geneva, Switzerland.

· The Global Supply Chain Pressure Index for April is released.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is scheduled to testify before the House Oversight Committee on his relationship with Jeffrey Epstein.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem and Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers will appear before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Commerce, and the Economy.

· St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem participates in a discussion at the Mississippi Bankers Association annual convention.

· USA MBA Mortgage Applications (May/01)/ MBA Mortgage Market Index (May/01)/MBA Mortgage Refinance Index (May/01)/ MBA Purchase Index (May/01)/ ADP Employment Change (April)/ Treasury Refunding Announcement/ EIA Crude Oil and Gasoline Stocks Change (May/01

· Mexico Gross Fixed Investment (February)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Brazil S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ Car Production (April)/New Car Registrations (April)

· Canada Ivey PMI (April)

· Columbia Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

· EARNINGS: Disney, Uber, Marriott, CVS Health, DoorDash, Apollo, Warner Bros, Johnson Controls, MetLife, Loblaw Companies, Exelon, Great West Lifeco, NRG Energy, TKO Group, SunLife Financial, Nutrient, Kraft Heinz, Fortis, Restaurant Brands, Canadian Utilities, TOTVS, TransAlta, Snap

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· New Zealand RBNZ Financial Stability Report/ RBNZ Financial Stability Report/ Employment Change Q1/Unemployment Rate Q1/ Labour Costs Index Q1/Participation Rate Q1/Global Dairy Trade Price Index (May/05)

· Australia Ai Group Industry Index (April)/ Ai Group Construction Index (April)/ Ai Group Manufacturing Index (April)/ RBA Chart Pack

· South Korea Inflation Rate (April)

· Hong Kong S&P Global PMI (April)

· Singapore S&P Global PMI (April)

· Philippines Industrial Production (March)/ Unemployment Rate (March)

· China RatingDog Services PMI (April)/ RatingDog Composites PMI (April)

· India HSBC Composite PMI (April)/ HSBC Services PMI (April)

· Thailand Business Confidence (April)

· Taiwan Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Hong Kong Retail Sales (March)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank Board Member Claudia Buch gives a presentation at the House of the Euro event in Brussels, Belgium.

· European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip R. Lane participates in a policy panel at the 2nd Kiel-CEPR Conference on Monetary Policy – Central Bank Independence in the Spotlight organized by Kiel Institut in Berlin, Germany.

· European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone gives a keynote speech at the AsVis Sustainable Development Festival “Si puo’ fare! Capitale, impresa, futuro: investire nella transizione” in Milan, Italy.

· European Central Bank Board Member Claudia Buch gives a speech and participates on a panel discussion at an event on the occasion of the retirement of Mathias Dewatripont organized by Université libre de Bruxelles in Brussels, Belgium.

· Ireland IB Services PMI (April)

· France New Car Registrations (April)/ Industrial Production (March)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)

· Russia S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)

· Hungary Industrial Production (March)

· Spain S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)

· Italy S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ Retail Sales (March)

· Germany S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ New Car Registrations (April)

· Euro Area S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ PPI (March)

· UK S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ Index-linked Treasury Gilt 2035 Auction

· Poland Interest Rate Decision (May)

· EARNINGS: UniCredit, Daimler Truck Holding AG, Heidelberg Cement, Fresenius, Poste Italane, Continental, Lufthansa, Telecom Italia, Banca Generali, HelloFresh

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Kuwait 2 Money Supply (March)

· Israel Tourist Arrivals (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· South Africa S&P Global PMI (April)

Thursday, May 7, 2026

Global

· Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· Paraguay’s President Santiago Pena will visit Taiwan.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Beth Hammack speaks on “Fed 101 and policy” in a fireside chat before the 2026 Ohio CEO Summit: “Blueprints for Bold Leadership.”

· Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President & CEO Austan Goolsbee speaks at the Milken Institute in Beverly Hills, California.

· Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari participates in fireside chat at Northern Michigan University in Marquette, Michigan.

· USA Challenger Job Cuts (April)/ Nonfarm Productivity Q1/ Unit Labour Costs Q1/ Continuing Jobless Claims (April/25)/ Jobless Claims 4-week Average (May/02)/ Used Car Prices (April)/ Construction Spending (March)/ Construction Spending (February)/ NY Fed Bill Purchases 1 to 4 months/ EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (May/01)/ Consumer Inflation Expectations (April)/ 15-Year Mortgage Rate (May/07)/30-Year Mortgage Rate (May/07)/ Consumer Credit Change (March)/ Fed Balance Sheet (May/06)

· Brazil Industrial Production (March)/ Balance of Trade (April)

· Mexico Inflation Rate (April)/ Interest Rate Decision

· Chile Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)

· Ecuador Inflation Rate (April)

· Argentina Industrial Production (March)

· Columbia PPI (April)

· EARNINGS: McDonalds, Giliead Sciences, McKesson, Canadian Natural Resources, Airbnb, Motorola, Sempra Energy, Grainger, Coinbase, Trade Desk, Expedia, EchoStart, Carlyle, Paramount Skydance, Lyft

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· A two-day ASEAN ministerial meeting will start in Cebu in the Philippines, marking the opening of this year’s ASEAN Summit, with the Philippines serving as the chair. Urgent priority will be placed on handling the energy crisis stemming from the war in the Middle East. The region’s powers also want to reach an agreement on a code of conduct in the South China Sea as China increases its military presence. However, there are lingering tensions within the bloc, including in Myanmar following its general election, and the border dispute between Thailand and Cambodia. Attention is expected to be given on all these fronts.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· South Korea Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes/ Monetary Base

· Australia Imports/Exports/ Balance of Trade (March)

· Philippines GDP Growth Rate Q1

· Kazakhstan PPI (April)

· Malaysia Interest Rate Decision

· South Korea Retail Sales (March)

· Taiwan Inflation Rate (April)

· Singapore Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· The United Kingdom will hold local and devolved elections across England, Scotland and Wales.

· German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier meets his Finnish counterpart Alexander Stubb in Helsinki to discuss support for Ukraine, industrial co-operation and the situation in the Middle East.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank Board Member Luis de Guindos gives the keynote speech at the conference European Financial Integration 2026 jointly organized by the European Commission and the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany.

· European Central Bank Board Member Frank Elderson chairs a panel discussion at conference European Financial Integration 2026 jointly organized by the European Commission and the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany.

· European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel delivers the 5th Annual Charles Goodhart Lecture 2026 in London, United Kingdom.

· The Bank of England’s Agenda for Research (BEAR) Conference takes place in London and runs through Friday. This year’s theme is “The Interconnected World.”

· Germany Factory Orders (March)/ HCOB Construction PMI (April)

· Romania Retail Sales (March)

· Hungary Retail Sales (March)

· France Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (March)/ Current Account (March)/ HCOB Construction PMI (April)

· Switzerland Unemployment Rate (April)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Euro Area HCOB Construction PMI (April)/ Retail Sales (March)

· Italy HCOB Construction PMI (April)

· UK S&P Global Construction PMI (April)

· Ireland Unemployment Rate (April)

· Serbia Interest Rate Decision

· Russia Summary of the Key Rate Discussion

· Turkey Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/01)

· Poland Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Ukraine Inflation Rate (April)

· Slovakia Industrial Production (March)

· EARNINGS: Shell, Enel, Rheinmetall, Siemens Healthineers, Legrand, Bouygues, Mediobanca, Henkel, Pirelli, Maersk, Swiss Re, Lufthansa, BMW, Kongsberg, Novo Nordisk, Philips, AP Møller-Maersk, AcelorMIttal

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Israel Business Confidence (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· EARNINGS: Gold Fields

Friday, May 8, 2026

Global

· Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report. Brazil Inflation Rate (April)

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Federal Reserve Governor Lisa D. Cook will give a speech entitled “Perspectives on Tokenization and Implications for the Financial System” at the Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) Conference on Digital Assets, Dakar, Senegal.

· Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher J. Waller participates on a policy panel at the Hoover Institution Monetary Policy Conference, Stanford, California.

· Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman participates on a policy panel at the Hoover Institution Monetary Policy Conference, Stanford, California.

· Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly participate in panel before the Hoover Institution Monetary Policy Conference 2026,”Independence, Structure, and Risks Ahead for Central Banks.”

· Brazil Inflation Rate (April)

· Chile Inflation Rate (April)

· Mexico Consumer Confidence (April)

· Canada Unemployment Rate (April)/ Employment Change (April)/ Full Time Employment Change (April)/ Part Time Employment Chg (April)/ Participation Rate (April)/ Average Hourly Wages (April)

· USA Non-Farm Payrolls (April)/ Unemployment Rate (April)/ Average Hourly Earnings (April)/ Participation Rate (April)/ Average Weekly Hours (April)/ Government Payrolls (April)/ Manufacturing Payrolls (April)/ Nonfarm Payrolls Private (April)/ U-6 Unemployment Rate (April)/ Michigan Consumer Sentiment (May)/ Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations (May)/ Michigan Consumer Expectations (May)/ Michigan Current Conditions (May)/ Michigan Inflation Expectations (May)/ Wholesale Inventories (March)/ Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count (May/08)

· Costa Rica Inflation Rate (April)/ Unemployment Rate Q1

· Columbia Inflation Rate (April)

· El Salvador Inflation Rate (April)

· EARNINGS: Enbridge, Embraer, Starwood Property, Algonquin Power & Utilities, Wendy’s, YPF, Brookfield Management

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· The Philippines will host the 48th summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in Cebu.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· South Korea Current Account (March)

· Japan Average Cash Earnings (March)/ Overtime Pay (March)/ S&P Global Composite PMI (April)/ S&P Global Services PMI (April)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)/ Property Price Index Q1

· Thailand Consumer Confidence (April)/ Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· China Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Philippines Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Malaysia Industrial Production (March)

· Taiwan Imports/Exports/ Balance of Trade (April)

· Hong Kong Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· India Foreign Exchange Reserves (May/01)

· EARNINGS: Toyota Motor, Nintendo

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde gives opening remarks at the Banco de España LatAm Economic Forum 2026 in Roda de Bará, Spain.

· European Central Bank Board Member Luis de Guindos participates in a fireside chat at the XII Foro Megatendencias organized by el Economista in Madrid Spain.

· European Central Bank Board Member Isabel Schnabel gives a speech at Reinoldimahl in Dortmund, Germany.

· European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollon gives a pre-recorded video interview for Voices on the Future during AsVis Sustainable Development Festival in Rome, Italy.

· Day 2 of The Bank of England’s Agenda for Research (BEAR) Conference takes place in London. This year’s theme is “The Interconnected World.” Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will participate in a fireside chat.

· Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Germany Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (March)/ Industrial Production (March)

· UK Halifax House Price Index (April)/ BBA Mortgage Rate (April)

· Hungary Inflation Rate (April)

· Slovakia Balance of Trade (March)/

· Turkey Industrial Production (March)/ Treasury Cash Balance (April)

· Greece Harmonized Inflation Rate (April)/ Inflation Rate (April)

· Russia Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

· Spain Industrial Production (March)

· Switzerland Consumer Confidence (April)

· EARNINGS: Commerzbank, Intesa Sanpaulo

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Israel Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Ghana Inflation Rate (April)

· South Africa Foreign Exchange Reserves (April)

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Global

· Nothing significant to report.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· China Imports/Exports/Balance of Trade (April)

· Indonesia Car Sales (April)

· Mozambique Inflation Rate (April)

· Angola Inflation Rate (April)

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· The Hungarian Parliament officially votes in Peter Magyar as the new prime minister.

· Russia celebrates the 81st Victory Day (defeat of the Nazis) which includes the traditional Victory Day Parade in Moscow. However, President Vladimir Putin has ordered the parade to be scaled back due to the threat of Ukrainian drone strikes. Additionally, the Russian Army is putting up netting over the parade route to protect the parade from drone attacks.

· Today is Europe Day, commemorating the moment in 1950 when French foreign minister Robert Schuman proposed deeper co-operation across the continent, laying the foundations for what has become the European Union.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank Board Member Sharon Donnery gives the keynote speech at the 58th Soroptimist Ireland North-South Conference in Drogheda, Ireland.

· Greece Balance of Trade (March)/ Balance of Trade (February)

· Hungary Budget Balance (April)

· Russia Vehicle Sales (April)

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Tanzania Inflation Rate (April)

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Global

· It is Mother’s Day in Australia and Canada today.

Americas

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Asia

Political/Social Events –

· Today is Constitution Day in Micronesia, a national holiday.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Europe

Political/Social Events –

· There will be an informal meeting of Ministers for European Affairs through May 11thin Brussels.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· European Central Bank Board Member Piero Cipollone participates in a virtual conversation at the Ventotene Europa festival 2026 in Rome, Italy.

Middle East

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Saudia Arabia Inflation Rate (April)

Africa

Political/Social Events –

· Nothing significant to report.

Economic & Financial Reports/Events –

· Egypt Inflation Rate (April)